Power Shifts
I have a theory about Congress, which is that there is often a moment when the effective majority switches, when the minority takes control of the agenda well before an election. It happened in 1994 when Gingrich forced the Crime Bill back to conference. It happened in 1996 when Kennedy forced the Senate to take up the minimum wage increase. After those events, the majority never quite had control of the agenda again.
I think the same thing just happened today when Harry Reid took the Senate into closed session
to force a discussion of the delayed Intelligence Committee report on misuse of intelligence.
Bill Frist's ability to run the institution now lies completely in ruins.
This has implications for the politics of Plamegate and Iraq, of course, but it will affect other questions as well. One of them is the Nuclear Option. The conventional wisdom seems to be that if Democrats try to filibuster Alito, the Republicans in the "Gang of 14" will consider the deal broken and vote for the Nuclear Option.
Some of them may. But to pull off the Nuclear Option banning filibusters on judicial nominations will still require an extraordinary exercise of leadership and party discipline to force Senators to do something many of them don't want to do. Frist couldn't quite pull it off five months ago, he sure can't do it now. There are plenty of Republicans who weren't part of the Gang of 14 but who did not want to have to vote for the Nuclear Option back in May and were very glad to see it go away. (Specter and Ted Stevens come to mind.) They definitely don't want to now, and Frist no longer has any leverage to make them do it. And some others might wonder why they would want to end filibusters 13 months before they risk losing control of the institution.
I'm not saying that Alito won't be confirmed. Since he apparently told Specter today that he supports the right to privacy established in Griswold and is not committed to overturning Roe, he may be confirmed easily, assuming somehow that James Dobson wasn't told the opposite. But one thing is for sure: the prospect of a "final showdown" in which Alito is confirmed by the Nuclear tactic is just not going to happen in a Senate effectively run by Harry Reid.














My wife and I were just talking this morning about how the democrats could get the media to pay attention. Leave it to that wiley Nevada coyote, Harry Reid, to carry out something both patriotic and political. It is also an astonishing `in your face' to Bush in light of the ZERO consultation on Alito. Fantastic. No longer an opposition party in waiting.
November 1, 2005 2:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I wish you were right.
November 1, 2005 2:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe the President of the Senate will need to make an appearance as presiding officer. That would be interesting.
November 1, 2005 2:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
The big thing: Reid just gave our side momentum. Plus the image of Frist being slapped, that's priceless.
November 1, 2005 2:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree, but think the "power shift" may have started last week when the Demo out of CA stood up to this corrupt power by doing what was necessary to force a vote on the president's Davis Bacon tomfoolery, and then the GOP had to back down. Bravo to this. Hope to see more of it. Spine is always a good thing.
November 1, 2005 2:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not sure if it is enough to derail them, but it will give them some turbulance they didn't expect. Fitzmas is the holiday that keeps on giving.
November 1, 2005 2:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
I certainly hope you're right, Mark.
November 1, 2005 2:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just keep John Kerry away from the podium. He'll talk whatever advantage the dems create to death.
November 1, 2005 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is a remarkably obtuse analysis. Republicans only need to maintain unity in their own caucus behind Alito. Democrats will need to hold all of their Senators in opposition to a cloture motion against him, and they won't be able to do it. The "nuclear option" will not be a factor.
What this is relevant to is the Intelligence Committee and more broadly the whole issue of Senate oversight. Appointment of a special committee to ensure that the Intelligence Committee does its job is a personal humiliation of Intelligence Chairman Roberts unlike anything I can remember -- richly deserved, frankly, because he had a responsibility to the Senate greater than his responsibility to protect President Bush from the least little public embarrassment, and he shirked it.
But the impact of this episode on Alito's confirmation? Zero. Nothing.
November 1, 2005 3:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is a remarkably arrogant response. 1. Perhaps Zathras didn't notice that Mark stipulated that Alito may well be confirmed without the nuclear option being triggered--hello? 2. Zathras takes for granted that the GOP caucus will march in lock-step behind Alito and that 5 Dems will be peeled off to vote cloture--again, an eminently plausible scenario, but not a done deal (and the assumption ignores the question I want to post: WHO WILL BE THE FIVE DEM TURNCOATS?). 3. Zathras fails to notice that what the no-nuke scenario holds is the promise that at least 60 senators of both parties--not just 51 GOP loyalists who have trashed the filibuster rule in illegitimate fashion--will confirm Alito in a show of traditionalistic collegiality. That don't mean zero, pal. Whether it's a good or a bad thing is debatable--and maybe imponderable. But first, folks like Collins and Snowe will have to lash themselves to Alito and his anti-abortion record as it emerges, and second, those 5 Dems will have to be flushed out to vote for cloture.
November 1, 2005 3:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I just say Harry Reid's interview on CNN. He nailed it. Showed emotion, intelligence, passion. Made Frist look like a whiny baby who is the b%&^ of the White House.
November 1, 2005 3:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, thank god. Expecting Fitzgerald to unravel the pack of lies that took us to war was really too much to ask. The scope of his investigation did not include doing the job of the Senate too.
November 1, 2005 3:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Larry Wilkerson's speech to the New America Foundation may also have had something to do with it. He explicitly linked the extra-constitutional powers of the VP's office and the abrogation of oversight by Congress:
With the Libby indictment, that power struggle between Congress and Cheney becomes open war, courtesy of Harry Reid.
November 1, 2005 3:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Really, it's too soon to tell...but on a gut level, I think you're right. I also agree with Bubba that it began with forcing a vote on Davis-Bacon. One way or another, the wheels are coming off the machine.
I watched the video of Reid's press conference, and he was magnificent. I was reminded of the story (from a New Yorker profile) about how he leapt across the table and tried to choke the living shit out of some mobster who was trying to bribe him. That's the Harry Reid we saw today, and that's the kind of person we need leading the fight in the Senate.
November 1, 2005 3:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
From your keyboard to God's browser, Mr. Schmitt.
November 1, 2005 3:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is a remarkably obtuse analysis.
I'd have to say that was a self-referential comment.
Republicans only need to maintain unity in their own caucus behind Alito.
Yup. NARAL endorsed Chafee, tanking in his local polls just has to stand behind Bill Frist (when he's not tied up with the SEC) and put his seat on the line. Olympia Snowe merely has to walk away from longstanding commitments to women's issues. DeWine's not worried about that Hacker fellow.
The heart of the obtuseness of your comment is "Or else what?" If she doesn't support the President on this, what's gonna happen? The President won't come to Lewiston to campaign? She doesn't want him in Madawaska. Or maybe he'll won't support that home heating subsidy.....Oh, right. I got it--he'll take away her military bases. Oh, right, done that already.
When the president opened his campaign saying that he planned to spend his accumulated political capital, I was dumbfounded. He'd spent his first term BORROWING political capital--running deficits, taking no effective measures in support of the fundamentalists, expanding entitlements.
Now he's as lame a duck as there has ever been. I predict Frist is out of his leadership position by Groundhog Day. All he's done is carry the President's water. If those in the Senate with some institutional memory step up, he's toast.
And don't think you won't see old Trent Lott with that butcher knife artfully up his sleeve. They screwed him bad, man.
No, the post is right on target. Alito's in a lot of trouble. Because Bush is in a lot of trouble.
November 1, 2005 3:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am naive, but I do not understand what happened today.
Reid called a closed session, what does that mean? Did he bring things to a vote when republicans were not there to vote on it?
