The Era of Big Government
I think a lot of people are recognizing the basic point, but Ryan Lizza has a great factoid in his article about Republican dissaray:
The demographics of the GOP also make a hard-right run tempting. Recently, pollster Tony Fabrizio has been asking Republican voters whether their most important goal "is to promote individual freedom by reducing the size and scope of government and its intrusion into the lives of its citizens" or "to promote traditional values by protecting traditional marriage and the life of the unborn." In his most recent survey, 34 percent of Republicans take the freedom position and 49 percent take the values position.
This doesn't so much make a "hard-right run" tempting as it does a run that emphasizes hard-right positions on theocracy and moderate economic policies. We're used to hearing Republicans with hard-right economic policies and moderate stances on culture and values described as "moderate" but it's six of one half a dozen of the other in terms of who's more moderate. Or, really, since by all indications social conservatism is more popular than economic conservatism, someone whose views were the reverse of Susan Collins' would arguably be the real moderate.
Be that as it may, this is why the era of big government being over is over. It would be a serious mistake to confuse Bush's brand of big conservatism with liberalism, or with any kind of real concession to liberalism, but it suggests that the underlying political dynamics have shifted a great deal. If you did have a progressive president, there's no longer a particularly large amount of popular resistance to expanding the activist state. Even most Republicans don't especially care about small government.






What's the conceptual boundry between big government and intrusive government?
On the one hand, there's government of large expensive programs that require a sizeable tax base. On the other hand, there's government that legislates its way to your kitchen table, your television, your bedroom. When conservatives say that they're opposed to government interfering with individual freedom, one would think that they meant Intrusive Government (if I may capitalize). But this is belied by the theocratic agenda of social conservatism. What they are opposed to, then, is Big Government, and here, its tendentious to say that the issue is 'intrusion into the lives of citizens.'
Of course, the boundary isn't so clean, so this oversimplifies considerably. Still, I suspect that they've managed to keep the Goldwaterite Western Conservatives and the Bible Belt social conservatives in the same camp by conflating the two ideas.
October 21, 2005 10:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, we shall see what happens when there is a Democratic, not to say Progressive, President. My guess: The major media outlets will turn all the investigative and critical resources that have been on hold since 2001 on that person, with a fury that will make Clinton's last years look tame. The Radicals will start screaming about "tax and spend liberals". And the media will back them up on those screams.
sPh
October 21, 2005 10:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bush has brought us into the era of Big, Stupid Government.
It's NOT the govt, stupid -- it's the stupid Bush govt.
October 21, 2005 10:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
The bigest part of the big US government is, of course, the big military-industrial complex. The big military-industrial complex doesn't do much of 'intrusion into the lives of its citizens'; it takes some of their money and from time to time kills people in faraway places. So, they don't really have much to complain about in this respect.
If only we could figure out how to use smart bombs to promote traditional values by protecting traditional marriage and the life of the unborn - then everything would immediately fall into place.
October 21, 2005 10:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
I have long argued (at least with myself), that the myth of small government is just that, a myth. Neither party is vested in creating a smaller government, thereby, reducing their political power and influence on Americans.
The only real differences between the parties is: (a) The Priorities of Government and (b) How to Fund It.
The Repubs believe in the myth of tax cuts and spend, delaying the pain until some far off disaster forces them to deal with it.
The Dems believe in creating the revenues as much as possible, up front (with tax increases) until they get thrown out of office by the tax cut and spend Republicans.
But smaller government - that is simply not going to happen in any significant manner.
As for the fine line the Republicans have walked between financial and social intrusiveness, this too may become another widening crack, in the wall of solididarity. Things simply seem to be impoding amoungst the Republican bases right now. It will be interesting to see all the consequences of their recklessness over the past five years.
October 21, 2005 10:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think sphealey has it right: Republicans are not so hot on smaller government. But they ARE very hot on not raising taxes.
