reply to nathan newman
Nathan Newman, in replying to my post on inner cities vs. suburbs, has created a straw man. As my post makes clear, I was talking about inner cities vs. suburbs--in all states (many blue-state cities have red suburbs). That's why I cited county-based rather than state-based election maps. If I had wanted to talk about metro areas including suburbs and office parks, rather than inner cities, I would not have distinguished suburbs and office parks from downtown areas. If I had wanted to talk about inter-regional transfers, I would have alluded to the state map, not the county map. My point was that the Democrats have a suburban voter problem.
A note to many TPMCafe readers: referring to Americans who don't vote for the Democrats now, but might in the future, as rubes, rednecks, cretins and the like, is not a prudent political strategy for liberals who hope to be part of a national majority again one day.
A note to many TPMCafe readers: referring to Americans who don't vote for the Democrats now, but might in the future, as rubes, rednecks, cretins and the like, is not a prudent political strategy for liberals who hope to be part of a national majority again one day.
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Comments (56)
Michael,
The graphic I posted is not a state to state comparison, but comparison between Congressional districts, which are often divided between Dem-leaning urban cores and GOP-leaning exurban areas-- which was your point.
And data shows that those exurban areas soak up far more federal spending per person than the urban core.
And the fact remains that while there is a lot of commuting within exurban areas, the commuting between exurban areas and the urban core is still overwhelmingly into the inner urban area for jobs.
August 12, 2005 12:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
I hope Lind realizes that there are lots of rubes and rednecks in this country. What are we supposed to call them, if not what they are?
August 12, 2005 12:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
I was made so curious by Lind's posts that I went to his think tank New America Foundation to read some of his opinions, and also looked him up on Wikipedia. I was a bit startled to find he was formerly a neocon according to Wikipedia, for whatever that's worth.
I guess he's currently a radical centrist, meaning that he seeks to find common ground between R/L debates, which in principle sounds good.
So, the New America Foundation had one of his opinions "Explode the Myths of Global Competition" on the front page. It struck me as odd in the same way as his posts on cities and suburbs did, the same faulty compromise and false assumptions.
To sum it up, he claimed he was debunking the conventional wisdom, one being that we need a highly educated work force, another being that any job can be done anywhere in the global economy, and lastly that a welfare state is a problem. So, I was curious to see the debunking and read on.
He did make some good points about foreign competitiveness, and rightly pointed out that many nations with public health care (as one example) are actually very competitive in the global market place, and therefore the anti-public services argument simply isn't supported by the evidence. Fine, I give him credit for pointing that out, although it's been said by many. His other two points were most interesting and more radical though.
Regarding loss of jobs to overseas competition he listed the fastest growing professions, including computer programmers and nurses as two examples. He made the comparison between outsourceable and non-outsourceable, arguing that while we might lose programming jobs, nursing requires hands on care and isn't going anywhere; and there will be more nursing jobs than programming jobs. He added the caviat of improvements in robotics.
Regarding education he asserted nurses (and presumably other non-outsourceable jobs) won’t require people to learn trigonometry, so we shouldn’t be overly concerned with the "myth" everyone needs to be highly educated in mathematics and hard sciences.
Well….There are several problems with that which seem fairly obvious to me.
1) Quantity of jobs isn't the same as quality of jobs. To use his example, nursing could explode as a profession, but it's not going to float our economy because much of the new nursing jobs would be low paying unskilled, nor is nursing an economic growth driving profession.
2) Many low or unskilled services rely on technology and capital from others. For example, many nurses may be low skilled labor, but they often rely on high tech medical equipment, equipment that can only be built by a high tech economy, or bought by an otherwise exporting economy, and nursing and similar service aren’t exportable for the same reason they’re not outsourceable.
3) The scenario Lind suggests seems to imply is a much more closed, less competitive economy, where we’ll all take care of each other, not worrying too much about global competitiveness, or things like math. Basically economic isolationism, sort of the United States of Amish America. But then where will the medical equipment come from? The consumer gadgets? How will our military stay competitive? May as well have argued for tractor factories.
4) Lind perhaps implies that America will always have enough workers educated in mathematics and hard sciences and will always be competitive, at least enough to support the vast service sector of low skilled nursing and such. But doesn't that run counter his initial assertion and take far too much for granted? A nation can't simply train the same numbers in mathematics and hard sciences as it has jobs for. To be globally competitive requires a deep bench where the best of the best rise to the top. It also requires a culture which deeply values math and the sciences to create sufficient numbers of top notch competitors.
5) Lastly, there is the issue of how safe are those jobs Lind assumes aren’t outsourceable, & will remain safe. In his example of the nursing profession gave the caviat: barring advances in robotics. Well, that can’t have been an accidental reference becasue that’s exactly what Japan is doing. Facing a marginally declining and aging population, they’re seeking efficiency multipliers to take care of their elderly without increasing the public burden, developing and using robotics, which help to make each nurse a more productive super nurse. Since their economy is very high tech and they have a surplus of people who for example know math, they’re taking the lead in design and manufacture of such exportable technologies. The point being, in the near future, those who can afford nursing (or other presumed “safe” services) may choose to buy a Japanese labor reducing nurse robot, and lay off much of their human nurse staff to save costs. Not knowing what high tech competitive economies will invent next, maybe no job is safe after all.
To sum up, Lind made a few good points, such as the simple fact that many nations with more public services and heath care than the US are still highly competitive, some beating us. However his assertions that math and sciences aren’t as important as people think, and neither are cutting edge jobs producing IP, it all seems rather wrong headed. It seems he wants to have the cake and eat it to, delivering the good news to those like suburban nurses who are perhaps aren’t fond of mathematics. No need to study math and be competitive, we’ll all just be nurses to each other, and we’ll still have all the gadgets and high tech things we love. Oh, if only it were true. Instead it sounds like a short sighted, feel good, cultural suicide.