What are the political mechanics of what happened?
This has me lost...
November 1, 2005 3:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe the President of the Senate will need to make an appearance as presiding officer.
Yes, I was thinking about this today. They can't go nuclear without Cheney. Does he really want to go on television committing a little coup over longstanding Senate procedures?
Does he even want to cast a deciding vote for the Court? This is one reasonable scenario in a situation where he wasn't in a political bunker. There are at least four senators who could use cover on this (DeWine, Chafee, Snowe and Collins) and one who might find a vote for Alito unseemly, Specter.
November 1, 2005 3:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gee, thanks Peatey. Up yours.
November 1, 2005 4:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
This has me lost...
I'm no expert either, but from what I understand, Reid called "Rule 21," which allows them to have a closed-door session.
The reason they need to be behind closed doors was to discuss the Senate Intel report, and why the GOPs were stalling.
There was no vote, and the GOPs were there.
It was a tactical move to force the GOPs to talk about the report. And Reid's move paid off -- he forced Frist to agree to creating a 3 Dem/3 GOP committee that will oversee and report on the Phase 2 report's progress by Nov. 14.
To paraphrase Harriet Miers: Reid is the Best Majority Leader EVER!!!
November 1, 2005 4:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
It turns out there is a rule that permits any senator to take the body into closed session, with a second.
There are other rules like this, actually. The Senate is designed a slow-moving, deliberative body, with individual Senators having a great deal of power. Not only did Reid use this maneuver as a means of keeping the nation's and the Senate's focus on the manipulation of intelligence that is now being brought into the spotlight, he also fired a shot across the Republican bow. He is reminding them that he has other tools at his disposal, including the ability to force votes on bills that the senate really would not want to vote on, and the ability to essentially stop business at will.
So this also a warning about using the nuclear option over Alito, and a reminder that the nation is not with the Republicans at the moment.
It also happens to be right on the merits. Roberts has stonewalled the investigation into the WH use of intelligence, the Libby indictment makes it clear that this is a real issue and the WH has been setting the Senate's agenda.
November 1, 2005 4:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
In any other administration, I'd say that Cheney would be nuts to iinvolve himself in gutting Senate rules to install on the Supreme Court a man who will likely cast the deciding vote on whatever legal jeopardy Cheney might find himself in as a result of various earlier transgressions. His own credibility and that of the court would be in tatters.
But in this administration, leaving government institutions standing for future generations doesn't seem to be a priority. (James Watt would be proud.)
November 1, 2005 4:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Without taking even half an gram of credit from Reid, I do agree that Wilkerson and so many more provided momentum -- even, bless his pointed conservative head, Scowcroft
Life is complicated; people's motivations are even more so. As I note, in the sidebar to my left here, the smiling ugly faces of DeLay and Bush -- carrying as they do intimations of unforgiveable corruption and arrogance -- I'd have to say a lot of the momentum for Reid's surprise move has come from uneasy Republicans.
Around it goes, and where it began, nobody knows.
November 1, 2005 4:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe the President of the Senate will need to make an appearance as presiding officer
Yes, maybe he can bring some dignity to all this...er...wasn't it the Prseident of the Senate who told a Senator to go F**k himself? Not that I am accusing the Republicans of disengenuity, hypocrisy, dishonesty, treason, or doing everything they can to bring our country to its knees. I don't have to; they are proving that on a daily basis without any help from me!
November 1, 2005 4:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
But in this administration, leaving government institutions standing for future generations doesn't seem to be a priority.
I think that's right. It seems insane, speaking politically, for a lame duck to be acting that way toward the Senate. At this point there are Senators with longer terms of office left than Bush.
November 1, 2005 4:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Boomer, you said a mouthful! Kerry should just take all that $$ that we donated to his campaign that he didn't spend, and go on vacation.
November 1, 2005 4:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Squeaky- Don't let Peaty get you down. I think he/she is just a troll who somehow got through the rating process. You never see a posting; just bad ratings. I hope TPM catches on before long, because it is a disservice to this forum.
November 1, 2005 4:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, please, please, please!!! Let it be true.
Timing is everything. Given the unfolding of various events over the last year, particularly the last few months, now was the perfect time to insist on accountability.
Givin' 'em hell, Harry. And they look like (lame) ducks who've been hit on the head.
November 1, 2005 4:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
I was reminded of the story (from a New Yorker profile) about how he leapt across the table and tried to choke the living shit out of some mobster who was trying to bribe him.
That mobster made a real mistake. All he had to do was hire one of Harry's sons as a consultant. The LA Times, hardly a conservative organ, wrote all about it a couple of years ago.
http://www.westlx.org/assets/HarryReid.pdf
November 1, 2005 5:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
I was suprised how well the GOP worked in lock step to try to change the subject since Friday.
Reid's move was brilliant tactically and might give some of the GOP moderates pause when considering whether they have to be assimilated by the Borg or whether it's in their best interest to remain independent of a weakened and desperate White House. I think the prevailing view on Friday was that moderates in the GOP HAD to jump on board of a newly-activist White House's agenda. Reid has demonstrated that it might be safer for many GOP elected officials to distance themselves from the White House's agenda.
I think.
November 1, 2005 5:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Interesting article. I missed the part with the quid pro quo. Although you could make a strong case that Reid is a heavy hitter in Nevada and that his son-in-law's consulting firm seems to have an inside track when it comes to lobbying to him this cannot be conflated with illegal activity.
A pretty weak case if that was supposed to be your point. Fortunately for you the Republicans are in absolute power so if he were corrupt and/or involved in ethical violations like Frist they could easily investigate him. Isn't it interesting that, even though the Democrats are powerless, all of the investigating and indictments and the corruption and cronyism are falling on the Republicans?
Imagine what it would be like for the Republicans if the Democrats were the majority party. Then, not only would the Justice Department and the other Administrative Agencies be rounding them up, but there would be actual hearings in Congress.
November 1, 2005 6:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Profile lists no info, no comments. I guess it/he/she joined to make number statements.
But oddly they don't seem to reflect any left or right agenda. Simply scoring which are the more fleshed-out points higher and the minor comments as ones and twos.
Sometimes comments are just that. Not actual points which add to the debate. Peaty seems to think these need rating. I tend to think of them as bits of thee conversation.
Frankly, I found "up yours" to be a rather pithy one.
November 1, 2005 6:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Isn't it interesting that, even though the Democrats are powerless, all of the investigating and indictments and the corruption and cronyism are falling on the Republicans?
Not a true statement. You need to broaden your reading:
http://www.suntimes.com/output/news/cst-nws-trs16.html
http://www.commercialappeal.com/mca/local_news/article/0,1426,MCA
_437_3808002,00.html
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2005/10/26/politics/main983972.sht
ml
November 1, 2005 7:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
He is reminding them that he has other tools at his disposal, including the ability to force votes on bills that the senate really would not want to vote on, and the ability to essentially stop business at will.
Shutting down business has been a great political move lately. Look what it did for Newt Gingrich!
November 1, 2005 7:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mark Schmitt's observation makes a lot of sense. Frist's reaction is particularly telling in this light. As WaPo reported,
Frist angrily denounced the move, charging that "the United States Senate has been hijacked by the Democratic leadership." He told reporters that he has never as majority leader "been slapped in the face with such an affront to the leadership of this grand institution."
Frist called the closed session "a pure stunt" by Reid, Durbin and the Democratic leadership.
