Anti-Government Government
The Bush initiative for rebuilding the Gulf Coast amounts, as others have said, to an experiment in massive government spending to test essentially anti-government ideas, particularly the idea of creating tax- and regulation-free zones to attract commerce.
As Harold Meyerson points out, this anti-government government is a revival of Jack Kemp-ism, the platform of market-based, ownership initiatives as a poverty strategy that Kemp championed when he was Secretary of Housing and Urban Development in the Bush 41 administration. As Meyerson points out, these strategies, especially Enterprise Zones or Empowerment Zones, proved to be of very limited value. Tax incentives alone have very little effect on where employers choose to locate jobs. Investing in education is demonstrably more likely to make employers want to place a plant or an office in an impoverished urban or rural community.
But there's one little correction to Meyerson's piece: Jack Kemp talked about Enterprise Zones, but he never implemented them in any significant way. Bill Clinton did. And, after some false starts, he did it in a way that was much more effective than tax credits alone, adding $1 billion in direct funding for communities that developed comprehensive plans for their futures. It was a mixed experiment, to say the least, but it was undertaken and implemented with seriousness and passion by Kemp's successor at HUD, Henry Cisneros, and had some notable successes.
I point this out not just to correct the record, but because it's an important point: The Right doesn't really carry out innovative social policies, they mostly just talk about them. And they use them entirely as a tool of opposition, for no purpose other than to say, "Liberals want to throw money at failed old programs, but we've got a new approach..." It's false on two levels. Liberals/Democrats are absolutely interested in new and market-based approaches, if they work. And conservatives aren't really interested in those approaches, they just like having an excuse to do nothing.
I pointed this out in a review a few weeks ago of Rick Santorum's book, It Takes a Family. Throughout his discussion of poverty policy, Santorum begins paragraphs like this:
"The Village Elders [his term for liberals] consider a large percentage of our population to be helpless: they're not going to consider how to empower the poor to build wealth," or "The village elders like to show they care for the poor among us simply by spending more money," rather than investing strategically to build communities. But then Santorum offers his solution, always a piece of legislation that he cosponsored with a liberal like Senator Jon Corzine.
A friend suggested at lunch today that the Republicans wouldn't be able to succeed with the Gulf Coast rebuilding initiative because they are so hostile to government that they can't carry out a big-government project. By analogy, he suggested that if Democrats had to carry out a significant downsizing of government, we wouldn't do it well. Each has its strength. And that's certainly the public perception.
Except that it was only under the last Democratic administration that the government was significantly downsized, growth in federal spending slowed and the number of federal employees significantly reduced. Initiatives like Vice President Gore's Reinventing Government took the project of making government more efficient very seriously and made it work. Republicans can't make big government work and they can't make small government work either, because they're too glib and uninterested in the whole undertaking. All they can do is cut taxes and leave the hard work for someone else.
Bottom line: Whether you want innovative, market-based programs to end poverty (and I do, balanced with other programs), whether you want smaller more efficient government, or whether you want a big, WPA-style undertaking, you have to put it in the hands of people who understand government, who care about making it work, who don't view it as the enemy.















I think that in the right context, exterprise zones and the like can be effective. If you want to revitalize an area, it does make sense to do whatever you can to attract private interests to it, but you also have to understand that legitimate, long term, big money private interests have no reason at all to wish the hassles and pain of opening a business in a slum on themselves. So, you need some public funding, as Clinton knew (though I don't think Bill went far enough) to make those areas attractive enough that private interests will assess the risks and then take the tax breaks and go there.
Sure, it's true that most everyone hates to pay taxes but I've been told many times by some big money types that though it pains them to see some of the profits go away, they realize that paying taxes at all means you're making money and not losing money. Heck, taxes can be managed, reduced and sometime eliminated by a good accounting firm. The same can't really be said for losses incurred from operating a business in an area with too few customers and too high costs. Sure, a business type would prefer to make $100 tax free than $90 after taxes but they'd also prefer to make $90 after taxes than to lose $10 because they're in a bad location. That's pretty self evident.