I felt the same about his suburb arguments posted here, where he describes a future when we’ll all move to the burbs, and cites will become irrelevant. That’s a tired line, often a Republican line to justify some suburban Republican politics, particularly tax avoidance to pay for civil infrastructure of the cities. But if it were ever true, then why are the leading tech hubs and economic drivers all placed in or immediately around cities, and all linked inextricably to the city, and people who know math?
August 12, 2005 12:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
A note to many TPMCafe readers: referring to Americans who don't vote for the Democrats now, but might in the future, as rubes, rednecks, cretins and the like, is not a prudent political strategy for liberals who hope to be part of a national majority again one day.
I am here as a happy user of TPMCafe precisely because I haven't seen much of that attitude here yet. Certainly I have not seen the blatant straight-out vile intolerant and elitist name-calling of that type; when I have felt its presence here, it has either been so heavily veiled that its hard to even be sure, or it has been attacked either with comments or ratings.
If I do start to see it here, and don't see the community police it, I am so outta here so fast, simply because, first, I am really personally sick of it, it's ugly and depressing to read, and feel it distorts my perspective, and second, I don't want to help contribute to a site that furthers such a self-destructive agenda.
I think you have erred in your wording, it confuses this site in its current incarnation with others. Either that, or you are not reading the community's comments here, but just making presumptions.
August 12, 2005 12:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, cmon, sphealy, you have more of a sense of humor than to downrate me for that. Especially in one of these discussions started by the far-too-earnest Mr. Lind.
August 12, 2005 1:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Isn't it really the other way around? How often do you hear liberals or Democrats refer to "red-staters" as rubes or rednecks?
How often do you hear liberals and Democrats referred to as, "latte drinkers, America haters, terrorist supporters, etc" by conservatives and Republicans?
August 12, 2005 1:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for doing all of this homework. Thanks also for pointing out something that is ignored on both sides of the political aisle -- it's not enough that a person has a job, the job should be fulfilling, it should provide for comforts, should offer upward mobility... there's a lot that a job is supposed to do for a worker. Merely giving everyone a job isn't enough.
Same on education -- and it shouldn't just be about math and science -- we need a highly educated population because highly educated people make better decisions about what they want out of life.
August 12, 2005 1:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
OK, I put my rating back up to three. But the problem is that when you are dealing with people like Mr. Lind they use their "seriousness" as a bludgeon against any meaningful discussion. I don't have much hope for dialogue from the vital center at this point (it seems to have gone into lecture mode for the day), but posts such as your unfortunately provide ammunition for those of their ilk who wish to continue in lecture mode.
sPh
August 12, 2005 1:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
"A note to many TPMCafe readers: referring to Americans who don't vote for the Democrats now, but might in the future, as rubes, rednecks, cretins and the like, is not a prudent political strategy for liberals who hope to be part of a national majority again one day."
The post that says we haven't seen much of that here is too kind. It'd be fairer to say that we haven't seen much of that from liberal or Democratic politicians, period. You see conservatives getting mileage out of misleading stereotypes and gutter name calling. (FWIW, I don't like latte, and I'm sure Kerry's a pretty macho athlete to be a windsurfer.) And Democrats plead for mutual understanding.
In other words, once again Lind manages to recite Rove's framing of the issues as if it were rational rather than gutter politics and, on top of that, as if it were supportive of progressives. I give up. I'm really tired of his upside-downism, to use Josh's phrase. Doesn't he have a neocon think-tank of his own as a base to pontificate?
August 12, 2005 1:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Michael, you seem so hostile to Democrats and so concerned about the tender sensibilities of those on the "other side", I wonder that you don't just join with them wholeheartedly.
If you think that name-calling is not helpful, why is it OK for you to call "fellow" Democrats lefty radicals? You appear so disdainful of Democrats that I am amazed that you besmirch yourself by any alliance with us. Is your manner always so nasty and abrasive? It's really hard to get past your blatant hostility to consideration of the substance of your remarks.
August 12, 2005 1:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rubes, rednecks and cretins isn't nearly as bad as what us liberals have been called by the other side and by even some who claim to be on our side (I have been called traitor, coward, pussy, terrorist sympathizer). That being said I will do my part to keep decorum at a high level here, I'd hate to offend any of my friends by insulting our opponents...
August 12, 2005 1:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're probably right.
August 12, 2005 1:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
I still think the other side of the political spectrum has facist tendencies...but that doesn't mean they're facists, lol. ;-)
August 12, 2005 1:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
You should read a lot of the replies to my posts! Among the respondents (who may not be representative of the readers) there seems to be a perception that blue-state people are enlightened, tolerant, and productive, while red-state people are primitives who subsist on welfare checks from "creative class" geniuses in a few liberal cities. For dissenting from this smug (and absurd) consensus I've been called "Fox News Lite" and "David Brooks" (as should be apparent, I'm a Rooseveltian New Dealer in the Progressive-Liberal tradition).
It appears that there are Dittoheads on the left as well as the Right who are enraged by any questioning of unexamined orthodoxy--in this case, unexamined center-left orthodoxy.
August 12, 2005 1:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
In the third debate, sitting President George Bush used the word "Massachusetts" twice in framing his attacks on Kerry. Both times he suggested that being from Massachusetts was somehow prima facie evidence for one's unfitness for the Presidency (e.g. "only a Senator from Massachusetts would think...").