So if Matthew thinks that a future progressive administration will be able to expand the size of government, he's right. But if he thinks that a future progressive administration will be able to raise taxes in order to PAY FOR an expanded size of government, well, that's where I would object.
October 21, 2005 10:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Also, does Matthew really think that Susan Collins is "hard right" on economic policy? He seems to imply that Republicans like her are hard right on economic policy, but moderate on social policy, whereas the Republican base is hard right on social policy but moderate on economic policy. But I have my doubts that she is "hard right" on economic policy.
October 21, 2005 10:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Were those the only two choices? And could they pack any more feelgood buzz words in?
I am not complaining about the results I suspect an honest choice "Are you for cutting taxes" or "Are you for preventing gay marriage and preventing abortion?" would give you just about the same result. But jeez, the technique was kind of heavy handed.
October 21, 2005 10:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
If you did have a progressive president, there's no longer a particularly large amount of popular resistance to expanding the activist state. Even most Republicans don't especially care about small government.
But do you really believe that they ever did?! It has always struck me as strange that there doesn't seem to be more of a place for a kind of Painean libertarianism within progressive politics. "That government is best which governs least." seems to generally be dismissed as inimicable to the principles guiding an "activist state". But why should it be? Such a progressivism would seek to fight moribund, overreaching bureaucracies by promoting smart, effective, local, self-knowledgable government.
October 21, 2005 10:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
Do you not believe Grover Norquist's stated postion in regarding to starving theg beast? I ask because it seems that both parties reflect various divides in the country. As David Stockman said in his book Reagan cared a lot about cutting taxes but very little about cutting spending.
October 21, 2005 11:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bryan
Do you think that there is a defference between Republican and Democratic officeholders and their related activists and voters? Large government is a bit like the federal and trade deficits they seem like bad things but no one votes because of them. Republican Americans may want lower taxes and the right to tell all of us how to pray and who to have sex with but they want low cost land and water out west and various business subsidies.
Democratic voters might be willing to pay somemore in taxes to help the less fortunate and they are certainly willing to tell Americans how to live but about cigarettes, and the environment and issues of race. However Democrats also like to have their social programs paid for by groups they are not as fond of, landlords, "the rich" and white ethnics.
October 21, 2005 11:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
Economic interests are generally more authentic than cultural ones. The 34% really want their taxes lowered and their businesses to be more laxly regulated, and aren't content with symbolism. By contrast, for many of the 49%, their satisfaction is at least partially obtained in the act of voting itself, and in associated forms of cultural identification like listening to talk radio.
Throw in the fact that the contributions of the 34% pay for the campaign of fear and loathing directed at the 49%, and it ceases to be mystery why Republicans talk like James Dobson, but walk like Grover Norquist.
October 21, 2005 11:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
The problem for the GOP is that running hard (social) right doesn’t buy them any more votes with the public than they already have and may cost them votes in the places they really need: the purple and blue-purple states and counties. Look at Rick Santorum’s trouble in Pennsylvania for example. (The Democrats would have the mirror image problem here too, if they sought to run hard left on social issues.)
October 21, 2005 11:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why is there such little "place for a kind of Painean libertarianism within progressive politics"? woodwose
Because there really is no such thing as "progressive politics" -- hasn't been since 1924c. The word "progressive" is nothing more than a semiotic re-labeling of that scary word "liberal."
On this board we're all still European syndicalists and social democrats.
But don't despair. Whigs to Republicans; Democrats to Libertarianians.
October 21, 2005 11:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
Daniel:
Do you think that there is a difference between Republican and Democratic officeholders and their related activists and voters?
Yes, unequivically. That's why I believe the true differences between the parties, and there supporters is between the priorities each see government engaged in, on behalf of the stakeholders. In other words, the Republicans mantra about 'smaller goverment' is really an unworkable idea, when it comes to actual governance. And I think they are now finding that out.