I'm really not opposed to giving temporary tax breaks to businesses interested in rebuilding the Gulf Coast. I want those businesses to take the risk. But only a fool would actually take that risk if the government doesn't step in to make the place habitable and nice in fairly short order.
September 16, 2005 3:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bush's entire presidency has been characterized by the rhetoric of humanity and liberty - the rhetoric of liberalism - followed by aggressive legislative efforts to advance the right-wing agenda at home and abroad.
The only difference now is that the Democrats have a genuine opening to call these shameless and mendacious hucksters out and oppose them with much less risk to their own skins. Will they do it? They'd better do it.
September 16, 2005 4:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mark -- this Republican Administration doesn't undestand the economics of development.
When the market is working you offer nothing. When you need to spur a certain type of business you target the financial breaks. If environmental regs are getting in the way, first maybe they need to, second if they don't then as Republicans they should change them.
If NO/Gulf Coast is a good place to do business then companies should want to get in and get in early. If that is true then let the market work unfettered. Unnecessary give aways are a waste of our tax dollars which Bush says belong in our pockets.
September 16, 2005 4:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Right on comment there. I think that people don't realize that we don't have a free market and that we don't really want one. We have a free-ish market. In a free-ish market, you let it roll when it's going the way you want but you intervene when it isn't. Heck, that's the most rational way to deal with a market -- when it isn't going you way, you try to manipulate it and when it is, you take whatti gives. The US does this all of the time, calling for free markets in its rhetoric but protecting it's corporations whenever possible.
September 16, 2005 4:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
I just watched the "News Hour" with a panel discussing Bush's speech. No one pointed out the reality that this was staged as a photo op, probably costing NO a day in reconstruction. No one pointed out the suspension of Davis-Bacon and the potential impact this has on the wages of workers who do the rebuilding, the lack of a reference to oversight of spending that should be inherent in such aassive reconstruction effort, etc. etc. This does not mean that I do not favor using private enterprise wherever possible, only that quoting from a former Republican president, "trust but verify" is a fairly good operating principal... just as "managing by walking around". This was a speech designed to reconstruct Bush's image, with only broad platitudes about New Orleans. No one said that. I could go on as I'm sure could others, but how long is most of the media going to continue to give GWB and his administration a pass?
From someone entering his eighth decade with grandchildren who understand and use this media so much better than I, I find that it is only in the blogosphere that something that tries to approach truth lurches to emergence despite the attempts of those who will create their own reality.
Thanks,
Sam
September 16, 2005 5:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Everytime Republicans talk about taxes and their impact on business I wonder if any of them has ever run a business. I have run my own real estate business, plenty impacted by tax policies, for 25 years. Cutting my taxes, raising my taxes is unlikely to get me to do anything unless there is a market for what I have to offer. People in business are in it to make money by offering their good or service to customers. No amount of tax cuts changes that, it only reduces one of many expenses. This may all seem obvious but it always seems to escape "supplysiders" and their Republican adherents.
If all those businesses that were flooded and the many people living in the Astrodome and other places do not want to comeback to New Orleans not amount of enterprise zones will get them back and we will end up with a lot of empty buildings.
September 16, 2005 5:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's false on two levels. Liberals/Democrats are absolutely interested in new and market-based approaches, if they work. And conservatives aren't really interested in those approaches, they just like having an excuse to do nothing.
That is exactly correct. It's trickle down supply side dogma all over again.
If we had done better by the poor twenty years ago, rather than spout that supply side BS, we’d be much better off today instead of rushing to the bottom. Once again the only purpose of that BS is to bludgeon to death social programs while ghettoizing and exploiting the poor, without providing opportunity for upwards mobility. Compassion? What a joke. Compassion to Republicans means donations to wealthy church patrons.