So get off your high horse. It's Republicans who are advocating for and perpetuating the rhetoric of regional divisiveness, not Democrats. And your "cities as parasites" argument is not only counterfactual as Nathan pointed out, but it feeds directly into the disgusting divisiveness that Republicans encourage, support, and exploit.
August 12, 2005 1:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Since I don't think treating the political process in this country like a team sports event or a video game is the correct way to go, I hope others will join me in trying to affect a change on that usage.
August 12, 2005 1:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
it's not enough that a person has a job, the job should be fulfilling, it should provide for comforts, should offer upward mobility... there's a lot that a job is supposed to do for a worker.
True, and something else that's rudimentary but sometimes forgotten:
A critical component of any economy is to have a workforce which is #1 at something in the world, that produces the economic driving force which increases GDP and which creates the IP and exportable goods which allow us to trade with other economies.
If we lack competitiveness, then other economies will figure out how to beat us at our own jobs, like the robotic nursing equipment example I gave. To be blunt, that economic driving force is directly linked to blue cities and surrounding metropolitan areas, blue universities teaching mathematics and hard sciences, and the diverse-liberal-blue often immigrant highly-educated high tech work force.
Btw, no I'm not an unrestrained free-trader, a lot of it is just insane, shooting ourselves in the foot. But neither do I think we can forget trying to be competitive, move to the burbs, adopt red ideology (like I.D. to use an extreme example), not study math, all "service" each other, and perhaps protect ourselves with isolationism while living off the fat of the land. It’s just a pipe dream.
August 12, 2005 1:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
A note to many TPMCafe readers: referring to Americans who don't vote for the Democrats now, but might in the future, as rubes, rednecks, cretins and the like, is not a prudent political strategy for liberals
Wait, are these the same liberals who are "too open to the radical left," or different?
I'm trying to keep track of your broad brush strokes.
August 12, 2005 1:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
August 12, 2005 1:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
At the same time, you've seemed to imply:
1) That there's no room for liberal social ideas as prominent in the party, which is pretty offensive to people who believe that, say, homosexuals have the right to marry each other.
2) That the party needs to be more pro-military, which is, again, tough for a lot of us who have other goals for federal spending, to swallow.
3) That people in the cities are parasites. Which is something that was pretty we debunked in the commentary to your last thread.
Calls for civility are all well and good, but we shouldn't pretend that there aren't some serious disagreements about what "the good life" is in the US. I feel like, having read your posts this week, that if you ruled the Democrats, there'd be a whole lot of us, with, yes, a more cosmopolitan outlook about life and morals, who would be left out in the cold.
August 12, 2005 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lind scolds the TPMC community against using the terms:
rubes, rednecks, cretins and the like
Where does he get off making that accusation? Where are the examples? I haven’t seen any of that at all.
If anything he's the one defaming the TPMC community.
WTF? I will say Lind is starting to sound like a Freeper, but he is free to prove me wrong and stop with the bogus accusations, and start substantiating his arguments on various fronts, any time.
August 12, 2005 1:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
As my post makes clear, I was talking about inner cities vs. suburbs--in all states (many blue-state cities have red suburbs).
I'm all for breaking that Red-Blue state map into a county-by-county comparison. Many blue-state cities do have red suburbs (though in Massachusetts only a couple of wealthy exurbs went Republican in the last two elections), but Lind is overstanding the problem. On balance, the suburbs of the Northeast and West Coast are tilting blue. At the very least, they're not Red enough to throw the state into the GOP column. Now, it's true we need to work on winning over the Midwest. And we could do better in making Sunbelt suburbs more competitive - in the South and West, the cities and dirt poor rural areas really are oases of blue in a red sea. But signifant swaths of suburbia vote Democratic, and ignoring that poses its own analytic hazard.
August 12, 2005 1:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jane I like your style. I too was getting a feeling that Mr Lind was being a bit condescending and was wondering why he was posting here when he seemed to have so much contempt for most of his audience.
I doubt that the people whose feelings Mr. Lind is protecting read this site very often.
August 12, 2005 1:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
while i don't have all of the stats handily at my disposal, haven't the dems had a 'suburban voter problem' since nixon's '68 victory? people have been fleeing american cities since the advent of the railroad suburbs, and the racialized development policies of the early to mid 20th century only reinforced and accelarated the white flight that is so much a part of our national psyche. if i recall my urban planning history correctly, the '70 census for the first time showed more suburbanites than inner city dwellers and nixon's '68 deftly pounced on this trend. the appeal to racial hate worked especially in the suburbs where all those folks moved to escape the problems that american racism helped to create. if there was a realignment it happened a long time ago and the past few elections have only been a confirmation of that long running trend.
August 12, 2005 1:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
In my universe, the "wealth creators" in the South were the black and white field hands who picked the cotton, not the absentee landlord who owned title to the plantation, and the West was developed chiefly by ranch hands, not by the British and French investors who owned title to properties they never saw. In my native Texas, most of the oil industry was owned in practice from the 1920s by people in New York, New Jersey, London, etc. Did that make the coupon-clippers in New York and London "wealth-creators" compared to the roustabouts who worked on the rigs? Unless one hundred percent of the (private, not public) investment income streaming into the pockets of the wealthy few in blue cities comes entirely from enterprises located in blue counties, my point stands. To me, as a Roosevelt Democrat, it's bizarre that any Democrats would take the line of reactionary Republican conservatives in the 1930s--namely, claiming that the only true "wealth creators" in the US are investors, and the rest of us are either mere factors of production or beneficiaries of their largesse.