The thing differentiates the two parties, is both the 'what', and 'how', they want to impact the lives of Americans. Your brief summary of those differences are a good place to start, but others could be added. The conservatives want as pure a market-based approach as possible, where as progressives believe there is a legitimate place for government involvement, for protections of workers, the environment and the general populace. But each of these focuses (by conservatives and progressives) require an activist government to achieve the end goals.
One of the things I hope the Democrats beginning doing next year, during the mid-terms, is to de-bunk the myth of small government, and turn the debate into one of PRIORITIES of government. One of the easiest differences in priorities will be between the priorities of the conservatives to address the needs of corporate America, whereas the progressives address the needs of individual Americans. That discussion alone will appeal to those Americans who are now feeling they are much more on their own, and would like to feel like someone is working on their behalf.
Big/little government. It simply isn't the defining factor between parties any longer. The Republicans have done a great job of demonstrating that political reality.
October 21, 2005 11:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
But each of these ["wants"] (by conservatives and progressives) require an activist government to achieve the end goals. Bryan Nelson
I don't understand. Why do market-based solutions require an "activist government"?
October 21, 2005 12:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
<i>If you did have a progressive president, there's no longer a particularly large amount of popular resistance to expanding the activist state. Even most Republicans don't especially care about small government.</i>
If true, then great, Democratic nominees will not have to worry about being smeared as the tax and spend party of big government.
Do you believe that?
October 21, 2005 12:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Aaaaargh--has anyone on this site been west of the Appalachians or south of Virginia (but east of the Cascades)?
First, Matt, if you look at a survey of Republicans of course a large number are going to vote for values first--that's all the religious right speaking. But the Republican strength at the polls hasn't come solely from Republicans--it's come from Independents (and some crossover Democrats) who've voted for Republicans because (I think you'd find if you actually listened to them) they think government spending is too high and taxes are too high. The Democrats keep trying to find a way to deny this reality--to pretend that what the voters have been saying they are voting for isn't really what they are voting for. That's a friggin recipe for continued impotence and failure. Listen to the voters, why don't you?!
Repeat after me: taxes are too high, government spending is too high. The Republicans haven't fixed the problem, they've made it worse. All they've done is increased spending and increased deficits. They may seem to have reduced taxes, but when you reduce taxes by raising deficits, all you're doing is leaving the tax bill to your grandchildren--with interest--just like piling up the balance on your credit card. And because the Republicans are mismanaging the taxpayer's money, government is failing--it is no longer able to provide essential services that we all want and should be able to afford in the richest country in the world. We should be able to respond to our citizens in need when a hurricane hits. We should be able to help the elderly when they retire. We should be able to help the old and poor when medical bills are high. We should be able to make our country secure without bankrupting the taxpayer through corrupt, wasteful no-bid contracting. We should be able to cut unnecessary pork, so the taxpayer can get some relief without destroying the good things government can and should do.
The Democrats can make that happen. The Republicans have failed miserably, leaving us in a financial quagmire like we haven't seen since the Depression. Let's go out and make our government work again. Vote for effective, affordable government. Vote Democrat!
October 21, 2005 12:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ellen:
To do deals like NAFTA, CAFTA and so on. To create tax breaks and tax loopholes. To seat judicial nominees on the courts that are pro-business. And to do all of those things they have to be activist in catering to their various bases, to stay in power. And what they are finding now, in trying to identify cuts that are acceptable to enough voters to keep them in power, it is very, very difficult. By default, Americans like many of the programs the government offers, and in order to stay in power, they have little 'cutting' they can actually do.
While they may or may not directly demand an 'enlarged' government to achieve a market-based economy, the issues they deal with to remain in power, keeps them from actually shrinking the size of government. That's why I maintain, it is all about the priorities, and not the size, of government.
October 21, 2005 12:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ellen
To put my two cents in, markets require government to make sure that the markets are opperated fairly and that contracts are enforced. Also if for example markets are used by internalizing externalities then government would be the only entity able to do that.