Frist sharply criticized Reid personally, saying he could never trust the Democratic leader again.
That's a strong statement. His vehemence didn't make much sense to me at first. Now it does: he knew that he had lost something significant.
November 1, 2005 7:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Forgot the WaPo cite:
GOP Angered by Closed Senate Session
November 1, 2005 7:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Then Katrina exposed their disasterous incompetence and showed Bush to be naked in the face of national emergency, revealing that he'd been lying to us when he said he was keeping us safe. Then he badly bungled the Harriet Miers nomination. All the while Iraq was melting down even further and the clock kept ticking on Senator Pat Roberts's unkept promise to carry out phase two of the investigation into the Administration's use of prewar intelligence and then last Friday, Fitzgerald brought the big hammer down on Scooter and anyone with a brain knows that Scooter wasn't acting alone. Then today came and I feel better about today than about last Friday or just about any day this year from a political standpoint. But remember, the republicans haven't really done anything but "promise" to do something and we all know how they keep their promises.
November 1, 2005 7:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Basically, the Dems used a rule to take the bull by the horns for the first time in a long time. They are still too cowardly for my taste - Reid giving a litany of things he knows now that he didn't when he voted for the Oct 2002 blank check for Bush (bullfeathers) - but it's a major step in the right (as in correct) direction.
November 1, 2005 7:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Missing the boat here, bro.
The context is completely different.
November 1, 2005 7:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wimping out hasn't been all that great for the 2025 dead Americans and however many dead Iraqis.
November 1, 2005 7:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Harry could use some help, and a show of support.
How about a million women on the mall?
And a million men standing behind them?
I will be writing Harry's office tonight to let him know he has taken a large step in the right direction.
I will also be writing Sen. Warner's office letting him know the nuclear option is unacceptable, and that if he votes for it I will be voting for a potted plant before I ever vote for another Repub in Virginia.
November 1, 2005 7:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't forget treason - undermining a covert agent working on WMD issues.
November 1, 2005 7:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
The point about shifts in political momentum is a good one. Considering what's going on with Bush's popularity, it figures that this has to occur sooner or later in Congress.
Concerning Alito, it would be too bad but not unexpected if the Democrats allowed his candidacy to remain framed as about abortion. Alito has an apparently consistent record of opposing equality for women, under whatever guise -- also Title IX and the Family Leave Act -- and that's the way it should be framed now. Alito is another woman hater. Typically, these types are no nicer to ethnic minorities either.
November 1, 2005 7:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not so sure that our lame duck VP may not be insane from complications with his heart or at least ill in a way that effects his thinking, although when he was younger he was against MLK federal holiday and freeing Nelson Mandela from jail. So I guess he was always an "evil-doer".
November 1, 2005 7:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, no, no.
The article is completely wrong. Not only that it illustrates why the Democrats have been out of power so long.
The first rule of politics is you do what you can to get elected. That is, you present yourself to the voters as a good party to be in charge, NOT, repeat NOT, a good party to be in opposition.
This is why the Democrats don't win elections any more, because they still act as though they are the ones running things. They ran the Congress for so long they still act as though somehow they are in charge of anything.
Of course a minority party can easily act this way, throw their weight around, and influence legislation quite a bit, but it is a dreadful mistake to do so.
Why? Because if you are a good minority party then voters prefer to keep you as the minority party. On the other hand the Republicans are a terrible minority party so they get kicked upstairs into running things.
The whole first 4 years so far of Bush the Democrats have tried to present themselves as a brake, moderator, regulator of the Republicans. They were there to stop the Republicans messing things up too badly.
Consequently the voters thought they could vote Republican because the Democrats would find a way in the minority to clean up the mess. Even now people assume they can bring the Democrats in to fix the deficit any time they want.
So the voters get a bipartisan government with the Republicans in charge, and the Democrats holding them back. They get an aggressive policy and a minority party restraining it.
Why then would they want to break that up and put the Democrats in charge? Republicans made that mistake for years, acting as the sensible party to restriain the spend thrift Democrats, consequently they stayed in that role as the minority party.
Every time the press asks the Democrats about any issue they should say "We are not in power. We cannot say for sure without being in power ourselves. Vote for us otherwise ask the guys you voted for". The only things they should say is in criticising the Republicans, never ever suggest what they would do.
There is no upside to trying act like a governing minority party. The more the voters hear from you as things get bad they just see you as part of the government that screwed things up. If things go well then the Republicans point out it is their government and the Democrats have to pretend like they are Republican Lite to get some of the credit. So they appear wishy washy at best, and tainted by screw ups at worst.
If the Democrats want to win elections then SHUT UP. Let the Republicans screw it up without being able to say the Democrats supported it, just like they say with Iraq and everything else.
If people complain the Democrats are not presenting an alternative then say if they want an alternative policy don't vote Republican otherwise clean up your own mess.
The Democrats should have said nothing about Iraq except that they support the President because people voted for him not them.
In fact the Democrats should let the Republican stack the Supreme Court any way they want, and then point to it as the price people pay by electing someone like Bush. Democrats are not supposed to be Bush's nanny.
If Roe versus Wade is overturned Democrata should say that's the price of Republicanism. If people assume that Democrats will stop this then pro choice people have no reason to vote Democrat at all.
November 1, 2005 8:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here are my letters:
"Dear Senator Warner,
I am writing to copy you on a letter that I sent to Senator Reid this evening:
----------------------------------------------------------------- -------
"Dear Senator Reid-
Thank you for your actions today in the Senate! You have taken a first great step in taking the country back from the grip of those that have dishonored every life lost in Afghanistan and Iraq. The lies and deceptions that have derailed our security and safety in the past five years must be revelaed for what they were and still are. Bravo!
On another issue, I will be writing to Sen. Warner from Virginia where I currently reside and vote. I will be telling him that his vote for the "nuclear option" will make sure that my next votes will be for a potted plant before I vote for another Republican in Virginia.
When you threw 'em over your shoulder today on Capitol Hill, I could hear 'em clang all the way to Georgetown!
Give em Hell, Harry!"
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------
Senator Warner, in previous communications I have urged, applauded and supported your move to the "Gang of 14" and respect and admire your service to the country and the Senate.
I was shocked to find out that Sen. Roberts has stalled and stonewalled Phase 2. I think that in light of the criminal prosecutions stemming from the Vice-President's office, this matter MUST see the light of day. As I said in my letter to Sen. Reid, it does dishonor to every life lost in Afghanistan and Iraq to have any doubt about the credibility of the intelligence remain in the dark.
I also wish to let you know that after all the Republican exhortations about an "up or down vote", the President's cowardly withdrawal of Harriet Meirs and the subsequent capitulation to the extreme right wing of the fundamentalists with the nomination of the "second most qualified person in the country", Judge Alito, any execution of the "nuclear option" will be met by my votes, and anyone that I can convince, being cast for a potted plant rather than any Republican in Virginia. Ever.
November 1, 2005 8:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
In fact the Democrats should let the Republican stack the Supreme Court any way they want, and then point to it as the price people pay by electing someone like Bush.
Dude, I hope no Democrats are paying you for this kind of advice.
You cannot be serious.
The old "Dems shut up" strategy. Yeah, that'll work.
November 1, 2005 8:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
It may be difficult to prove a quid pro quo, but that doesn't mean that common sense says there is one. These businessmen obviously thought they were getting something for their money.