There will be massive cronyism and Republican corporate welfare under the guise of job creation. Government bashing will be revitalized, along with private sector glorifying. Once again Wall Street will be called on to run the country.
To be perfectly blunt, you’ve got a bunch of utterly desperate poor blacks, totally dislocated, worried about their day to day survival, literally. That is paired with the most well oiled and radical patronage driven corporate welfare administration in history. This “disaster” is like a dream come true for every “greed is good,” trickle-down, supply side, plantation minded, wealthy ideologue.
Republicans are going to funnel hundreds of billions to Big Real Estate, Big Private Schools, Big Agriculture, etc. There will be shoddily constructed ghettos and segregated poor communities built as basically 3<sup>rd</sup> world labor camps.
There will be school vouchers while public schools will be gutted, and children are corralled into Republican run for profit "charter schools" owned by a small group of tremendously wealthy Republican contributors. Those schools have already shown to do even worse by students and teachers, while extracting profits.
For decades we'll pay the debt. Those Barons who built themselves empires in the largess, and their descendants will still champion against taxes while sending massive contributions to the Republican machine from gated communities. The poor and minorities will still be just where they are.
The first thing Bush did was to cut environmental and wage standards. Where is our press? It’s sickening.
On a personal note, I don't know how many others feel this way as well, but I’m starting to feel it truly is a moral responsibility to “starve the beast.” By which I mean follow some of my brightest and most professional friends, including physicists, computer programmers, civil engineers, etc, and just leave this country and stop consuming all US corporate products, from the media to Hollywood to tennis shoes. I’d rather pay taxes in a country that is funding public health care, and buy from companies/countries which are pro-union and more egalitarian.
It’s not that I want to abandon my country, but I don’t feel like I have a country anymore. It’s just one giant corporate whore house.
September 16, 2005 5:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
saltjr,
I appreciate you taking the time to comment.
However, do you realize that what you are complaining about the media NOT doing seems to be exactly what Josh Marshall was just last night complaining about them doing!?
Read his post here. Is he not saying that he thinks it a waste of time to talk about the image-making thing that you want to hear more about?! He's saying he wants them to stop talking about and deconstructing and evaluating Rove/Bush spin performance, and get to the hard news, and you are saying they are not evaluating the spin enough.
I have long followed the complaints about news coverage in the blogosphere, because it is something that has long interested me. And ya know, if I was part of this mysterious "the media," I think I might go stark raving mad with the blogosphere's complaints, and just go with ratings, like they have always done. Because the complaints are never never never the same--they are different with every person, asking for totally different things.
In the end, what happens, what you see or read, I think the main value left in it is it's a mirror of the market you participate in. Just as Josh's marketing survey just was. My attitude: use it for what it is: you can learn from what they cover or don't, you can learn what the people who use them are interested in. It's political lessons in a way.
Look at this TPMCafe media product for instance! Where is the coverage of anything except Katrina the last week? It's no different from "the media" in it's higher level incarnations, but certainly far less breadth of coverage than WaPo or NYT, and dare I say, even USA Today? Many other things happened in the world! The media is you; if the majority of news junkies does not show interest, why do you expect them to cover it? Here the last week: a few posts and comments on the U.N. A few on Iraq and Afghanistan. The rest: all Katrina all the time. They give us what we want. And one can sort of learn from that.
We also have the power to change it, you know. With our comments, our clicks, our posts. But if Josh is saying he wants one kind of coverage, and you are saying you want exactly the opposite, well, I dunno if I were a producer what I would do with that!
September 16, 2005 6:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mark Schmitt:
Excellent essay with many superb points that are very thought-provoking. Thank you.
The main thoughts it provokes in me: that of the recent DLC v. DNC divide. And I wish others would address this as well. Because the subject is always coming up here and I think how it is related to this subject is crucial.