As much as I would like to see Democrats advocate more market based solutions markets don't alway convey all the information necessary for the proper outcome nor do they capture all the costs for a particular supplier.
October 21, 2005 12:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ellen:
Allow me to modify this a bit. The business-base of the Republican party would certainly see no reason for a larger government. In fact, they would like a smaller, less intrusive government. But the Republicans cannot get elected into power, nor can they stay in power, with just that base. The bottom line is Americans like to varying degrees, the programs they receive from the government. In attempting to find consensus, in what to cut, while still garning enough votes to remain in power, has proved extraordinaily difficult. Hence, they have increased the size of government, reaching out to other parts of their base.
In the end, pure ideology, such as smaller government, rarely, if ever works in the real world.
October 21, 2005 1:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Daniel . . . I think Norquist is a nut and while most voters want taxes to be lower, they definitely don't want to "starve the beast." What the voters want is efficient government that doesn't waste money. For years, the voters have felt that Washington is exceedingly wasteful of their hard earned dollars. Most Americans want the good things the beast provides--Social Security, a strong military, support for education, etc. What they don't want though is for money to be wasted willy nilly on a bunch of useless pork and programs for "special interests."
October 21, 2005 1:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
. . . markets require government . . . . Daniel A. Greenbaum
No one would disagree with that assertion. The question though is whether markets require an "activist government."
It seems to me that Bryan is confusing an "activist government" with an "activist political party" -- whatever the latter may be. I think Norquist would tell you that all that's required of government in a market based economy is a couple of tanks and a S.W.A.T. team to enforce the judges' contract law decisions.
October 21, 2005 1:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
More fuel for the "Mike Huckabee '08" badwagon. pro-life, anti-gay, and willing to fight Grover Norquist at high noon.
Right now I prognosticate a contest dwindling to Huckabee versus Allen, with Huckabee winning by out-southerning Allen and running on anti-Washington populism. Hey, you might as well have some fun with these things.
October 21, 2005 2:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Purple State,
You are right in that is what the voters want. The problem is the voters basically have no clue what government actually spends money on and think that they can have tax cuts and all the things they want becasue they just need to eliminate "waste, fraud, abuse and needless pork" The problem is that the "W,F,A and Pork" add up to a rounding error on a rounding error on the total budget and there is no way to give the voters what they want without raising taxes, let alone cutting them.
Basically Republicans promise them a free lunch and they vote for it over seriously facing what the government they want costs.
October 21, 2005 2:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, I think that Norquist is right, to some degree. For example, let's say Bush never got his tax cut, do you think spending would be the same as it is now, or do you think spending would be higher? Higher, I suspect.
However, I think that "starving the beast" is a decidedly secondary effect. Republicans would be tax cuts even if they knew that starving the beast wouldn't happen. Republicans like tax cuts, period. Frankly, I think that's just dumb - we are going to be paying for our spending one way or another; we ought to pay for it now, rather than pass the costs on to another generation. So the real tax rate is how much we spend...
But, like others said, Americans want a free lunch. Americans hate pork, but love having their local congested highway widened.
October 21, 2005 3:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
The problem is the voters basically have no clue what government actually spends money on
EWK, no one has any clue. . . not even the legislators who pass the spending bills. Remember what Rep. Conyers said in Farenheit 9/11 about whether anyone in Congress actually reads bills before voting on them?
I'm not convinced that government couldn't be made significantly more efficient (and even a rounding error on a trillion-plus budget is a lot of dollars). But how can anyone tell? It would require a huge project to review every dollar spent by the federal government. But maybe we need that project? Maybe the Democrats could campaign on getting such a project organized and underway?
October 21, 2005 6:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Re: For example, let's say Bush never got his tax cut, do you think spending would be the same as it is now, or do you think spending would be higher?