But then again, maybe it was just like Neil Bush's encounters with women in Hong Kong. People just "loved" Harry's son for no explainable reason.
Or it could all be a coincidence.
November 1, 2005 8:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have a theory about Congress, which is that there is often a moment when the effective majority switches, when the minority takes control of the agenda well before an election.
I have a theory about ass, which is that frustrated Democrats frequently talk out of theirs. Reid's move is smart and seizes a tempo, as chess players put it, back from the GOP. But we will control the agenda when we take back the majority, not before. There's a long way to go yet.
November 1, 2005 9:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well can you name a single occasion in the last 5 years where the Democrats have gained by not shutting up?
In the polls the Iraq War clearly shows people think it was a mistake. Democrats are completely neutralised on this though because they agreed with it, even though it was not their decision to make. If they had said nothing about the war then they would have beaten Bush easily last year. The Dems gained not one single thing from opening their mouth during the debate about the war, not one single thing.
They woke up to this with Social Security and let the Republicans screw it up by themselves, without the Dems trying to make it bipartisan.
Now they are talking about some mythical power shift. There is no power shift because the Republicans are still in power. All they will do is appear to the voters like the Dems are in charge of the screw ups. The Dems should be all attacks and criticism all the time.
Actually Saturday Night Live lampooned this perfectly in their spoof of the Bush Gore debates. When Bush tried to speak with his nonsense Gore would jump in, answer the question properly, and then say that was what Bush intended to say. Then Bush would be upset at the interruption, agree with it, even though he would have screwed it up if Gore had shut up.
November 1, 2005 9:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
That was Henry Waxman, I beleive. He has been doing great stuff for quite some time, but Ds just will not push the issues he brings up.
My opinion: Waxman is the best Rep in the house.
November 1, 2005 10:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
I just saw Sen. Santorum on C-span. He said that this was all a plot by the Dems to keep his party from reducing the size of government and reducing government spending. I feel so much better now that I have been imparted with his perspective and wisdom. Good God!
November 1, 2005 10:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Santorum, being a rather stupid individual, walked into a large hole. An important political tactic over the next year will be to get as many vulnerable GOP incumbents explicitly carrying water for the White House. Reid's closed session was the start of that process, and Frist's gang of petulant kids went on record.
Ricky basically said 'My priority is cutting social programs, not investigating why Pennsylvanians are getting blown up in Iraq.' Casey can feast on that one.
November 1, 2005 10:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Harry Truman said, "I never did give them hell. I just told the truth, and they thought it was hell."
This is the type of hell Republicans need.
Give 'em hell, Harry!
November 1, 2005 11:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
President Bush and the Republican-led Congress have increased the size of the government and turned a record surplus into a record deficit.
November 1, 2005 11:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Now, I know y'all aint whinig about bad ratings here I've probably posted 250 comments, been rated close to 1000 times and average about a 1.5, simply because I'm conservative. You get a low one and start tell people "up yours."... amazing
November 2, 2005 3:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't know, it seems like Harry Ried was having a Howard Dean moment to me (I know most of y'all think that's a good thing, but in at least 52% of the country it's not). He almost exploded when he was asked why he didn't inform the majority of his intent. Now usually it's the House where everyone is out of control, and the Senate provides the "adult supervision." No Sen Robertson said that the committee staff met yesturday and set a date to finish the report, and this "closed door meeting" Dems demanded that they finish the report by the date they agreed on yesturday (which makes sense to a Liberal, what you accomlish is not important it's what you say about it, how you feel about it and claiming credit for it whether you did anything or not). Now to be fair they did ask Sen. Rockafeller if it was true that the staffs of the inteligance committee had agreed to finish the report next week and he didn't answer (which also for liberals means they can claim whatever they want about it and when confronted later say the complete opposite). The problems for the Dems is that no matter how far the polls fall for the Republicans and the President, they're always a few points lower. Until they actually come up with one propsal they'll contiue to be seen as weak, defiant obstructionist (which initself isn't a bad thing as long as you can explain what and why you are obstructing, "we hate Bush" & "because" don't count as legitimate reasons).
November 2, 2005 3:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Let them go nuclear! It will prove, once more, what a bunch of wingnuts they are. I think we need to fight back, take no prisoners, and let the chips fall where they may. ALL the polls show that the majority of Americans KNOW this regime is a bunch of lying crooks and support "interventions" so they can't do any more damage. Besides, win or lose, it is time the Democrats found a principle or two to fight for and to win or die for.....Yeah Harry - you made my day.........
Impeach the chimp and hang the traitors. I want to watch King George eat Clinton "infamous cigar".....
November 2, 2005 4:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
If I recall correctly, Harry was an amateur boxer in his younger days. And one of the things they teach you as a boxer is that when you have a guy on the ropes, hit him even harder, with everything you've got. Throw leather. Land punches. Don't let him recover. I think that's what happened yesterday. Harry sensed that his opponent was hurt and back-pedaling, and he went in for the finish. I think his old coaches would have approved.
November 2, 2005 4:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
That mobster made a real mistake.
November 2, 2005 5:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dems demanded that they finish the report by the date they agreed on yesturday (which makes sense to a Liberal, what you accomlish is not important it's what you say about it, how you feel about it and claiming credit for it whether you did anything or not).
You nudnik, this investigation was promised by the Republicans in October of 2004. A YEAR has gone by, and nothing has been done about it. If you had a contractor working on your house, and he didn't do anything for a year, and you finally gave him a hard and fast deadline, and he came back with "Typical of a conservative, what you accomlish [sic] is not important it's what you say about it," you would hit him in the teeth, right?
November 2, 2005 5:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
While I think the up yours comment was called for (Peatey is clearly a troll if you check the record), you have a good point.
I think you (and a few other conservative voices who we don't see around here any more, which is our loss) do get unfairly rated a lot of the time.
November 2, 2005 5:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Dems gained not one single thing from opening their mouth during the debate about the war, not one single thing.
They woke up to this with Social Security and let the Republicans screw it up by themselves, without the Dems trying to make it bipartisan.
If you think what the Dems did in the run up to the war was "opening their mouth" then I'd hate to see what you think them shutting up looks like. All of them quitting?
They also did NOT let the GOPs "screw up" the SS debate -- the Dems were VERY loud on that issue, and we won it.
November 2, 2005 6:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
SFC - Just to set the record straight. You and I disagree on just about everything, but I don't low-rate you because of it. If I think your logic is off, but is at least original (not a talking point trotted out), I either give you a "good" or I don't rate you. By the way, I was NOT whining; I simply advised to ignore Peaty's ratings because they are knee-jerk and don't mean anything.
November 2, 2005 6:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, Notrol, where in VA do you live? I guess you can figure out my city. Don't you feel a little impotent when it comes to national elections? I would personally love to get rid of the Electoral College -- it is simply outdated and each citizen's vote should count equally as far as I'm concerned. Also, the candidates would have to actually appeal to everyone rather than concentrating on "battleground states." What do you think? (Not that it really matters: it will never change!)
November 2, 2005 6:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sen Robertson said that the committee staff met yesturday and set a date to finish the report, and this "closed door meeting" Dems demanded that they finish the report by the date they agreed on yesturday
Yes, and the Dems said that's not true.
Even if it is -- don't you find it insulting as an American that the the committee never followed up on the promised "Phase II" of their investigate -- the part that was supposed to look into the "why's" of what happened with the intel, and not just the "what's."
The indictment of Libby proved that there was lying and obstruction going on. There's something that the Republicans are hiding -- don't you want to know?
