Ready, Set ...

AP says it's John G. Roberts. 

Bush swings for the fence. 


Comments (41)

John G. Roberts, that is.

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From Eunomia:
http://larison.org/archives/000224.php

Okay, obviously this is a serious issue. Nevertheless, all I can think of is "John G. Raped and Murdered My Wife." I didn't even really like that movie.

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This isn't good. He's written opinions in the past that Roe v. Wade should be overturned. I was hoping there wouldn't be a fight ...

Could be worse.  Jeffrey Rosen's one of better observers of the Court, and his write-up of Roberts suggests at least a judicious jurist who is not an ardent ideologue, and someone who won't necessarily adhere to Thomas' "Constitution in Exile" looney approach to Constiutional interpretation. 

I imagine some progressives will stake everything on whether he'd affirm Roe v. Wade, but I'd much rather view his record more broadly, with emphasis on matters related to the commerce clause and judicial deference.  My two criteria: the next Supreme Court justice is neither a nutty ideologue nor a right-wing, results-oriented hack.  A conservative with a sensible approach and a respect for the limitations of the Court, like O'Connor, would be more acceptable. 
   

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Democrats have long said this is where we make our stand. That leaves only one question: Are we willing to filibuster this nominee until Bush leaves office, if need be?

Bush won't back down -- it would end his Presidency. The only question is when -- or "if" -- we do.

Do we have the stomach for a fight?

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If I recall, he was Deputy Solicitor General at the time, so he's written briefs, not opinions.

Roberts is at least well-qualified for the task, though his political history may lead some to suspect he's more of a party man than someone like Clement. 

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This pick is, of course someone Bush will be happy with, but I think that the timing is everything here.  If he had chosen a non-controversial person, the press would be able to stay focused on Rove.  Now all we are going to hear about are the massive campaigns from both sides attacking or defending Roberts.

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I imagine some progressives will stake everything on whether he'd affirm Roe v. Wade, but I'd much rather view his record more broadly, with emphasis on matters related to the commerce clause and judicial deference.  My two criteria: the next Supreme Court justice is neither a nutty ideologue nor a right-wing, results-oriented hack.  A conservative with a sensible approach and a respect for the limitations of the Court, like O'Connor, would be more acceptable.  

Those of us who are still happy to known as liberals expect to see plenty more above from the Democrats Love Conservatives party.

Roe is so 70's.  Just a women's thing.  Who needs them. 

I don't know what to think.  One link camilow posted said Roberts potentially was a "Souter" in waiting.  The other painted him as a solid conservative who wants to overturn Roe, with an administration official predicting a huge fight would ensue.

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If it's true he's not totally wacko on non-abortion issues, it also appears he wants the fight to be entirely on abortion grounds, thus shoring up the base again.

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Writings are irrelevant. No nominee is ever rejected becaues of what he's written in the past, esp not when the President's party controls the Senate and the nom is credible. Nominees are rejected -- and more importantly, President's lose credibility -- when a confirmation debate shows the WH to be governing in other than the public interest.

What the Democrats need to do is show how once again Bush is using his position to help his friends in big business and to reward the agenda-driven hard-liners.

Or, to show how Roberts symbolizes a culture of corruption and personal hypocrisy.

If we don't the goods or the stomach to attack Roberts as some combination of a) corporate stooge b) arrogant right-wing ideologue c) personally corrupt or d) morally craven

then we should celebrate him as a moderate consensus choice, praise the President for consultation, and say this shows how the President doesn't listen to the right wing anymore.

One of those two should be our approach but I don't believe the Democratic Sen caucus has the message discipline to do either and I think we'll end waging an ineffectual opposition.

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 So Bush hit a homerun for his base. For me, the most important matter isn't Robert's, it is Rove. I would hope all of us will resist becoming sucked into the confirmation and stay focused upon what could be the collapse of the Bush administation.

Turn off your TV's after Bush's announcemant and write LTE about the era of irresponsibility and lack of credibility in the run up to the war in Iraq. Don't fall for this Rove play..to deflect and deceive the American people..yet again.......

Sidebar: The women of America will raise hell if they are unable to choose choice.

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Message discipline is fine when the Dems are fighting for something that doesn't really matter - like Bolton's appointment or Rove's White House tenure. This guy will be on the SC for 30 years.  The Dems ought to have more than message discipline motivating them.  Does the party stand for anything deeper than positioning Hillary, Biden or other self-important inside the beltway types for their next career move?  We shall see.  I fear.