Oh, and by the way, as I used to point out in friendly debates with Senator Moynihan, the flow of profits from the red states to the investor class concentrated in a few coastal cities is the reason why the New Deal Democrats favored the reverse flows of federal revenue-sharing and other forms of national redistribution in the first place. Poor New York, New Jersey and Connecticut--having to subsidize New Mexico and Mississippi! This argument was pioneered by Alf Landon Republican types who hated the New Deal and the Great Society; the fact that Democrats are now professing to feel sorry that rich states (translation: extremely rich people who happen to live in a few states) are taxed to subsidize poorer states shows how far the party has drifted from its labor-populist roots.
Genuinely egalitarian liberals would oppose the abuse of inter-regional transfers by Newt Gingrich and the like, but they would never complain that tax money is flowing across artificial state lines from the rich (who are concentratedin coastal cities) to the needy (who are diffused throughout the country and concentrated in the South and Southwest). If the base of the Democratic Party is becoming coastal-city investors and professionals (the old anti-Roosevelt base), then it's no longer the party of the people. (The anti-Roosevelt investors and professionals tended to take liberal positions on social issues like birth control and separation of church and state, too, half a century ago).
August 12, 2005 1:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
there seems to be a perception that blue-state people are enlightened, tolerant, and productive, while red-state people are primitives who subsist on welfare checks from "creative class" geniuses in a few liberal cities.
Oh that's baloney Lind.
What you're referring to are the facts some people have posted about flow of tax dollars. It’s a fact they flow to red states. Some people have pointed out that’s “welfare” which is called irony, since it’s usually red staters under the mistaken impression they’re supporting blue cities in blue states, when nothing could be further from truth.
If you have contrary facts, by all means, do show em.
Secondly, it's a simple fact that places like San Francisco and the silicon valley, Seattle and it's tech parks, and many other examples of economic driving IP generators are predominantly blue. The best universities lean heavily blue. Again, if you have examples of red leaning economic drivers, to rival those, show em.
In the meanwhile, it's pretty clear you'd rather play the victim and accuse others of calling names, choosing to focus on ad anything besides backing up your claims with data.
You’re the one suggesting a vast, suburban, economy which doesn’t place emphasis on high tech, doesn’t need cities, and doesn’t need mathematics or hard sciences is the way of the future. I think you’re the one with some pretty warped views of people. Most nurses probably want their children to go to college study hard in mathematics and hard sciences to be doctors, scientists and engineers. It’s your argument which seems condescending, that people can stay in the poorer paying service sector job forever, and that everything will be fine.
Those of us here who disagree with you have just been pointing out how non-functional your theories are. If you have any facts to support your theories, by all means, show em.
In the meanwhile, stop with the whining and the bogus accusations.
August 12, 2005 1:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mr Lind:
It's all well and good for you to have different opinions than the bulk of the visitors here, and I appreciate that Josh has clearly made an effort to seek out some variety of opinion. I think there are some nuggets of truth in what you wrote about the urban-exurban divide--certainly, at the least, Democrats need to be cognizant of suburban votres. And you've certainly made people think and scurry off to Google to check your assertions.
But you owe this forum collectively a big apology. Nobody in the comments to your post refered to anyone as a "rube, redneck, or cretin." Your autonomic statement is a dishonest plea for street cred from, frankly, a pack of dinks in whose interest it is to continue nurturing the lie that political differences in this country are about a contest between elite fruitloops and "just folks." This forum is dedicated to fostering reality-based discussion, not the Cliff Notes view of reality we can get from MSM pundits or big business shills.
I appreciate your contrarian posts. It's a shame your responses to comments are the usual pap from the O'Reilly playbook.
I see too your little fib prodded some unfortunate commentary defending the straw person you erected. Somehow I suspect you knew the most gullible of us would rise to that bait. Shameful.
August 12, 2005 2:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
I was mocking the complaints of capitalists and affluent professionals living in major cities whose earnings come from investments in agriculture in Montana, textiles in North Carolina, or Nike factories in Southeast Asia.
Really? Because that's not what you said. You said cities are parasites. What percentage of the population do you think live off Nike stock? Actually, I think you'd find most of those people in your precious red suburbs, particularly the gated kind.
In my universe, the "wealth creators" in the South were the black and white field hands who picked the cotton
Well then your universe is a bit out of date. Is this guy serious?
Oh, and by the way, as I used to point out in friendly debates with Senator Moynihan, the flow of profits from the red states to the investor class concentrated in a few coastal cities is the reason why the New Deal Democrats favored the reverse flows of federal revenue-sharing and other forms of national redistribution in the first place.
For someone who claims to recognize radical "realignments" you seem to have missed a couple. The wealth of our nation is hardly measured by the bushel these days. It's not as though today subsidy is anything but pure such rural industries for social, quality of life, reasons.
As I pointed out earlier, it's generally red communities who are against any subsidy of anything, on principle, except for their own pork of course. Or are you arguing it's long been the Republican platform that subsidy for social reasons is a good thing?
It's also generally the blue communities which will most openly admit that subsidy as social welfare sometimes has merits to preserve quality of life, for broad ideological reasons.
So, which ideology, blue or red, do red states have to thank for subsidy? Or do you prefer to think that red states can be against subsidy ideologically, while each continuing to get theirs?