The other thing that should be pissing you off is that 5 years after 9/11, and we still haven't had shit done to make our country safer. The majority of the 9/11 Commission's recommendations are just sitting there. The Republicans control Congress, and they have no acted on these recommendations.
It's about time the Dems did what they did. Because sure as shit the Republicans are doing NOTHING about it.
I'm not saying this as a Democrat -- I'm saying this as an American. We are still wide open to a terrorist attack, and the Republicans are in power and therefore deserve the blame for that. There's no other way to look at it.
You know, you can claim "obstructionist" all you want, but some times being obstructionist is warranted. If the tables were turned, and a Democratic President took us to war the way Bush did, you can be damn sure the Republican Congress would be pulling the same "obstructionist" tactics.
So, please, we can have an honest debate, but let's keep it real, yo.
November 2, 2005 6:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
No, the Rep. who found a way to force a vote on the Davis-Bacon repeal was George Miller. Waxman has been tireless on war profiteering issues and many others, but this was Miller.
November 2, 2005 7:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
Frist called the closed session "a pure stunt" by Reid, Durbin and the Democratic leadership.
Frist sharply criticized Reid personally, saying he could never trust the Democratic leader again.
That's a strong statement. His vehemence didn't make much sense to me at first. Now it does: he knew that he had lost something significant.
Reid HAS to have something on the Republicans (more precisely on the administration). The closed session is completely secret, and if any Senator tells what went on he/she will lose office. If Reid didn't have some serious ammunition, the Democrats would not have gotten what he wanted from the Republicans. Frist could have just said "NO" He could have said, "OK, we'll make sure Part II gets done pretty soon, (as he checked out his manicure) and the committee will be 2 Democrats and 3 Republicans. Deal with it."
That didn't happen. Frist was obviously shaken. If Reid didn't have anything, Frist could have come out of the closed session shaking his head, and making fun of the Democrats for their "childish stunt." Instead he looked like he was going to have a stroke. There is some smoke and some fire too, and Frist can smell them both.
November 2, 2005 7:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
Crato: I agree with 90% of your comments, but not the theme that voters believed that Democrats...
...were there to stop the Republicans messing things up too badly.
Consequently the voters thought they could vote Republican because the Democrats would find a way in the minority to clean up the mess.
As a lone Democrat in a family of Republicans, I can tell you that no one thought the Republicans were messing up. This was their mantra:
Republicans lower taxes
Democrats want a "death tax"
Bush will keep us safe in the war on terror
Democrats are soft on defence
Bush & all Republicans are religious and therefore honest
Democrats are not Christians -- even the Catholic ones
Republicans believe in the "culture of life"
Democrats kill babies
I assume I don't need to go line by line and explain how fallacious these points are, but I assure you, these voters did not consider that the Democrats were benevolent house-cleaners who would fix the Republican mess.
The truth is: That is how Democrats see THEMSELVES!
The saddest truth is that in both elections the majority lost, and we will all have to clean up this mess if it is not already too late.
November 2, 2005 7:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Let them go nuclear! It will prove, once more, what a bunch of wingnuts they are.
I agree! Let them go nuclear! It is better to get Alito confirmed that way than by aqueezing the 60 votes they need without it. Besides, we might just be pretty glad to have the "no filibuster rule" for judges after the next elections.
November 2, 2005 7:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
November 2, 2005 7:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't know what the backstory is here, and I really don't care. "Up yours" is not an appropriate comment--period. If you believe someone is abusing the comment rating process, take it to the moderators. In a community such as this one, meeting abuse with incivility serves only to drag the whole discussion down to the ugliest level.
November 2, 2005 8:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
C'VilleDem-
And all this time by the nature of your posts, I thought your nom-de-plume meant civil ;<)
Well, you're either Charlottesville or Centreville, either place being pretty reasonable.
I'm just outside Fairfax, rhymes with cartax. I think Virginia's political soil is shifting. Democrat governors (admittedly "moderate", read=more like Eisenhower republicans) and the absurdities of the local races are making the NOVA area fair game for dem candidates. The real progress needs to be in the southern (y'all) end of the state. When driving through those areas, seeing wide roads and no traffic ('cept around Virginia Beach), it's easy to see why they buy into a Kilgore type mindset. We "librul northerners" sound like a threat to their very existance. What they miss is the fact that this small area of the state generates the revenue that keeps it going.
In a national perspective, I don't feel any more or less disenfranchised as those from my old home, Ohio, after they had the election stolen by the crooks that now occupy the State House. I heard the other day that Taft's polls are at 15%!! That's slightly higher than Il Duce in Italy before they dragged him through the streets on a meathook. With the Taft/Noe/Ney/DeLay/Abramoff linkage now becoming visible, I hope the national Dems are making some serious plans. The Republicans used to be on the model of Voinovich, (hopefully to make a full recovery from his own party inflicted wounds), which was at least tolerable.
In Virginia, I find Warner to be reasonable in judgment on the whole. I find George Allen, however, to be a drooling mouth-breather. Wait, I don't want to sugar-coat it.....
November 2, 2005 8:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
Notrol - That's Charlottesville -- a slightly blue section of Virginia. I have hopes that Kaine will pull it out, although my Republican family is steadfastly for Kilgore because "he won't raise taxes." God, I'm so sick of hearing that mantra!
George Allen makes my skin crawl ALMOST as much as Kilgore, but my mother likes him becaue of his daddy! Oh, I have to stop coming here!
I heard Andrew Weil on the Diane Rehme show yesterday and one of his recommendations for longevity was a weekly "news fast." I think he was talking to me!
November 2, 2005 8:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
DMB territory?
I have been mulling that "fasting" over, and have been limiting my screen time lately. The more garbage I see on "news" channels propels me here, but info overload can cause heads to suddenly explode ;<)
November 2, 2005 9:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
Two Senate leadership changes while Bush has been in office, and imo both favored the Dems.
1. Frist took over for Lott. Lott was more independent than Frist, who has been little more than the WH's toady, but Lott was much more effective at running the Senate. Frist, in comparison, looks spineless and incompetent.
2. Reid took over for Daschle. Daschle never appeared to understand his role of leading the minority party -- that is, to oppose the Republicans. We miss his vote but not his leadership. Getting Reid instead has been a plus. Harry knows how to give 'em hell.
November 2, 2005 9:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Two Senate leadership changes while Bush has been in office, and imo both favored the Dems.
1. Frist took over for Lott. Lott was more independent than Frist, who has been little more than the WH's toady, but Lott was much more effective at running the Senate. Frist, in comparison, looks spineless and incompetent.
2. Reid took over for Daschle. Daschle never appeared to understand his role of leading the minority party -- that is, to oppose the Republicans. We miss his vote but not his leadership. Getting Reid instead has been a plus. Harry knows how to give 'em hell.
November 2, 2005 9:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
Missing the boat here, bro.
The context is completely different
That's not how it will be played in the media if it goes on for more than a day.
Do you have any examples of when it has been done successfully in the past?
November 2, 2005 9:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
I imagine that part of the reason for Frist's meltdown is that he saw the very last vestiges of his presidential ambiitons going down the tubes. Between the Terry Schiavo fiasco, the insider trading invesitgation and now this - even he must finally be realizing that he's a fairly powerless leader who gets humilated by both the White House and the Democrats.
November 2, 2005 10:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
I say filibuster.