I see the anti-DLC crowd on the blogosphere being very anti precisely the kind of stuff you are referencing, the kind of things Clinton did. I see a lot of griping about that, that the Dems should go back to being 'the party of the people' and get back to taxing 'the rich" to pay for a society of more equal incomes. (I've seen calls for going back to the 70% income tax rate, for instance.) Not 'rising tide lifts all boats,' but rather, "the government will protect, serve and help all the poor folks." Gladly invite people to disprove my preconceptions! Would be happy to hear it.
It is exactly the thing I loved about Clinton, why he seemed like a new kind of Democrat to me. Especially by his second term, but even starting with his first run.
See, I'm a boomer (even a SDS'er in my youth! People like Todd Gitlin the way he was back then were my heroes! Hee.) I was a very disgruntled Democrat in the early 90's, really fed up with the party. And people like Kemp and Darman really did have intriguing ideas about the future, and yes, it was very true, they were hypocrites about that and never walked the walk, always caved to their party bosses.
And then the Dem primaries for 92 started. They were the most exciting thing in my voting lifetime! They took those GOP ideas, and percolated them with fresh ideas from the DLC, and then you saw them being vigorously debated by Clinton and Jerry Brown, with new ideas being thrown in! And then the 3-way general debates with Perot and Clinton and Bush, both Clinton and Perot new, exciting, pro-regulated capitalist ideas, totally making Poppy look like an old idiot, and the old Dem guard in the dust as well. It was really the first time I felt there might be a future beyond high inflation, high unemployment, high deficits and high national debt. It was really, really exciting. And guess what? That deficit and high employment I thought would exist until my entire generation died? Gone in basically the snap of my fingers. Zip. Zilch.
Why I am saying this all? I think the DLC approach to the economy is still the way to win and is still the way to help the underclass as well. And I see a very vocal sector of the Dem blogosphere very against that, angrily against it, wanting to go back to LBJ land or something, and it depresses me that all of that would be thrown away without even getting a chance to fully develop.
I remember a statement from Friedman op-ed from the first years of this Bush administration--I don't always like him but this one rang so true to me that I never forgot it: that the Bush adminstration was not showing the infinite and highly caring, detailed, micro-management of the world economy that Clinton/Rubin did; that indeed, the Bushies were laissez-faire fuck-ups, and we would be paying for it.
It only had 8 years of a chance to work, and it worked well, despite the distraction of the impeachment thing.
To sum up my opinion: And I think all this all of the talk about needing an anti-DLC Dem party is nonsense. I'm sorry they offend the egos of the 'net roots," and they should probably learn to be more sensitive about that. But they are the ones who know how to do: success at the Dem party's main goals. Puhleez stop idolizing the Dems of the 60's or 70's. They were shit heads that made a mess of this country. Just because Reagan made it worse doesn't mean that the ones that came before him did the right thing.
September 16, 2005 7:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
it will come in retorts to my rant above. I see so many people characterizing Joe Liebermann as the perfect example of what the DLC is all about. Well, sorry, that's not the image I have. I see him and his ilk, the pro-Israel Dem hawks, as a tangenitals tolerated by the DLC. Clinton and others were mainly fascinated by domestic policy and economics and reviving this country as a model for everyone else, and everything else would follow from that. Need I remind you that he was labeled as a draft-dodging lily-livered afraid of using his own military president, so afraid of them that he went for 'don't ask don't tell.' The majority are not hawks.
September 16, 2005 7:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
THANK YOU, MR. GREENBAUM!
I've heard the same sentiment for a numbe of business owners (I'm a journalist for a finance magazine) but you said it more bluntly and directly than nay of them: nobody particularly likes havng their profits reduced by taxes but, at the same time, taxes are just an expense and they are by no means the worst expense and are certainly, giving the existence of the accounting industry, the lest manageable expense. Plus, we tax profitd and not revenues. If you're paying even a penny, it's because you're making money and not losing it. I don't mean to say that our tax laws are either fair or perfect because they aren't, but I think that most business people, certainly the ones I talk to, are more concerned with other obstacles and costs than they are taxes. Wnile there's no doubt in my mind that msot business owners would love years or profit, tax free, taxes are just a component of running a business and they don't deteremine what a business owner does and when, if there's profit to be made in what they want to do. I can totally understand a business owner avoiding a high tax district that offers no chance at profit, but most don't turn down a good chance at profit purely because of taxes,
Incentives have a place, I think, but only in the larger context where the government helps to make communities where business can thrive.