August 12, 2005 2:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
You wrote ... "A note to many TPMCafe readers: referring to Americans who don't vote for the Democrats now, but might in the future, as rubes, rednecks, cretins and the like, is not a prudent political strategy for liberals"
You are correct. We Democrats do need to reach out to others by sticking to policy discussions, and avoid the name calling. Name calling always gets in the way of persuading people, and right now new supporters and new voters are what the Democratic Party needs, so we have a lopt of persuading to do in the months to come. I've seen a lot of name calling over the past year or so on various Democratic/Leftist/Progressive internet forums and blogs (haven't visited any Republican/Conservative blogs and forums, so can't speak about those). Lots of it can be chalked up to the internet milieu, where people seem to accept bad behavior as a norm, and lots of it can be explained by the lack of political maturity of the people involved. We have new people coming into the Democratic Party every day, especially through the internet, and often they simply haven't learned the things that make for good campaigning and politics. Even here, some people are quick to judge if someone has a different viewpoint than is the "accepted wisdom," and this seems particularly true among younger members. If we are to have a genuine big-tent party, though, we must reach out, and we must welcome all sorts of people who want to align with us. If we are going to call anyone a name, let that name be Democrat.
August 12, 2005 2:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Raindog, thank you. It's the attitude with Lind, isn't it?
August 12, 2005 2:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
I do have a habit of referringto Rev. "Sponge Bob" Dobson and his merry band of hate mongers as...
Insane Batshit Death Cultists
I wonder if means that?
August 12, 2005 2:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'd rate you, but there is no "sad but true irony" rating. :/
August 12, 2005 2:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
It appears that there are Dittoheads on the left as well as the Right
Whoops! There's that name-calling again.
August 12, 2005 2:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
All of this glancing at a map, hand-waving, and conjecture is fun.
But unless and until you have actually done some quantitative analysis, it's just that: fun.
If the urban cores are really not economic generators, or they are, prove it: go get the data for economy and voting, by county, and crunch the numbers.
Otherwise, we might as well be practicing magic.
August 12, 2005 2:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
It isn't worth anything at all.
I think he is trying to get you to understand that Farm subsidies go to the red States and return to the blue states as cheap bread.
I think he is trying to tell you that Military and defense R&D go into sparsely populated red States and return to the blue as military defense umbrellas.
Everything else in this post is either an ad hominem aor non germane to the discussion, in short it is non responsive to the topic. Pure red State pairie grass.
August 12, 2005 3:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have to admit to being a little misguided as well. The following covers a lot of ground.
As a bleeding knuckle liberal, however I welcome you to the club, and don't let the red wings run you off. I think the party has absolutely got to return to its' principles.
In that regard perhaps your earlier post that 2004 was a realigning election missed the mark by four years. I think the American people have had enough of fool me twice don't get fooled again. I think that there is going to a political earthquake as the extent of the corruption of the Republican government is finally revealed, and if Democrats are smart they will throw the crooked Democrats overboard with equal enthusiam. It is imperative that they have their ducks in a line when happens too. Us red State folk don't like crooks and liars unless they is ablog.
I appreciate what Josh is doing as well as you and Ed, if in fact I am discerning tactics within a strategy as I believe. Anyway flattery isn't my strong suit so you guys will have to make it last a couple of years.
Long story short, your analysis is right on the mark, but myths are hard to kill.
August 12, 2005 4:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gosh, it isn't really that hard to test Mr. Lind's hypothesis. You go to the BEA website and get the county personal income data. Then you subtract out unearned income (rents, interest, and dividends) and transfers. Of course, this is a very strange definition, as others have pointed out, since it assumes that all unearned income is parasitical. It is, however, the definition that Mr. Lind gave us.
By that definition, New York City, L.A., San Francisco, San Jose, Seattle, Miami, Chicago, Boston, Philadelphia, New Haven, Denver, Boulder, Honolulu, Baltimore, Detroit, Jersey City, Milwaukee, and Providence earn about 15% of the earned personal income in this country. They also possess about 14% of the jobs.
That's a just a near-random selection of Blue cities, of course, and it doesn't include the Blue suburban counties, including suburbs of places like Boston and San Francisco that are anything but suburban. Anyway, I don't see the unsustainability. Perhaps I am missing something.
Of course, there is that demographic issue, but I am lost as to the significance of the fact that Blue cities attract people from elsewhere in the United States and overseas. In addition, many Blue cities, such as New York, do, in fact, have positive population growth from natural increase.
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August 12, 2005 4:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
I posted the same point on another Lind thread. I have to imagine that Lind is leaving this fact out not because he is unaware of it (given how smart he is) but because it runs contrary to his overall theme - which is that a culturally liberal, economically centrist Democratic party that increasing caters to upper-middle-class professionals is not only morally undesirable, but also a political loser.
I am quite disappointed that Lind in his posts did not address Judis and Texeira's thesis - which is that the Democrats can (and were prior to 9/11) building a majority party based on a coalition of professionals, minorities, working women, and service sector labor - in effect by growing the current base.
I'm not certain that Lind is wrong and Judis/Texeira are right on the relative viability of their starkly different Democratic models. I would like to have heard Lind spend more time addressing these arguments square-on, and less time rattling the cages of this blogs resident Deaniacs.
August 12, 2005 4:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
I do have a habit of referringto Rev. "Sponge Bob" Dobson and his merry band of hate mongers as...
Insane Batshit Death Cultists
I wonder if means that?
No, he isn't referring to rational descriptions of groups, but to extremist language. You are in the clear.
August 12, 2005 4:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
I was mocking the complaints of capitalists and affluent professionals
August 12, 2005 4:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think he is trying to get you to understand that Farm subsidies go to the red States and return to the blue states as cheap bread.
Really? Where did he say that?
I think he is trying to tell you that Military and defense R&D go into sparsely populated red States and return to the blue as military defense umbrellas.