But instead of reading from the phone book, find every scrap of paper that exists on the faulty intelligence used to take this country to war in Iraq.
Downing Street memo, Fitz's indictment, everything.
November 2, 2005 10:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Definitely DMB territory. I even run into Boyd Tinsley when I'm on the treadmill at the gym sometimes (which is interesting because I know he could join the Farmington Country Club, but he comes to my more modest place.) 2 weeks ago it was even Rolling Stones Territory - what a concert!
As much as I would like to start my newsfast, this is just not the week to do it!
November 2, 2005 12:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Slightly off-topic, but it does fit in with changing political tides:
You guys in Fairfax and the rest of suburban Washington are key players in next week's gubernatorial election. Tim Kaine needs a good showing from supporters there to counter Killgore's strength in the rural south and southwestern part of the state. A political scientist I heard on the local radio the other week was remarking that the more rural-suburban areas of NoVa (Loudoun, Spottsylvania, etc.) were showing signs in the last presidential election of turning more Democratic, which bodes well.) Be sure to encourage your Democratic friends and neighbors to get out and vote!
(My parents are staunch Republicans, but my father was expressing an interest in Russ Potts recently, and I was encouraging him to go for Potts, figuring that he'd never vote for the Democrat, but a vote for Potts would be the next best thing from my perspective. Besides, Potts is one of those Eisenhower-type Republicans you were talking about. Or at least closer to that than most of the rest of the Republicans in the state government these days.)
--slb in Richmond
November 2, 2005 12:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
jay - Nice, except that the filibuster has changed from the Mr. Smith times. Now they just declare a filibuster, go and get a nice long lunch, and no one has to even say anything. It is mainly procedural.
Your idea is great though because they could do it just as you described, and it would be even more effective when you consider that no one bothers with the yakking any more! I'm sure the TMP Cafe-sitters would love to provide reading material for them!
Maybe the Democrats' new slogan should be:
BACK TO BASICS
You know: Rule 21, Talking Filibusters, Peace, Truth in Budgeting, Fiscal Responsibility, Rule of Law (as opposed to Bush's Rule o' law - wow, was it leaving out that little "f" that has had enormous consequenses for our country?), etc...
November 2, 2005 12:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
But oddly they don't seem to reflect any left or right agenda. Simply scoring which are the more fleshed-out points higher and the minor comments as ones and twos.
My take is that "Peatey" has an extremely low tolerance for anything remotely "pithy". One of his 1-ratings, for example, was for a message in this thread that referred to Frist, Lott, and the other loudly complaining Republicans as "whiners."
Peatey, if you're reading this: Not every message in a thread needs to be a Pulitzer candidate. Rate minor comments with a 3 ("OK") if you must rate them at all; save the 2s for comments you find completely out of line (not just somewhat negative), and 1s should be given out only rarely, and for things that are entirely meritless or are objectionable to the point of being abusive.
November 2, 2005 1:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ooops, that 1-rated comment was not in this thread, but in a closely related one. Sorry.
November 2, 2005 1:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
You might find that people were more receptive to your messages if you expressed yourself less acerbically.
November 2, 2005 1:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Reid called a closed session, what does that mean? Did he bring things to a vote when republicans were not there to vote on it?
No, he just took away their TV cameras.
November 2, 2005 1:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Every time the press asks the Democrats about any issue they should say "We are not in power. We cannot say for sure without being in power ourselves. Vote for us otherwise ask the guys you voted for". The only things they should say is in criticising the Republicans, never ever suggest what they would do.
You're not reading the history of the last 15 or 20 years (or maybe I should say of the last 50-60). The Republicans didn't come to power after spending 40 years in the political wilderness by being retiring. They did it by being pugnacious and by telling people "If you put us in power, here's what we intend to do:". Remember the "Contract with America"? That's part of what won the day for them in 1994. Sure, they haven't lived up to squat, but the point is, they put forward a bold and unified vision, and voters were eager to buy.
That's exactly what Democrats need to do. Shrugging passively and saying, "Hey, it's not my fault" is not leadership, and people are not going to want to--in fact should not want to--put people in charge of the country who would be willing to see it go down the tubes rather than lift a finger to save it if there's a chance the opposition would get the credit for it.
November 2, 2005 1:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well can you name a single occasion in the last 5 years where the Democrats have gained by not shutting up?
I was trying hard to think what occasion that might be, where Democrats didn't shut up. They shut up on the issue of the war--all but a handful voted to give Bush the authority he wanted. They shut up on the PATRIOT act; they shut up on tax cuts; they shut up on the Bankruptcy Bill; they eventually shut up on the confirmation of the last batch of Bush's extremist right-wing judicial appointments. What did it gain them? Nothing that I can see. It enabled the Republicans to paint them as wimps with no core values, unwilling to fight for their own agenda, so how could they be trusted to fight for the country?
Then you reminded me: Social Security. But on that issue "cscs" is absolutely right--they defeated the Republicans by not shutting up. You've got it all exactly backwards; did you step through the looking glass or something?
November 2, 2005 2:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
If Senator Robertson was reporting the details of what was discussed in a closed-door meeting of the Senate, then he is in violation of Senate rules and as I understand it could be expelled from that body. Not that I think his Republican cohorts would vote to hold one of their own to the rules, but...
November 2, 2005 2:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Newt shut down the executive branch, by withholding its budget. That's the branch that we notice on a day-to-day basis, whenever we use parks, museums, etc. Basically, it's the branch that actually spends the money to hire people to do stuff for Americans.
Reid is threatening a shutdown of the legislature, specifically the Senate. He's already ruled out a complete block of the budget. So that means no new legislation, no opportunity for Republicans to advance their initiatives, and a lock-in of the status quo. This is bad for the Republicans who need to pay back their corporate sponsors, but in essence it's not much different than the the sort of gridlock that has often occurred when one party doesn't control everything (e.g. Reagan era).
November 2, 2005 3:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
You know what they say... "One man's acerbity, is another man's mellowness"
November 2, 2005 3:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
or "acerbity is in the eye of the beholder"
November 2, 2005 3:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rest assured, if I say it it came from my head, I'm not on any "talking points" mailing list. I listen, read, think then speak (usually in that order). If you think something sounds like a talking point, it's probably just that "great minds think alike thing."
November 2, 2005 3:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
The indictment of Libby show's that he may have lied to the grand jury about where he heard Valarie Plame's name. It has nothing to do with the pre-war intel.
November 2, 2005 4:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well the first two don't fly. One is awaiting a trip to the paid archives and the other requires registering so I'll have to take your word for it. The third...a former Governer of Alabama. Well Waren G. Harding and grant were corrupt and they are former Republicans. So.
Oooooh. Three stories. Man those corrupt Democrats are everywhere. Hopefully, if they are guilty, justice will be served. The article you mentioned about Reid did not accuse him of corruption. It did paint a picture of politics as usual. Damn. Why isn't the Republican House, Republican Senate, or the Republican Executive Branch making any effort to get to the bottom of this???
So are you hoping for full congressional investigations for Frist, DeLay, Libby and the many other Republicans who played with Aberremoth?
Funny how I don't spend any time trying to defend corruption and I would be happy to have Reid, Frist, Delay, Libby, et al, investigated by a non-partisan congressional panel. You seem to only want to talk about corruption (implied or actual) if the target is a Democrat. Please list your 10 most corrupt Republicans and prove that your not some party troll. Ohio alone should give you five or six.
