Meritocrats and Aristocrats
If you focus on the blogs or the op-ed pages, reaction to Harriet Miers is very muddy. Most conservatives are irate about her, with a large block supportive, though unenthusiastic. Liberals, meanwhile, are confused -- some outraged, some baffled, some amused, some cautiously optimistic. Actual public opinion, however, is quite straightforward. Conservatives like her, but not as much as they liked John Roberts. Liberals don't like her very much. As many people have pointed out, there seems to be a gap between conservative elites and rank-and-file conservatives.
Meanwhile, "The Politics of Polarization", recently released by Elaine Kamarck and William Galston, notes a superficially different elite/non-elite gap:
This last point poses a special challenge for Democrats. Since the mid-1950s, and more notably after 1968, the party has been home to both highly educated upscale professionals and less well educated working class voters. Not only do upscale professionals lead lives that are quite different from those of average families, they also tend to think and speak differently. Complex professional discourse tends to create a barrier between our candidates and the voters with whom they must communicate. If Democratic candidates do not















...George Bush's reelection was "a victory for people like us." What she meant, we believe, is that she identified with Bush but not Kerry, that Bush was "like us" and Kerry was not.
'Victory for people like us' = 'Victory for white people'.
'Bush was "like us"' = Bush was white.
Kerry not like us = Kerry not freaked out by colored people.
The post-Reagan Democratic party is simply 'colored people, and people who don't feel especially threatened by colored people, either due to geographical distance or economic security.'
Kamarck and Galston are making something quite simple needlessly obscure.
In my humble opinion.
October 7, 2005 11:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
"I think most meritocrats -- New Yale types -- have a hard time understanding that most of the population doesn't regard professional competence as the highest of personal virtues."
I think that's true, but I also think that what's far more baffling to us meritocratic types is when professional competence is not seen as one of the highest of presidential virtues. Namely, that anyone would actually want a "regular guy" to do what's obviously an extraordinarily difficult and important job. Being able torelate to the issues and problems facing "regular people" is something that I'm sure we all want any president to be able to do, but the idea that a towel-snapping frat-boy bullshitter could parlay his personality into any sort of "he's one of us"-type street cred, and that for so many people this would actually trump the near-universally agreed-upon fact that he doesn't really know what the hell he's doing, is extremely difficult to comprehend. I simply don't understand this outlook wherein "the personal is the presidential," virtue-wise, nor will I ever be able to.
October 7, 2005 12:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think that this analysis has some merit, but I think you also need to note that JFK was wonderfully glamorous.
Also I think that GWB was more intermediate Yale than old Yale. GHWB was infused with guilt-induced noblesse oblige, something that Dubya totally lacks, and I don't think that people thought of GHWB as "one of us" in quite the same way. He seemed stiff and something of a fake.
October 7, 2005 12:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
"most of the population doesn't regard professional competence as the highest of personal virtues."
Maybe you're right, but this doesn't ring true to me. My sense is that working and lower-middle class kids feel very strongly that merit, the ability to deliver the goods coupled with hard work, are deserving of reward, and that mere ascriptive characteristics are not. Hence their strongly felt resentment of affirmative-action privilege. And I see the $30,000 a year crowd not as denying the importance and deserts of professional competence, but instead as putting themselves down for their failure (as they see it) to have been born with/to have worked their way into acquiring a comparable degree of competence.
October 7, 2005 12:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
<span class="body">“In the president’s lone losing race, his 1978 run for Congress from West Texas, the victor stressed Bush’s two Ivy League degrees. Bush resolved never to allow himself to be outdumbed again. And the Democrats haven’t outsmarted him since.”</span>
-Steve Sailer
<span class="body"></span>October 7, 2005 12:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's hard to know how to respond to these kinds of ruminations because they seem sort of right but . . . the focus on personality is very annoying, for one thing, and maybe I've been hypnotized by Bob Somerby, but it seems important to factor in the media's obession with personalities and its disdain for policy talk or anything close to it. Not to mention the incredibly shallow notion the media seems to have of what constitutes a "regular guy" -- a guy whose campaign staff provides good snacks to reporters? Who swaggers around and slaps people on the back and makes jokes at their expense? Whatever. Again and again, especially in 2000, the media pushed stories that made Bush look regular and Gore look terrible (indecisive, shifty, not manly enough). I don't mean to say that Gore ran a brilliant campaign (far from it) but even given his difficulties and his out-of-touch campaign managers, HE WON THE ELECTION. No point in rehashing, I know -- but I get depressed when everything comes down to finding some folksy (which is code for Southern) Democrat.