Built with blue designed technology and with blue tax dollars. That is why cities are "parasites" in Linds words? I'd say it's complimentary, which is why us blue city folk, unlike say those red state politicians, are always supportive of subsidy for preserving quality of life in American commuities, for public education, and for support of the social safty net.
By comparison, it seem red politicaians are always bashing public spending, always bashing any social services, always bashing taxes, but you don't see them complaining about subsidy when it's thier state do you? Republicans are the opposite of "not in my backyard" when it somes to subsidy. They're "only in my backyard."
And as far as your debating skills go, I think you need to stick to what Lind actually said and stop imagining it into something you wanted to hear. Lind didn't actually say any of those things, so stop accusing me of misunderstanding what you heard him say in your head, but he never actually wrote here.
non germane to the discussion
His views on the future economy as being pure suburban, service sector, and not needing to worry about math, hard sciences or global competitiveness isn't the point?
No, you're beside the point, and when you can actually back up any of your absurd claims and stop putting words into Lind’s mouth for him, then let me know.
In the meanwhile, I know troll when I see one.
August 12, 2005 4:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
I didn't get it from your previous posts, but (assuming I'm getting it now) what you're talking about is the "resource extraction" colonialism that you described so well in "Made In Texas," right? Except here, you're applying it to cities/suburbs use of rural "resources" and labor (like, food, for instance) rather than the plantation/fieldhand or oil investor/roustabout model you used in that book, right?
If so, I think you explained it much better in the book.
August 12, 2005 4:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
For someone who claims to recognize radical "realignments" you seem to have missed a couple. The wealth of our nation is hardly measured by the bushel these days. It's not as though today subsidy is anything but pure such rural industries for social, quality of life, reasons.
The wealth of our nation is still carried by the bushel unless farm subsidies aren't included in GDP.
The cities produce a lot of wealth because they have a lot of people which is a given. But they also dislike ICBM silos in downtown or the 'burbs so they stick these high dollar expenses in the sparsly populated red States. Hardly a subsidy. As for social programs the Southern States are far less generous than the Northen States so per capita they spend less, but we do have a large influx of Northern retirees because the cost of living is lower, which is reflected in the data as Social Security and Medicare. Hardly a subsidy.
As I pointed out earlier, it's generally red communities who are against any subsidy of anything, on principle, except for their own pork of course.
Red communities do not have any kick against farm subsidie and military spending. They have a problem with the Republican echo chamber that defines subsidies as welfare queens and illegal immigrants in schools and Emergency rooms. Of course hubris such as yours may tend to make a farmer or two dislike the Democrats enough to vote Rethuglican.
The point is to establish what is what so that the people who would support Democratic policies if they understood the above, would vote Democratic in Red States.
It's also generally the blue communities which will most openly admit that subsidy as social welfare sometimes has merits to preserve quality of life, for broad ideological reasons.
Yeah generally blue assertions of "facts" do not generate votes from generally red voters either.
So, which ideology, blue or red, do red states have to thank for subsidy? Or do you prefer to think that red states can be against subsidy ideologically, while each continuing to get theirs?
These remarks reek of prejudice, absolutely reek. Not only do you paint the Red States with a broad brush of sweeping generalizations, you do it without even using accurate information. You sure you're not a Republican counter intelpro troll?
August 12, 2005 4:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Noel, sorry, I wasn't trying to imply that it's a hard thing to do. Simply that it is rather lame of Mr. Lind to make such a bold statement without trying to do any quantitative analysis himself.
I kind of think it's incumbent upon him to do so.
I'm not going to do it, as I really have other fish to fry, and it's not really my thing.
August 12, 2005 4:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Built with blue designed technology and with blue tax dollars. That is why cities are "parasites" in Linds words? I'd say it's complimentary...
Agreed.
which is why us blue city folk,...
All blur city folk?
...unlike say those red state politicians,
All red state politicians?
are always supportive of subsidy for preserving quality of life in American commuities, for public education, and for support of the social safty net.
So are all of us in the red states, if I define us as you do.
By comparison, it seem red politicaians are always bashing public spending, always bashing any social services, always bashing taxes, but you don't see them complaining about subsidy when it's thier state do you? Republicans are the opposite of "not in my backyard" when it somes to subsidy. They're "only in my backyard."
Red State Politicians and Republicans are not synonymous.
And as far as your debating skills go, I think you need to stick to what Lind actually said and stop imagining it into something you wanted to hear. Lind didn't actually say any of those things, so stop accusing me of misunderstanding what you heard him say in your head, but he never actually wrote here.
My debating skills are not the issue here. Your bringing your information from his website is. Or is that something he wrote here too?
Indeed one must try to interpret what other people are saying and then restate that understanding if we are to presume that one is learning.
No, you're beside the point, and when you can actually back up any of your absurd claims and stop putting words into Lind's mouth for him, then let me know.
The principal source for Federal funds data is the Consolidated Federal Funds Reports data from the Census Bureau. ERS aggregates the latest available data (fiscal year 2001) to the county, State, regional, and national levels for each program and computes per capita estimates by type of nonmetropolitan (nonmetro) county. Overall, nonmetro areas received slightly less funding per capita ($6,020) than metropolitan (metro) areas ($6,131), but the amount of funding varied greatly by type or function of the program. Nonmetro areas benefited disproportionately from agriculture and natural resource program payments, income security payments (including Social Security and food stamps/other assistance to low-income individuals), and human resources programs. In contrast, metro areas benefited more from community resources programs (including infrastructure, housing, and business assistance), defense and space programs (the largest of the national programs), and national (nondefense) function programs such as criminal justice and law enforcement, energy, and higher education and research.