September 16, 2005 7:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
One should never let the take tale wag the business dog. Besides if government would like to help small businesses it would worry less about taxes and more about paper work. Reducing paper work, not taxes, would do more for me and the people in New Orleans.
September 16, 2005 8:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Puhleez stop idolizing the Dems of the 60's or 70's. They were shit heads that made a mess of this country. artappraiser
Finally. Someone with enough guts to "tell it like it is."
Voting Rights Act? Affirmative action? EPA? Earth Day? National Environmental Policy Act? Fuel efficiency and safety standards? Worker safety?
Fie! A pox on all your houses.
September 16, 2005 8:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mark, I enjoyed your post and the links to the American Prospect, very educational. And I think that your point about what attracts business is education is correct simply because most jobs today require a higher degree of education than in the past. I think this is partly due to our rapidly evolving technology. I found myself going back to school many times just to keep up with new computer programs which replaced the old fashioned way of doing mechanical design.
In the early 60’s Lockheed, easily one of the largest companies in the San Francisco Bay Area, could not find qualified people to fill job slots. They imported people from all over the country and the world by offering high wages and plenty of benefits, something they never would have done if there had been an over-abundance of highly educated and qualified workers living here at that time.
Also another point that might have some bearing on this is that families move into a particular area because of the quality of the school systems, they want their kids to have the best education possible because they understand that for their kids to be successful and happy a good education is absolutely mandatory.
Of course this is where areas like New Orleans get left out. Well-to-do areas have much better schools than poor areas which means these people already have an upper hand over people that come up through poor school systems and perpetuates the gap between the wealthy and the poor. If we are serious about bringing these people out of poverty we must see to it that all schools get the proper funding for up-to-date teaching materials and what ever else they may need to make their students competitive.
I think you make a very good point about our own government being anti-government. After all if you needed serious surgery would you want a surgeon who hated doing surgery? Probably not.
September 16, 2005 9:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're right, they did a ot of good But, in the 2004 elections, only those 18-29 voted in favor of Kerry. So... a lot of those 60s and 70s libs have turned to the dark side.
September 16, 2005 9:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ellen
You've obviously read the politically-correct-revisionist approved history book.
Earth Day! Hah! The first one we put on roller skates and carried protest signs for one day. What a joke. You want to know who really made a difference about support for environmental measures? Grade school teachers and the curriculum they used on Gen X. That's when the real change happened. They raised a bunch of mini-totalitarians who went home and had tantrums until every piece of metal and paper at home was recycled because they didn't want the baby frogs to die. (I had one of those as a baby brother; he was born when I was 15.) It worked. The kids got the parents interested, it really worked. That was the turning point. Nothing to do with the Dem party. It was truly grass roots, from the kids up.
Fuel efficiency and safety standards?
Via Ralph Nader et. al. The Dems didn't give much of a damn or else wouldn't dare bother Detroit about anything so piddling--the unions, ya know.
Voting Rights Act?
Swell, only after being forced into it by a near second Civil War. The south was Democratic, ya know.
Oh, and that whole 'war on poverty' thing? Brilliant. Added a generation or two to sloughing off of the effects of slavery on black culture. Ask Daniel Patrick Moynihan. Make it more than a generation--many black males are still in prison. Did a lot for Appalachia, too. They're so happy they vote Republican now.
September 16, 2005 9:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
artappraiser--
Get your dates right, and we can talk.