October 7, 2005 1:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
You really only need to find one. John Edwards is good for eight years.
October 7, 2005 1:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
"This is what makes Bill Clinton an interesting case. He manages to be both a poor kid from a small town in Arkansas and a quintessential meritocrat -- Georgetown, Rhodes Scholarship, Yale Law -- at the same time. John Edwards has something of the same quality about him, a dual persona and an ability to switch between them."
Most definitely.
"Obviously, however, people like that are relatively rare and it's hard to find them, which is going to be a problem."
Happily, you only have to find one of them once or twice a decade. After John Edwards serves his two terms, Barak Obama would be getting into the Presidential zone.
The problem isn't finding them. The problem is getting the folks crucial to the nomination process to recognize their special qualities and move their careers forward.
October 7, 2005 2:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
And why is it that the right almost never mentions Edwards, but is always talking about Clinton as the obvious frontrunner?
You think they might have a dog in this fight?
October 7, 2005 2:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wes Clark also lives in both worlds and shares that dual persona. There may be others.
October 7, 2005 3:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think you're right about everything -- including that even conservatives think he's not quite up to the job -- except one word. /Namely, that anyone would actually want a "regular guy" to do what's obviously an extraordinarily difficult and *important* job./ Those who follow politics and the news generally, both liberal and conservative and the last few moderates in that category, are mystified by this. But the vast indifferent middle -- not dumb, indifferent -- fundamentally and sincerely does not think the government has much impact on their lives. Therefore it's quite logical that they wouldn't pay much attention to the qualifications and technical job performance of their president. They're more interested in picking someone they won't be annoyed by during the next four years, and perhaps, if pressed, for someone they don't have to worry about screwing things up too badly. Then, once the election's over, they really don't pay any attention anymore for the next four years. A lot of people in this country just simply don't think the job of president is all that important to them and their families. That's why, too, they famously don't respond to "issues." Why should they, if what candidates do in office doesn't affect them?
October 7, 2005 5:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
You have a point there, ColoDem. I remember that sort of "what are you going to do that affects ME" mentality being fairly pervasive during the 2000 election in particular, with the media generally encouraging it. But I find it to be just about un-patriotic (I think most politically aware people would generally agree) to consider the presidency to be about anything but what the president will do about the problems of AMERICA. The problems of ONE little person--i.e., you, Joe Average Voter--don't amount to a hill of beans in this crazy world. Not so long as our presidential votes affect the lives of every single person on this planet.
October 7, 2005 7:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
"But today, average Americans are at least as much social populists as they are economic populists.... In these circumstances, to nominate national candidates who are seen as representing the outlook and interests of the upscale professional class to the exclusion of middle and working class families is to stack the deck against victory."
God, this stuff drives me nuts. THEY are elitists of the upscale CEO to the exclusion of the middle class and workers. WE are economic and social populists. But Bush is "like them", we are "elitist". What they don't want is reality and action. What they want is the image and facade.
What have we learned? If it's a choice between a competent buy droll candidate (Kerry, Dukakis, Gore) and an affable, empty suit who is charismatic, then the suit wins.
October 7, 2005 8:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
In so many ways, that's the understatement of the year.
I'll quibble with a few characterizations in the quote. I guess I'm not getting the meaning of "professional class". With which profession are Gore and Kerry identified? Snobbery is not the same thing as a professional outlook. Reagan was an actor, Carter a peanut farmer. These may not be professions in the same sense as accounting or engineering, but at least they are real jobs the public can relate to. The New Yale/Old Yale argument is simply a recasting of the nouveau riche stigma. Too many "meritocrats" tend to believe that they achieved their status because they know everything there is to know. And of course one only has "merit" if one is rich, so the aristocrats condescend to the newly rich and the newly rich condescend to anyone who makes less money and this is the attitude that the Democratic Party has decided to embrace? Like I said, confusion is an understatement.
October 7, 2005 9:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, we've got Edwards, how about Bill Richardson? Wouldn't he qualify?
October 7, 2005 10:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think that's true, but I also think that what's far more baffling to us meritocratic types is when professional competence is not seen as one of the highest of presidential virtues.