So which regions get what in rural America? Total Federal funding was highest in the South ($6,660 per capita) and lowest in the Midwest ($5,566 per capita), but this pattern did not hold up for nonmetro areas. The nonmetro West received the most ($6,129 per capita) due to higher-than-average payments from community resources and national functions as well as relatively high funding from human resources and defense/space functions. On the other hand, the nonmetro Northeast received the lowest funding ($5,512 per capita) as a result of lower-than-average payments for agriculture and natural resource programs.
In the meanwhile, I know troll when I see one.
Yawn
August 12, 2005 5:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
BTW here is the link
August 12, 2005 5:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
August 12, 2005 5:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
A note to many TPMCafe readers: referring to Americans who don't vote for the Democrats now, but might in the future, as rubes, rednecks, cretins and the like, is not a prudent political strategy for liberals who hope to be part of a national majority again one day.
You'll find a lot more of this on, say, Free Republic than here -- even if a TPM comment thread were to devolve into an orgy of name calling directed at Red-state residents.
The reason I say this is that popular conservativism -- the sort peddled by Rush and O'Reilly and that constitutes The Matter With Kansas -- is incredibly condescending towards the people who actually live in Red America. You can only bash "highly-educated elites" so often, or simply deny scientific conclusions so many times, before it's clear that you're peddling a celebration of rube-dom. You can only bash Thai food and French wine and the rest of the world generally for so long before you have to admit that you're celebrating a strident provincialism. By framing these attacks on Blue America as pro-Red, it's the supposed spokesmen for "the heartland" that treat it like a cretinous backwater. It's like an ad campaign that appeals to the worst stereotypes of its target demographics -- such as the beer commercials that show twenty-something men acting far more oafish than any actual twenty-something man.
Which is one of the great and frustrating tragedies of our time. The past ten years have shown that people from sea to shining sea can master new technologies and acquire a taste for espresso-based beverages. But, with every new development that begins on one of the coasts or -- gasp! -- overseas, we have to endure years of belly-aching from blowhards who probably realize that they wouldn't get good ratings from simply announcing that we've got a lot in common.
August 12, 2005 6:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
they also dislike ICBM silos in downtown or the 'burbs so they stick these high dollar expenses in the sparsly populated red States. Hardly a subsidy.
whoa there friend.... are you trying to suggest that 1) cities aren;t the forst buclear targets in a nuclear exchange, or targets for terrorism of r that matter 2) That it would ever make sense to put a silo in the middle of a metropolis either economically or strategically 3) that the large subsidy going to red states is for missile silos?
None of those have any basis in reality whatsoever. I don't know if those are some rural legends or something, but they're pretty silly. The subsidy goes to keeping agriculture prices up, and stops the rural economy from completely collapsing. Personally I'm for them for the most part because I believe in protecting a way of life and helping people adjust to economic changes. Along with that I support subsidy for education and other civic infrastructure to help rural communities adapt. But don't give me any nonsense about the subsidy going for missile silos or something to make it sound like you're doing us a favor. We're paying for them and it's usually red state hawks who wanted them and a bunch of other pork barrel defense projects to boot.
Red communities do not have any kick against farm subsidie and military spending.They have a problem with the Republican echo chamber that defines subsidies as welfare queens and illegal immigrants in schools and Emergency rooms.
Well sure they don't. That's pretty self serving isn't it? But let's be perfectly clear on some facts: that money comes from blue states, and it's the red states that complain most about welfare in the inner cities and such. I don’t make it that way, republican politicians from those red states started the myth about the welfare moms and such. Considering the flow of tax dollars is from blue to red, red states aren't paying for it anyways so I don't really see what they're complaining about. So let's just stick to the facts here.
Of course hubris such as yours
Hubris? That's a laugh. Since when is it hubris to point out the truth? I'd say red politicians lying to their constituents to make them think they're getting bilked, and to try and split them away from blue people who had stood with them in solidarity and willingly subsidized rural folks, many of them family; red state politicians who launched that culture war to get red state voters to vote for Big Business Republicans who then helped the corporate takeover of rural areas, now THAT's HUBRIS!
The point is to establish what is what so that the people who would support Democratic policies if they understood the above, would vote Democratic in Red States.
That I agree with, which is why I was saying it.
These remarks reek of prejudice, absolutely reek.
Nonsense. It's just the political reality of the people red states have been voting into office. If I say red states have been voting into office Republicans who then start myths to divide people on culture wars, are big business and such, ig rural voters think that "reeeks" well then they should change it. But the fact is that these red state republicans keep lying and that needs to be said.
Not only do you paint the Red States with a broad brush of sweeping generalizations, you do it without even using accurate information. You sure you're not a Republican counter intelpro troll?
Unsubstantiated nonsense. Your strategy seems to be the Democrats shouldn’t tell the truth abut what’s been going on. I think that’s crazy.