Chew on this: Without the tax cuts Social Security "reform" would have been a lot more doable, since there would have been a big pot of money on hand to fund the transition. I actually expected that to happen back in 2001 when Bush took office: he would provide some token tax cuts to keep his FiCon base happy (and to give him something to take credit for when the recession ended) but would set aside most of the surplus for SS rivatization. Rather ironic that Norquist's "Starve the Beast" strategy ended up helping to sink one of the GOP's oldest and dearest projects.
October 21, 2005 6:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Norquist always stuns with me with what he does not know about markets. Would you want to enter into millions of dollars of futures contracts without an activist goverment regulating the system of transactions? We all take for granted certain legal systems because we live with a legal system that has been around for over 400 years.
There is also encouraging people to take on more risk and responsibilty. I agree with some that we are too dependent on goverment to do for us in the first instance. However, unless we have a safety net who will take the risk?
October 21, 2005 7:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Would you want to enter into millions of dollars of futures contracts without an activist goverment regulating the system of transactions? Daniel A. Greenbaum
The way the derivatives market operates may not be that helpful to your argument. Is it not the case that the vast majority (near 90%) of derivative trading occurs between private parties, that is, contracts notionally worth hundreds of trillions of dollars is traded off-exchange and therefore, not regulated?
Even so, how much freedom are we willing to cede to the government in exchange for an increase in market efficiency [promoting optimal investor risk assumption] which is what I think, at bottom, you're talking about?
October 21, 2005 11:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't be so sure, Matt. Conservative economic policies, regardless of their popularity, are the way to go for the simple reason that they create a healthy economy, and thus make whichever party is pushing it popular. I cite Bill Clinton as the best example.
Liberal economic policies result in recession, and however popular they poll, whoever brings those policies about is going to get fired by the voters in short order.
October 22, 2005 2:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
Economic conservatives are fed up with unwise Republican spending. The Alaskan bridge-to-nowhere, highlighted by the failed Coburn Amendment, has become the equivalent of John Kerry's $87 billion flip-flop - a perfect illustration of Republican irresponsibility that Joe Six Pack can understand. (As a side note, the Coburn Amendment would have repealed the $250 million for the pork barrel bridge. It failed 82-15 which meant it had bipartisan support. Why in the world did the D's not support it thus providing them with some tangible proof that they are the party of prudent spending?)
Proposing a new tax code that when printed in full doesn't resemble the size and weight of a cinder block would go a long way to shedding the misconception that Democrats want big bureaucratic government.
October 22, 2005 5:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
I know that futures are a form of derivative but I was not thinking about the unregulated derivative markets but the exchange traded futures markets. To the extent that they rest on contracts standing behind them is the governmental system ready to help enforce the contracts. As for the much larger derivative markets I agree that there is no goverment behind them and if I understand Greenspan and grew there is concern about them.
October 22, 2005 12:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Even most Republicans don't especially care about small government.
Most Republicans care about two things: low taxes and light regulation of industry. This is related to, but not synonymous with notions of freedom and government "interference". To the extent that taxes and regulation constitute the scale on which something as ill-defined as freedom is measured, then sure, Republicans are for more freedom and Democrats for less.
But an economy can have low taxes and light regulation with a big government or a small government. Draconian cuts in the basic functions of the government, such as what true conservatives want, do nothing to increase freedom in and of themselves, despite decades of rhetoric that asserts the contrary.
On a related point, I think it is significant that the GOP has almost a monopoly on the word "freedom" in their political marketing. The Republicans say their program is all about freedom. But their theocratic wing belies that notion. I think Democrats need to spend a lot more time thinking about how to reclaim the mantle of "freedom". After all, there are few things more basic to American political culture than the notion of freedom.
October 24, 2005 10:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Listen to the voters", Purple State? OK, but what are they actually saying? While spending in the abstract strikes many voters as too high, they don't have any problem with their legislators bringing home pork for their own town. That's why the Republicans are bloating government spending; the particular spending bills are popular.
If anything, we need legislators who will stop listening to the voters and start acting on principle.
October 24, 2005 9:55 PM | Reply | Permalink