September 16, 2005 9:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Saltjr, very good point, the news we see on television is much more entertainment than it is actual news. The newspapers, broadcast news, otherwise known as the news media, has completely fallen down on the job IMO.
September 16, 2005 9:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is a fun, fascinating tit-for-tat.
Let me take a stab at defending the 1970s (the decade of my birth). Unemployment and inflation were troublesome, but overall those who had jobs were on many measures (especially those related to economic security) better off than they are today. Nixon effectively cut taxes on the top rate in half, but there were still fewer loopholes for the rich and corporations, and progressive taxation was as such still more than a pretense. Pensions were still by and large pensions, not 401ks. Housing was still affordable in many desirable "blue state" metro areas, as was college. Consumer goods weren't quite as ridiculously cheap, but I think a lot of Americans would prefer a good job at a fair wage with a strong pension and benefits to a dozen fifty-dollar television sets and DVD players. Which brings me to my final point about the 1970s. The clothing was a little funny (and we youngsters had little choice in the matter; I promise not to link to a picture of my five-year-old toehead self in Batman pajamas, giant sunglasses, and a San Diego Zoo captain's hat), but it was the last *great* decade for film, not to mention a much better decade for music, and network TV. The pickings are slim today.
September 16, 2005 9:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
I bet you looked cute in those Batman P.J.'s.
September 16, 2005 10:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I bet you looked cute in those Batman P.J.'s."
You're nice, but they weren't quite as cool as my Star Wars underoos.
September 16, 2005 10:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
We have a free-ish market.
Destor, I don't want to challenge you, but I just read that the Katrina spawned pollution is going to knock the heck out of the Gulf fresh-fish market.
Seriously, I watched CSPAN's broadcast of another Senate Democratic Pollicy Committe (basement) meeting - ostensibly on Bunnatine Greenhouse's retalitory demotion at USACE procurement. She's a brave soul - and another victim, Cristy Watts, who was fired by USACE for doing her job to protect the public against contract fraud. But the third witness was Professor Chris Yukins, a contract law specialist at GWU law school. His testimony was particularly germaine to the issue under discussion, and I think it backs up your point - that the Gulf Coast isn't a place you'll find free forces at work for a long time. You can download a pdf of his testimony at the link above.
On September 8, 2005, the President signed the second supplemental emergency appropriation of $52 billion for Hurricane Katrina relief. That legislation included major changes to procurement law, including a provision that exempted Katrina-related procurement, up to $250,000 per contract, from all normal federal procurement requirements.
This new exception means that Katrina relief procurements up to $250,000 can be made without competition, and out of the public view. This new exception therefore raises serious concerns that the same problems that dogged U.S. contracting in Iraq – failures in competition, failures in transparency, and failures in integrity – will arise again in the Hurricane Katrina relief effort.
I'm tempted to post the entire testimony here - I think it's a must read for anyone worried about what's going to happen on the Gulf Coast. Bush must count in quarter million dollar increments - there are 250,000 holders of federal credit cards, and the cards themselves are now micro-capped at 250,000 bucks each. As Yukin further testifies:
There is an even darker side to this micro-purchase exemption, as Congressman Waxman’s letter of September 8 pointed out. Government purchase cards, which have often been misused, are now open to even more serious abuse. Until now, the low micro-purchase threshold ($2,500) has capped the amount for which authorized users can purchase and pay for supplies using government purchase cards, outside the normal competitive procurement process. Now, with the cap lifted to $250,000 for hurricane-relief purchases, authorized government credit card holders will be able, in one sitting, to purchase and pay for hundreds of thousands of dollars in goods, without any real check on their actions. The potential for abuse is staggering.
This can't possibly be a model for free market forces. It will be a feeding frenzy. And the scale is astounding.
Christ, has anyone attempted to tally up how much public wealth Bush has shoveled into the pockets of his wealthy friends? This might be history's largest fleecing in progress. The figures must be enormous.