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OK everyone, forget about Roe.  I know its hard, but far more is at stake.  Roberts is the best we're gonna get.  He does not have an activist temperment, he believes in stare decisis, he has a judicious outlook.  Yes he is against Roe, but that still leaves 5-4 FOR Roe.  (remember white was in the minority in Casey.  The most important issue is that he is not a constitution-in-exile type.  The FDA and EPA remain a little while longer.  Alos, if Roe is overturned, abortion does not become illegal, only left to state legislatures and public opinion (2:1 in favor of keepng abortion legal, though restricted).  If Roe is overturned, it would help the Dems and only a few states would be able to outlaw abortion.  On the other hand, overturning 60 years of post-New Deal Commerce Clause jurisprudence, ie Garza, Alito, Jones, Owen, Rogers Brown, etc, would be devastating (no EPA, FDA, Social Security, SEC...once again...no SEC). 

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Rove is going to skate away from these charges. Whoever is picked for the Supreme Court is going to be there for decades. No comparison.

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over at the carpetbagger report, it's noted that, "When the first President Bush nominated him to the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals, his nomination didn't get past the Senate Judiciary Committee — he was considered too conservative."

 
Does anyone know any more about this? How does that play into his nomination?

 

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If the TNR link is anything to go by, sounds like he isn't as bad (assuming no "nannies" in the closet) as we could have expected. Let's confirm this guy, show that consultation pays and show that the President doesn't listen to Dobson et al (and thereby further marginalizing them as ineffectual in producing real change).




Instead let's move BACK to Rove. Americans are with Dems on that subject and it truly hurts the President.

Ultimately we need to win elections and the Rove story helps us and Roberts doesn't.

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Could've been worse....he's no Bork. 

Without "the goods" and clear and convincing evidence that he'd seek to overturn Roe, I say give him a pass, praise the President for "consulting" with the Senate, and then quickly get back on topic:

Bush lied and Rove covered up. 

What did the President know and when did he know it?

We take treason seriously - don't you?

avatar If Roe is overturned, it would help the Dems and only a few states would be able to outlaw abortion. 

Absolutely.  The repeal of Roe v. Wade would be the best thing that ever happened to the Democratic Party.  It would in an instant crystallize a thought that's on the mind of many people who are moderates - namely that the Republican Party is the party of intrusive, nanny-state government. 

It's also the case that few women would actually be directly affected as only a handful of states would actually go so far as to completely outlaw abortions, and once people saw the human consequence of that, many would join the Democrats again.

In another thread someone noted that a judges position on Roe is really an important judiciary test because it betrays their potential thoughts on other issues. If, in this case he's Roe red meat for the wingnuts but tolerable in other respects we ought to voice our concerns, make sure to have thorough confirmation hearings and if Roberts looks reasonable hope our congressmen vote acording to the decision they make in the hearings.

If on the other hand Roberts turns out to be radical on a wide variety of issues we must stand hard and fight this nomination to the last. We must filibuster and if minority rights are trampled refuse unanimous consent and act as a shadow government offering progressive solutions.

If Roberts looks like a nut on Roe and reasonable elsewhere we may have to say this is as good as we could expect and it just isn't worth the political tole when we could step back and let this be a flash in the pan story turning the public's attention back to Rove and the lies that led us to war and eventually to Bush. We could weaken him to the point where we could push the Senate left in the midterms and deny him a future SCOTUS nominee who probably will be worse. 

First and foremost we must look to our progressive values for guidance. If this guy turns out to be an uber-wingnut we must fight this one to the last.

<p><em>Those of us who are still happy to known as liberals expect to see plenty more above from the Democrats Love Conservatives party.</em></p><p>There are plenty of liberal judicial scholars who don't think <u>Roe v. Wade</u> was correctly decided.&nbsp; Even Ruth Bader Ginsburg thought abortion should've been an equal protection issue rather than a &quot;right to privacy&quot; theory that hangs on a very tenuous reading of the due process clause.&nbsp; I feel very strongly that the &quot;reproductive freedom&quot; is good policy.&nbsp; But that doesn't necessarily make it a constitutional right. <br /> </p><p>There's a widespread misunderstanding that supporting a right to abort means supporting <u>Roe.</u>&nbsp; Overtuning <u>Roe</u>&nbsp; will not automatically make abortion illegal; it will simply make it an issue for legislatures to deal with.&nbsp; <br />  </p><p>And it might end up better in the long run.&nbsp; Right now, the reproductive rights crowd focus all their energy on the courts, where it's hard to block nominees, as the recent fillibuster fight demonstrates.&nbsp; NARAL, NOW, etc. haven't bother to make it a political issue for some time, which has forfeited the political ground to the pro-lifers.&nbsp; Why is the debate on abortion so often centered on partial-birth and other politically damaging issues rather than back alley doctors and coat hangers nowadays?&nbsp; Reproductive rights have majority support in the United States, and if it becomes a legislative issue, where the left can be energize and <a href="http://pigsandbattleships.blogspot.com/2005/07/politics-of-abortion.html" target="_blank">make a strong political case</a>, those rights may end up being more secure than hanging all your hopes on the whims of one old person in a robe.<br />  </p><p>&nbsp;</p><em />

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I think everyone should read Rosen's "How to Judge" article and the Slate article about the Judges.  Compare the right-ups in both places to the write-ups of, say, Garza, Alito, or Edith Jones and Janice Rogers Brown in other places.