I'll stick to my point. Republicans control the Federal government. If any Democrats are corrupt there is absolutely NOTHING to stop the Republicans from doing something about it. And it is interesting that in the main, even though the Administration and the Congress (both houses) are doing their best to prevent ANY investigation into corruption the Republicans are so corrupt they are getting indicted anyway.
November 2, 2005 4:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Common sense. God if that was all we needed we could indict every member of the Bush White House who hasn't already resigned.
Fortunately the House, Senate and Executive Branch are all in the hands of honest Republicans as they will surely investigate any corruption.
And if the Reid story is enough for you to think he is corrupt you must already be howling for the head of every Republican who is linked to DeLay and Aberremoth.
November 2, 2005 4:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dude, they didn't "DO" anything. They are all bluster and show. So they stopped the Senate for 2 hours, what did they "DO?"
Do you feel safer today?
You know, you can claim "obstructionist" all you want, but some times being obstructionist is warranted. If the tables were turned, and a Democratic President took us to war the way Bush did, you can be damn sure the Republican Congress would be pulling the same "obstructionist" tactics.
Actually Republicans don't act like that. Now they'll obstruct and fight and call names with the best of them, until you go to war. This is where the parties are easily seperated. If the tables were turned, I don't believe one Republican would be on the floor of the Senate accusing soldiers of being like Nazis or Pol Pot. I don't believe a former Republican Vice President would be on foriegn soil (or anywhere for that matter) accusing soldiers of "routienly torturing" prisoners. As a matter of fact,when the U.S. bombed the Chinese embassy in Yugoslavia, how many Republican representatives accused the President Clinton (and the Air Force) of "intentionally targeting civillians"?
It doesn't happen, it's you guys that do it every time. So please, let's do be honest, Yo!
November 2, 2005 4:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's not what I'm saying. The Democrats for the last 5 years have been playing the role of the only ones on a ship of fools who sees that it is sinking, so they are the ones trying to man the pumps.
Meanwhile the Republican use this to enact even more extreme politics. Since they know the Dems try and tone down the more extreme nonsense the Republicans just get angry at this, since they see things like filibusters as the Dems not conceding they lost the election. So they see this as signs of an elitist dictatorship.
This is bad for the Dems because they do all this work and get no credit for it from the Republicans.
It's also bad among the Independants. They are worried about the excesses of the Republicans but the Dems are acting like they still have enough control to blunt these excesses while in the minority. So independants have nothing to fear from these excesses and hence no reason to vote Democrat.
So the Dems jumping in with advice and trying to govern from the minority either 1. upsets people as democratic. 2. Allow Republicans to claim their policies were just about to work when the Dems stepped in. 3. They were going to do what the Dems did except they didn't have a chance.
So instead of thinking the Dems are doing a good job and voting for them, voters think the Republican margin needs to be increased so they can see what Republican policies do without interference.
And Dem voters see their party apparently still in charge to some degree, like filibustering in the senate, and don't feel threatened enough to vote.
Whenever reporters ask Dems what they should do they should say 1. The Republicans won the election, so Dems are powerless to do anything. 2. They don't want to second guess the President, if they want their opinion put the Dems in charge. 3. They don't want to back seat drive.
Voters won't mind this if the Dems make the point that being in the minority has large disadvantages which prevent them from making effective decisions to compare with Republican ones.
That leaves then to criticise everything Bush does all the time, without being put on the spot as to whether they could do better, or that they supported the President's policies.
There is nothing unusual about this, this is how opposition parties do things all over the world. No opposition party elsewhere breathes a word about policy until just before the election when people are listening, so all the press is on the ruling party's mistakes.
If the ruling party is doing well then nothing will make a difference anyway, especially not the Dems trying to jump in, try to steal the credit, say they are still in charge kinda, say they are really Republican Lite, etc. So they may as well shut up.
If the ruling party is doing badly then it is essential the opposition party shuts up about themselves and concentrates all the criticism on the ruling party.
Reid is just preparing to mess things up. He appears anti democratic, like the Republicans didn't really win. Alito is the prive Dems pay for not supporting the Dems in the last election, so let the voters have the bad consequences they voted for. Otherwise they will just keep voting Republican.
November 2, 2005 5:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Newt shut down the executive branch, by withholding its budget. That's the branch that we notice on a day-to-day basis, whenever we use parks, museums, etc. Basically, it's the branch that actually spends the money to hire people to do stuff for Americans.
Newt didn't withhold anyone's budget. He and Dole passed continuing resolutions that Clinton threatened to veto. Clinton planned on the shutdown because his polling showed that the Republicans would take the blame.
Reid is threatening a shutdown of the legislature, specifically the Senate. He's already ruled out a complete block of the budget. So that means no new legislation,
So how do you think that will play in the media? I don't have any polling myself, but does "no new legislation" because of Democratic obstruction sound like a good thing to non-partisan moderates? What's a "partial" block of the budget? It doesn't take a whole lot for shutting down the legislature to turn into shutting down the executive that it funds.
November 2, 2005 5:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
slb-
I had heard on KoJo Nambe's show that the independants were swinging to either Potts or Kaine. Since Potts' move out of the Republican party was more a fight for money and leadership in the VAGOP, but not a change of stripes necessarily, I would caution raising any hopes of a Potts campaign being substantially different.
In your situation, however, one less for that fascist Kilgore is still one less for that fascist Kilgore.
November 2, 2005 6:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Check this for example, its from the very next topic:
http://www.newyorker.com/online/content/?051107on_onlineonly01
"How about the Democrats? Have they found their way on this yet?
On balance, the Democrats have had a very successful strategy since their crushing defeat in the 2004 election: We don't have to be responsible grownups anymore; we can just criticize everything that the Administration does, and stand back and let them make mistakes. So they don't have an incentive to find an answer on this. Probably their best move is just to let it play out. The trial is automatically going to be great for the Democrats without their having to do anything."
The problem is the Dems put themselves on the record as supporting the Iraq War when they didn't need to. They lost the election, they don't have to take a stand on anything, except criticise Bush and ask for votes next time.
The Bush Administration will lose all by themselves because they are incompetent. The only chance they have is bipartisanship so they can say later the Dems are just as bad because they agreed with us.
And I think the record clearly shows the Dems backed off with Social Security and the Republicans lost because people didn't want their policies. The Dems refused to offer a plan on Social Security at all. People started to realise then the Dems won't be there to protect them on Social Security because they lost the election.
If Alito gets confirmed then all pro choice people will realise that it happened because they didn't vote Democrat. If the Dems stop Alito then why do they need to vote Democrat for?
The motto for the Dems should be "Don't blame us, you voted Republican". Not "Vote Republican, we'll find a way to run things anyway".
Trying to make a power shift before the election just makes people think the Dems are partially in charge therefore partially to blame.
November 2, 2005 9:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
You have a strange view of history. Bush made it the whole issue of the Congressional elections, that the Dems had to decide just before the election on this. The whole debatewas about what their opinion was.
If they voted against it they looked unpatriotic, if for it now they can't complain about what happened. What they should have done is what you said incorrectly that they did, they should have said Bush was the president and it was his decision.
All this about it being Congress's decision was just a plan by Rove to make the Dems take a side on it to be criticised later.
How many times did the Republicans call Kerry a waffler on his stance about the war? If he had said it was the president's decision and he wouldn't second guess him in a time of war then he would have won the election. The Republicans themselves said that's what Kerry should have said.