I misunderstood what Matthew wrote until I went and read the report itself. Matthew said "most of the population doesn't regard professional competence as the highest of personal virtues" but he didn't say what the report indicated Joe Q Schmuck looks for in Presidential candidates; the reports lists the preferred virtues this way:
First: Is the candidate a person of strength, with core convictions and the ability to act on them through challenges and criticism? Second: Is the candidate a person of integrity, who displays consistency over time, who tells the truth, and whose words and deeds coincide? And third: Is the candidate a person of empathy, who understands and cares about people like us?
A convictionless cold fish who lacks all integrity might be highly professionally competent as an astronomer (a genius even) but somehow I doubt he/she would be a very popular or successful politician. See: Hillary Clinton.
So no, the public does not see professionalism + competence as the highest virtues. But I can see why in the context of the report.
What I am unclear on is if Matthew is saying the public is necessarily wrong. Another words, is he talking about 'the professional class' using credentials as a placeholder ('he went to a good school, he'll make a good president, even if he is a lying snake.')(He's 'one of us'?) or if the public is incorrectly devaluing an Ivy/Oxford education. (Or both.)
Either way, competence is grand, but I don't see any school handing out degrees in 'being a good president'. Being a good urban planner maybe. Being a good lawyer. Sure.
As an aside, I think the report was very well done and absolutely correct in terms of the areas of the authors professional competence - polling a political attitudes and whatnot. And then they start flappin' their lips about 'security' and demonstrate that what they know about war (security!) could be distilled into a thimble.
ash
['I suspect professional competence is overrated when the professional is outside his or her field.']
October 8, 2005 1:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
:) i wonder. if howard dean had managed to verbaliz his famouw yelp into a nice 'folksy' YEEEEEEHAW! would that have changed its reception by the press and nation?
October 8, 2005 10:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
While I agree that Gore was not that exciting a candidate before we get too caught up in analyzing his loss it should be remembered he out polled Bush. It seems to me that while the actual candidates of both parties represent the same elite fighting out various internal conflicts the Republicans have managed to convince non-elitists that they share their interests.
October 8, 2005 6:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
There is of course, another way of looking at this (probably several others, really) - that is that when men from the upper classes (Roosevelt, Kennedy, Bush) run and win it's because the exude a quality of being "regular folks" - that is, forsaking some of the benefits of their wealth and class to do service for others (I tend to think Bush is a sham at this, but clearly others do not). Whereas, when men from the working class make it (Truman, Nixon, Reagan, Carter, Clinton), they have an "up from your bootstraps" qulaity that speaks of coming from a real place and ascending the heights, a story as old as the Anmerican Dream.
In that sense, Clinton is hardly remarkable - and I suspect Edwards mayhave the biography that most closely fits him; Clinton is merely a dirt poor kid who made good, bringing all the attendant baggage (think of the things upper class liberlas say about Lewinsky when no one else is around), but basically Horatio Alger writ modern.
What Americans clearly distrust is children of privilege who take advantage of the opportunities around them with no show of respect for the lives unlike their own - lately that's been Democratic Presidential candidates - Kerry (whose story is not especially different from Bush's), Gore (who tries for a "common man" quality and misses by miles), and even Dean, really. But it includes older style "country club" Republicans - The Steve Forbes types, Christie Whitman, The Rockefellers. They can succeed, up to a point, especially in their local communities. But on the national stage they exude an otherness that's off-putting.
I don't think, actually, that we've yet tested the "merictocracy/professional class" whatever that is, partly because it's a new dress-up name for the upper class. If you had the means to attend upscale private schools all your life and became a lawyer, that's nice, but you're upper class. Conversely, if you did the same thing on scholarships and work/study, you're simply a striver made good.
The problem for the GOP in the next round of elections is that Miers has laid the Country Club/populist battle out in public where before it was a simmering pot that always looked about to boil over. Republicans courtship of the religious right has been an outreach to a class outside the country club. And they expect, reasonably, to be respected for what they bring to the table. That's beyond the range of a Frist, an Allen, or arguably another BUsh. On the other side, it's hard to see the populist strivers - DeLay etc - succeed without alienating the professional upper class. Democrats (referring back to Kennedy/Roosevelt) have been better at this longer. Hillary Clinton may not be the right mix, but several others seem promising.
The other thing is I think Matt is trying to define this merit class to fit his own story - and I think that's a nice try, but usually someone so aware of the "Hardvard/Yale man" style is part of the upper class.
October 8, 2005 7:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
I associate myself very much with all of petey's comment about Edwards.