And Cristy Watts' testimony was disconcerting also. She talked about confrontations she had had with Haliburton goons stalking her and shouting her down in public venues because she refused to ignore contract irregularities that her bosses ordered her to ignore.
September 16, 2005 11:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I felt there might be a future beyond high inflation, high unemployment, high deficits and high national debt. It was really, really exciting. And guess what? That deficit and high employment I thought would exist until my entire generation died? Gone in basically the snap of my fingers. Zip. Zilch."
I do need to quibble with your memory of inflation and unemployment a bit. I googled up some data for your perusal:
Unep infl
1980-01-01 6.3 13.91%
1981-01-01 7.5 11.83%
1982-01-01 8.6 8.39%
1983-01-01 10.4 3.71%
1984-01-01 8.0 4.19%
1985-01-01 7.3 3.53%
1986-01-01 6.7 3.89%
1987-01-01 6.6 1.46%
1988-01-01 5.7 4.05%
1989-01-01 5.4 4.67%
1990-01-01 5.4 5.20%
1991-01-01 6.4 5.65%
1992-01-01 7.3 2.60%
1993-01-01 7.3 3.26%
1994-01-01 6.6 2.52%
1995-01-01 5.6 2.80%
1996-01-01 5.6 2.73%
1997-01-01 5.3 3.04%
1998-01-01 4.6 1.57%
1999-01-01 4.3 1.67%
2000-01-01 4.0 2.74%
2001-01-01 4.2 3.73%
2002-01-01 5.7 1.14%
2003-01-01 5.8 2.60%
2004-01-01 5.7 1.93%
2005-01-01 5.2 2.97%
I see extraordinarily high inflation and moderately high unemployment in 1980, followed by a painful spike in unemployment as inflation was brought down in 1983.
Unemployment then slowly drifted down to a low of 5.4% in the late 1980s while inflation was held to a modest rate.
This was followed by a spike in unemployment and a reduction in inflation during the recession of the early 1990's.
This was followed by a gradual reduction in unemployment to an unprecedented 4% during the late 1990s bubble while inflation remained low after the recession receded.
This was followed in due course with a brief spike up in unemployment as the late 1990s bubble burst, followed by return to near "normal" rates with inflation continuing at very low rates.
While I agree that economically Clinton could have been a very serviceable Republican, I don't see any evidence in the data that he snapped his fingers and solved all our economic woes, such as they are,
September 17, 2005 6:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Nixon effectively cut taxes on the top rate in half, but there were still fewer loopholes for the rich and corporations,"
I don't think so. The top marginal rate was still 70% in 1980 with loopholes to help mitigate the pain.
You may be thinking of Reagan, he was president in the 1980's.
September 17, 2005 6:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
200 billion dollar emergencies, including the "emergency" in Iraq, build up the deficit so high that anyone coming into office later down the road can't spend a nickle.
that's what's really going on. this way, that money can go to republicans with construction and cleanup contracts, like the haliburton contract that went to haliburton to cleanup the navy base i think before bush or cheney even showed up in person to the gulf.
the sooner we see this obvious big picture, the sooner we can do something about it.
if you hate government and think it should be shrunk, there is a simple solution - build up a huge deficit, with the funds going to GOP campaign contributors.
September 17, 2005 10:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
Remember that there is not a long leap from the anti-government language of the 1960s New Left to the anti-government language of the Right. In many ways the fight is between incrementalists and utopians. Liberal Democrats of any era and to an extent moderate Republicans accept the government and the Nation as it is and try to move it along an desired path. They hold the goals of the country up and try to reach it but understand that there are those who oppose them and many people like the status quo.
The New Left went after those liberals for being hypocrits and for not saying the whole country is a sham and needed to a Revolution to redeem. I read this view of the United States here all the time.
The Right has borrowed much of the rhetoric of the New Left, and some were members of the New Left. They too accuse liberals of being hypocrits and failures and what a dynamic change in the country. I think this is one reason why they hate Clinton so much. A child of the 60s Clinton showed how to be a successful incrementalist.