Nothing Kerry said about the war did anything but lose votes. He should have shut up about it. The problem was the Dems don't understand they are out of power yet, so they can't start acting like an opposition.
In fact that's what Lieberman said which is why so many Republicans would have voted for him, and Lieberman would likely have won.
November 2, 2005 9:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
"The Republicans didn't come to power after spending 40 years in the political wilderness by being retiring. They did it by being pugnacious and by telling people "If you put us in power, here's what we intend to do:". Remember the "Contract with America"? That's part of what won the day for them in 1994. Sure, they haven't lived up to squat, but the point is, they put forward a bold and unified vision, and voters were eager to buy.
That's exactly what Democrats need to do"
I agree with you but this is not what the Dems have been doing. They've been acting as if bipartisanship means they still have power, when all it did was either make them look like Republican Lite (losing their base) or not being able to criticise Bush because they agreed with him (and even tried to be more Hawkish than him).
Laying out a policy is completely different. It should be different from what Bush does though. Bipartisanship is just another way of saying to the voters, don't vote for us, we'll be happy campers in the minority anyway.
The Dems need to do four things, just like every other opposition party in the world does. 1. Attack everything the Republican do, on the law of averages any party in power will screw things up eventually.
2. Never be bipartisan in anything, it just means you are no different from the Republicans, and get tainted by their inevitable screw ups. 3. Have your own distinct policies so people know what you stand for, and build your base. 4. Never say what you would do in the present. If you are right people think you are effective in the minority and don't need to put you in the majority. If you are wrong they won't vote for you anyway. All it does is give the Republicans 8 years of statements to target as waffles and mistakes to set against their own mistakes. Shut up until 6 months before the next election and people will see you as a fresh alternative.
November 2, 2005 9:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually the whole outing of Valerie Plame has everything to do with pre-war intel. The reason for the indictment I believe is to pressure Libby into providing more info. This will eventually tie into Cheney, forged Nigerian documents, John Bolton, Carl Rove and probably Bush himself.
November 3, 2005 9:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
The difference is that shutting down the Senate while it proceeds with its ponderous legislative processes has nothing to do with anything that happens to anybody. Whether or not they return to their pork division debate doesn't affect anybody's lives except the recipients. If they went out of sesssion until Christmas, it wouldn't make any difference. Oh--sorry--except to the Supreme Court confirmation process.
What Newt did was refuse to pass enabling legislation that permitted the entire Federal government to function. I don't remember exactly what it was, but the easiest way to do that is to refuse to raise the debt ceiling when it comes into play. When Newt shut down the government, he didn't stop house debate. He stopped cutting payroll checks for National Park workers, like the ones at the Washington Monument. If Reid were to force the senate into closed session every day, then all that would happen is all the Senators would be enormously inconvenienced.
But the proof is in the pudding. If the Republicans thought Americans would get all pissed off with the Democrats for insisting that the Intelligence committee investigate why the US is in a war that it is, by all apparent outside observations, that the US is not winning they could have refused to move forward on the investigation.
They didn't
In Gingrich's case, he thought the public would blame Clinton for something Gingrich did. In this case, apparently both the dem and republican senators agree that stopping business over this investigation would highlight the investigation's never taking place.
November 3, 2005 12:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
You have a strange view of history.
Believe me, I have been thinking the same of you.
...they should have said Bush was the president and it was his decision.
And they would have been surrendering their Constitutional duty to serve as a check on the executive branch. Anyone who did that should have been voted out of office for being of less use than the furniture in the Senate Office Building.
If he [Kerry] had said it was the president's decision and he wouldn't second guess him in a time of war then he would have won the election.
And in my view, Kerry lost the election in part because he refused to challenge Bush effectively on the war. How can you hold those in power accountable unless you stand up and demand accountability? If Kerry had said he refused to second-guess the president in time of war, isn't that telling the voters they should do the same, and re-elect the incumbent president?
The problem was the Dems don't understand they are out of power yet, so they can't start acting like an opposition.
Say what? Are you saying that you can't be an opposition party if you are out of power? Because if that's what you are saying, we really are in the land of the Red Queen.
In fact that's what Lieberman said which is why so many Republicans would have voted for him, and Lieberman would likely have won.
If I had had to choose between Lieberman and Bush on election day, I'm not sure I would have bothered to go to the polls at all. And Republicans have shown time and again that if you give them a choice between voting for a faux-Republican and the real thing, they'll vote for the real thing every time. Lieberman would have been buried in a Bush landslide.
November 3, 2005 2:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
First you say Democrats should shut up, then you say they should attack everything the Republicans do, regardless of whether it has merit or not. Somehow, I don't think you are the best person to be telling the Democrats how to make it clear to the electorate what they stand for. I can't make heads or tails out of what you stand for.
November 3, 2005 3:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
or "acerbity is in the eye of the beholder"
And here I thought it was spit...
November 3, 2005 3:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
I had heard on KoJo Nambe's show that the independants were swinging to either Potts or Kaine.
Oh, that's encouraging!
that fascist Kilgore
There was a time that I had some respect for Jery Kilgore. But then when he turned thumbs down on a televised public debate and started that nasty ad campaign, I wrote him off as just like the rest of that ultra-conservative crew.
November 3, 2005 3:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Crato! Is your ENTER key broken? You need some paragraph breaks, man!
November 3, 2005 3:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually the whole outing of Valerie Plame has everything to do with pre-war intel. The reason for the indictment I believe is to pressure Libby into providing more info. This will eventually tie into Cheney, forged Nigerian documents, John Bolton, Carl Rove and probably Bush himself.
Man!! Y'all love a conspiracy. Joe Wilson came back from Niger, accused the Bush administraton of lying about prewar intel. (when he apparently said something else in his report) in the papers, and claimed he was sent (kind of) by the VP. Everyone in the administration said "B.S." and went about finding who sent him. Come to find out, he was recommended to go by his wife. Scooter Libby said "the guy's lying, he wasn't sent by us, his wife works at the CIA and she sent him." The rest is history, if I turn out to be wrong I'll gladly admit it (something 95% of you will fail to do... just like when I told you the DeLay indictment would be tossed Good guys 1- Y'all 0, and when the 2nd DeLay case gets tossed, don't worry I'll keep score for you).
November 3, 2005 3:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am howling for the heads of Abramoff, DeLay, Blunt, Senselessbrenner, Cheney, the Dukestir, Katherine Harris and the horses they rode in on.
But as an environmental lawyer who represents the environmental side, I can tell you from long experience before many California state and local agencies that Republicans do not have a monopoly on corrupt campaign donations as quid-pro-quo favors on development, pollution and logging. Can you say Gray Davis?
My point was simply that just because the charge can't be proven to twelve jurors beyond a reasonable doubt doesn't mean that a quid-pro-quo wasn't exactly what was happening.
November 4, 2005 3:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
if I turn out to be wrong I'll gladly admit it
Those assertions have been shown to be wrong any number of times on this site, but I'm not going to hold my breath waiting for you to admit it.
November 5, 2005 9:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
If the tables were turned, I don't believe one Republican would be on the floor of the Senate accusing soldiers of being like Nazis or Pol Pot
Tell me what Delay was doing in Europe comforting Milosovic when Clinton and Clark were waging war aganst him (with 0 casualties, by the way) and then re-read and perhaps re-think your post.
Liberals and Conservatives will do whatever is politically expedient at the time, no more and no less..
November 7, 2005 10:57 PM | Reply | Permalink