August 12, 2005 7:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm coming to this conversation slightly late, but I have been following its general thrust and I have greatly enjoyed it. Now, I'd like to add my piece.<p>
Firstly, the Democrats - or perhaps I should say, a Democratic Party led by John Kerry - actually had some of its biggest gains in "dynamic" "New Economy" regions during the 2004 election. For example, in absolute terms, John Kerry improved upon Al Gore's performance in Franklin, Co Ohio (Columbus and a good chunk of its suburbs), Mecklenburg Co NC (Charlotte and a good chunk of its suburbs), Harris Co TX (Austin and many of its suburbs). This is to say nothing of places like Silicon Valley, which are now overhwelmingly Democratic areas and are a central reason why the GOP has so much trouble in CA now (remember, G Bush Sr. carried CA quite easily in 1988). I wrote a diary on this in the immediate aftermath of the election last November - <a href="http://ben-p.mydd.com/story/2004/11/11/202824/89"
>link</a>
If anything, what George W. Bush did to increase his 2000 vote totals was to improve on his performance in Red state exurbs and small cities and towns (often economically struggling) in rural areas. His coalition is one of equal parts resentment, aspiration, and fear. But it is not really a coalition of the most successful or dynamic areas. Remember, people move to exurbs in red states often because they simply can't afford to live in the more economically "hot" areas. This clearly presents a challenge to the Democratic Party - especially since the Democratic Party can, with some justification, or at least in comparison to the GOP, claim to be more a party for the less well to do. But it is important to understand precisely what the challenge is, and not to fall victim to lazy generalizations.<p>
If anything, I think it is best to try to understand American politics as organized around two large political economic blocs. The GOP is organized around real estate, extractive industries, agriculture, and the military-industrial complex. The Democratic coalition is organized around high tech, finance, higher education, and entertainment. Regions in which the first are more dominant will most likely vote GOP; regions dominated by the second bloc will vote Democratic. Regions with both political economic configurations at play will be swing areas. Personally, I think understanding American politics through this lens allows us to understand why it is folks <b>aren't in fact</b> "voting agains their economic interests in the rural west and the exurban south - the GOP promotes a series of policies that benefit them economically. Breaking apart this configuration in a way that establishes a lasting Democratic majority is a serious challenge that I think goes beyond many of the strategies that are proposed on sites like this. But the current configuration is not enough if the Democrats want to be the party that consistently wins elections and holds majorities in Congress. Currently, the configuration I outline provides the GOP a narrow majority which looks bigger than it is because of there powerful message machine (40 years in the making) and the way the American political system favors sparsely populated rural areas.<p>
August 12, 2005 8:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Right, Dan, let's stick to "policy discussions." Leave it to the Republicans to call us traitors, faggots, cowards, etc. That's been winning us so many elections lately, why change now?
August 12, 2005 9:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
"In the meanwhile, I know troll when I see one."
Have you been looking in the mirror, NickDoe?
August 13, 2005 1:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
"In the third debate, sitting President George Bush used the word "Massachusetts" twice in framing his attacks on Kerry. ... So get off your high horse. It's Republicans who are advocating for and perpetuating the rhetoric of regional divisiveness, not Democrats."
Of course, the current regional divisions benefit Republicans, not Democrats. So it's not surprising that Republicans intentionally emphasize them...
August 13, 2005 1:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
"You should read a lot of the replies to my posts! Among the respondents (who may not be representative of the readers)..."
Most readers never comment.
And of those who do comment, of course, the worst are full of passionate intensity.
August 13, 2005 1:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
whoa there friend.... are you trying to suggest that 1) cities aren;t the forst buclear targets in a nuclear exchange, or targets for terrorism of r that matter 2) That it would ever make sense to put a silo in the middle of a metropolis either economically or strategically 3) that the large subsidy going to red states is for missile silos?
1)Knowing our ability to respond to a first strike, I doubt the Russians, who are the only ones capable of such an attack at the moment would neglect the silos regardless of where they are. Terrorism is a straw man in discussing strategic ICBMs. 2) There is no strategic value to destroying New York City when carbon fibers would shut it down and preserve most of the infrastructure, especially if one expected a response from such an attack. I would go for the silos first regardless of where they were. 3) No I am saying you cannot call an umbrella expense a subsidy to anyone when everyone derives a benefit from it.
The subsidy goes to keeping agriculture prices up, and stops the rural economy from completely collapsing.
Farm subsidies also keep food prices down for the cities, where the largest agribusinesses are also located their major purchases, tractors, seed etc are from dealers located in cities. The fuel,fertilizers and pesticides are purchased from cities. The check may go to Bug Tussle, but the money ends up in the city. So don't give me any nonsense about federal expenditures in red states as being pure subsidy like you're doing us a favor either. The working and middle class in rural America see next to zip in federal money.
But let's be perfectly clear on some facts: that money comes from blue states, and it's the red states that complain most about welfare in the inner cities and such. I don't make it that way, republican politicians from those red states started the myth about the welfare moms and such.
Let's be perfectly clear the money comes from businesses in blue states not individual taxpayers in blue states. The federal money winds up in the hands of businesses in red states and not in the hands of any individual tax reciepient. Ronald Reagan was a blue state republican. I think you have your flags crossed up.
I'd say red politicians lying to their constituents to make them think they're getting bilked, and to try and split them away from blue people who had stood with them in solidarity and willingly subsidized rural folks, many of them family; red state politicians who launched that culture war to get red state voters to vote for Big Business Republicans who then helped the corporate takeover of rural areas, now THAT's HUBRIS!
So quit aiding them and distinquish between spending that aids one and all and subsidies that aid the wealthy more than those whom you
slander with your sweeping generalizations. The very people you think have left the Democratic party don't take hand outs from anyone. Most people I know would rather starve than ask the government for help, including the SBA. You may see the rocket of money leaving the blue states, but you apparently don't have a clue as to where it lands in the red. If you do, your presentation is counter productive to your stated political aims.
But the fact is that these red state republicans keep lying and that needs to be said.
Agreed, but you still need to distinquish between the politicians, and the voters. All your doing with your subsidy nonsense is alienating the people you wish to reach.
August 13, 2005 6:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
FOREIGNID: 33547
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AUTHOR: murph
DATE: 08/13/2005 06:54:09 AM
August 13, 2005 6:54 AM | Reply | Permalink