There is a funny bit of video somewhere of Edwards introducing Bush - at a prayer breakfast, I believe. Edwards made an eloquent little speech built around the famous - and now more-used - Lincoln quote suggesting that the correct question before humankind was not whether or not god was on our side, but whether we were on god's. Edwards wraps up to warm applause; as Bush is at the dais waiting for the applause to die down and give his talk, you hear him say (not at all happily) 'heh heh, pretty eloquent!'
That's just an anecdote of course, but it happens to be leading (the opposite of 'misleading'?). Republicans do NOT want to run against an Edwards or Obama type. Democrats may (obtusely, IMO) decide that they too don't want to run someone like that, but you can be sure about how the GOP feels. They pretend to not take Edwards seriously (the 'Breck Girl') and they hope Democrats follow their lead (which happens all the time). Kristol was on Charlie Rose the other night, and I endured enough of it to hear Charlie, in his chowderheaded-swallowing-your-own-words-apologetic style, suggest that, since he and Kristol had agreed that poverty was a real issue now, wasn't Edwards on to that? And maybe in 2008...? Kristol was dismissive: 'No, I don't think so.' No reason given. Jawboning.
They don't want to run against someone with an engaging personality, because they tend to lose those fights. The key word there is 'engaging'.
Just a note to some people who are worried about the emphasis on 'personality'. I would say people aren't entirely wrong to vote on what they perceive to be someone's personality. Yes, it can go horribly wrong, as in the present case, but Bush is a skilled con, and you'd hope he'd be an object lesson, ultimately. People separate 'character' and 'personality', but they really are almost the same thing (particularly as that personality manifests in the Ultimate Executive job in the world). Personality is destiny. Certainly, Bush's failed presidency has everything to do with his bad character, his brittle personality, his inate arrogance and even authoritarianism.
But because Bush runs a slick con and is mostly a fake, doesn't mean that dems should avoid good campaigners. You can have an engaging personality AND be a good candidate, after all. I sometimes think dems are so worried feeling 'serious', they overlook the fact that it's a much more truly serious approach to run good candidates, actually win elections, and do serious work.
I would also say that I don't think the candidate in '08 absolutely must be from the South, although it helps. Could be from the West, or midwest maybe. But there are two Souths: the 'ancestral homeland', and the South of the Mind, which is all over the country (and some other countries). It's white folks bein' white folks - you got a problem with that? The candidate has to at least understand the South of the Mind as a cultural phenomenon. Being from a small working class town in the actual South is good, but I would like Edwards if he was from MT or NM, because he thinks his stuff through.
October 8, 2005 10:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mathew,
Again it seems to all boil down to image. George Bush may be Old-Yale but the image he tries to project is a highly religious and moral image coupled with strength in leadership. The religious and moral image part ring true with his base constituency as does his strength as a leader (whether we agree with that image or not).
However I am not quite convinced that Kerry’s problem was that he projected some kind of elitist snobbery. I think both the Politics of Polarization and John Chait both make valid points (though I have a few bones to pick with the Politics of Polarization) but I am skeptical about pinning democrat hopes on any single aspect of campaigning strategies.
It is good that the democrats take a critical look at their campaigning but we should keep in mind that events can overtake not only conventional wisdom but can also overtake unconventional wisdom just as rapidly.
Message is important, image is important but it is equally important how the democrats react to being painted as elitist snobs by the republicans and all the other wedge tactics used by republicans. In the end it might not matter so much how people like Kerry present their image but how they keep from having it painted for them by the republicans.
October 9, 2005 2:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Matthew,
Matthew,
You are a gifted writer and I enjoy your work, but I have to say that like most political speculation, the "Meritocrats vs. the Aristocrats" issue isn't as complicated as the multiplicity of opinions about it might suggest. It boils down to two things, and as it happens, they are the same two things that answer almost any question about why voters vote the way they do, or how Democrats can regain majority status, and so on. The two things are:
1. Dixiecrats hold the balance of power in the USA. They used to vote for Democrats, now they (with a few exceptions, like Clinton) vote for Republicans. As a matter of fact, if Clinton ran for President today for the first time, they probably wouldn't vote for him either.
2. During one of his presidential campaigns, someone said to Adlai Stevenson (I'm paraphrasing here), "Don't worry sir, all the thinking people will vote for you." Stevenson replied, "That's the problem. I need a majority."
October 11, 2005 4:30 PM | Reply | Permalink