September 17, 2005 10:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
"I don't think so. The top marginal rate was still 70% in 1980 with loopholes to help mitigate the pain."
That's true, but the real rate being paid on average by the Ford Administration was down to the 30s for the top brackateers. Source: "Wealth and Democracy" by Kevin Phillips and a few other places.
September 17, 2005 12:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
"That's true, but the real rate being paid on average "
O.K. now you have changed to "real rate on average" from "the top rate".
I am not interested in dualing statistics.
September 17, 2005 12:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
"O.K. now you have changed to "real rate on average" from "the top rate".
What I meant was that Dick Nixon with the help of the fools on the Hill punched holes in the tax code big enough to drive a 1974 Cadillac El Dorado or Lear Jet through. The real rate of taxation paid by those in the top brackets was down from the sxity-something percentile the day LBJ left office to the 30-something percentile by the time Mr. Gerald Ford took office. That is what I meant by an "effective" tax cut, rather than a good old fashioned actual tax cut. He wasn't called Tricky Dick for nothing.
September 17, 2005 1:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
"But even after the 1986 reforms, tax entitlements are still far higher than they were prior to the Nixon administration, which began the loophole craze that culminated in the loophole-ridden 1981 tax act."
Link
There was quite a stink about the number of rich folks paying no income taxes in the late sixties and early to mid seventies, but the legislation signed into law by Nixon and later Ford that was allegedly designed to close the loopholes really did nothing of the sort. The amount of actual taxes paid by the rich continued to fall, and the number of wealthy Americans paying no income taxes continued to rise. Some of those loopholes were to be sure present before the Nixon years, but mysteriously the actual tax burden of the rich fell precipitously beginning in 1969.
September 17, 2005 2:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not to belabor the point, but the fall in the effective (as opposed to official) federal tax rate for the top 1% of Americans was from 68.6% in 1970 to 35.5% by 1977. The source for this data is page 1112 of the Treasury Department's "Statistical History of the United States, 1976".
September 17, 2005 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's no challenge, my friend. You're absolutely right to point out that, in the wake of a major disaster, traditional market forces don't work, at least not without a lot of help. A market only works when the society that hosts that market works.
September 18, 2005 12:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
O.K., I understand the statistical games you are playing now.
I misunderstood your original post and am pleased that you are not as ill informed as I originally thought. I have no idea if your statistics are correct, but I will give you the benefit of the doubt.
September 18, 2005 6:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't why you would refer to it as a game.
The growing numbers of wealthy Americans paying little or no taxes beginning in the late 1960s was a significant issue as early as 1969, and a significant issue in the 1972 election (especially in the Democratic primaries). The Nixon administration was forced to pass legislation allegedly closing some of the existing loopholes, and either Nixon or Ford (I'm forgetting which) was forced to do so again in 74 or 75. The trouble was that the number of loopholes was overall actually growing, and more and more wealthy people were getting away with paying rates of federal taxation much lower than the official rate. The AMT dates from this period as well, and was supposed to be a remedy for this, but it has turned out to be a tax mostly on white collar professionals.
September 18, 2005 2:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think there was a little unspoken mutual back scratching going on.
The Republicans didn't complain too loudly about the very high marginal tax rate as long as the Democrats allowed enough ways to avoid the tax. This allowed the Ds to brag to their liberal base that they were punishing high income people by pointing to the high marginal rate, and the Rs to explain to their pro-growth base that the tax could be avoided.
This was supposed to be a political win-win situation. As you point out, people began to catch on to the scam and ultimately lead to the ill conceived AMT and the politically and economically wasteful debate over loopholes.
September 18, 2005 5:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think that's exactly right. It was the beginning of the long era of bipartisan plutocracy. And by 1980 the white working class had caught on and realized that neither party represented their economic interests anymore, and began voting for their cultural values en masse instead.
September 18, 2005 5:39 PM | Reply | Permalink