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See, this is what annoys me with a lot of my fellows.  How about for once, just for once, we stop relying on the court to solve all of our problems and actually force ourselves to make the case to the citizenry.  We sort of need them if any rights determination is ultimately be considered legitimate anyway, and it would do our withered political apparatus good to fight somewhere other than in the bright hallways of the justice system for a change.  The short term effects of Roe going down would be bad, agreed, but if we can actually make the public get involved in defending rights, I think ultimately it would be all to the better. 

Besides, have you ever watched a person attempt to get an abortion at the sole clinic in the state of Mississippi, in Jackson?  It's upsetting, to say the least.  There's not really a right in the state, despite constitutional rulings.  Maybe, if people there who believed in the right to choose had to fight for it, they'd actually show up at the polls and make certain the right was in actually accessible.

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I'm betting it is Roberts, and the reason why he was chosen is simple.  Roberts' "judicial view" is the same as his political view.  He's a Republican judge, and he will rule in whatever way it most benefits the Republican Party.  In that sense, he's unlike Thomas because Thomas belong to the theocrat wing of the Republican party and Thomas actually has a real judicial philosophy (albeit a wacko one).

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Can anyone seriously think that the Supreme Court could or would declare Social Security and similar progarms unconstitutional? The results would nothing less than the collapse of the economy followed by a revolution so violent it would make the Civil War look like a playground tussle. Even wingnuts have better sense than to court calamity on that scale. Not to mention I doubt there's a single vote on the Court right now (with the possible exception of Thomas, and even he usually believes in deferring to legislatures) for such a move so Bush would have to appoint an number of such fanatics for such a thing to even approach the realm of the possible.

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You clearly have not read any opinions or outside writings of Clarence Thomas or the academics who accept this.  What is really scary is that they have a decent legal argument.  Thomas, Scalia, Garza, Rogers Brown, Owen, Jones, and Alito all would read the Commerce Clause this way.

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Ummm...a vote to uphold Roe nominated by Bush would cause not just a fight, but an absolute mutiny on the right.

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Its not about stomach to fight, its about the fact that Bush actually (surprisingly) picked a legitimate mainstream conservative.  Conservative, of course, did anyone think Bush would nominate the next Brennan?  But mainstream nonetheless

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Confused here.  You indicate that its still 5-4 on Roe, but then turn around and say the other nominees would result in the Constitution in Exile being in charge of the Supreme Court.  These are mutually inconsistent positions.

avatar There is no practical right to an abortion in Mississippi and there are no national Democrats fighting for the women of Mississippi.  Anybody seen Hillary down there?   You think that will change if Roe is reversed?  The Democrats have long since given up the tough fights. 

Now back to Misssissippi -- when do we sign on to the reversal of Brown v Board?  After all, we stand for nothing...
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Incorrect, the constitution-in-exile specifically applies to a reinterpretation of the Commerce Clause, Roe was premised on the Penumbra argument in Griswold.

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I wish I believed that. Yes indeed, the NARAL and NOW folks are unattractive but they are out there fighting for reproductive rights because Democratic candidates don't have the guts.  They've been intimidated into little bromides like "safe, legal and rare".  Rare all right.  It's plenty rare if you can't find an abortion clinic in your state. 

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That is what is so amazing about this appointment. Much will be made of his comment that Roe v. Wade should be outlawed, but like we've seen here on this board tonight, the Right will see through that one footnote.




With this nomination, Bush has just stuck up his middle finger at Dobson et al. Now let's watch the fallout from the Right.

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Was it just me or did Bush look like he was about to crack a big smile during his comments about bi-partisanship. It's a true sign of a liar.

<p>There are plenty of liberal judicial scholars who don't think <u>Roe v. Wade</u> was correctly decided.&nbsp; Even Ruth Bader Ginsburg thought abortion should've been an equal protection issue rather than a &quot;right to privacy&quot; theory that hangs on a very tenuous reading of the due process clause.&nbsp; I feel very strongly that the &quot;reproductive freedom&quot; is good policy.&nbsp; But that doesn't necessarily make it a constitutional right. <br /> </p> <p>There's a widespread misunderstanding that supporting a right to abort means supporting <u>Roe.</u>&nbsp; Overtuning <u>Roe</u>&nbsp; will not automatically make abortion illegal; it will simply make it an issue for legislatures to deal with.&nbsp; <br />  </p> And it might end up better in the long run.&nbsp; Right now, the reproductive rights crowd focus all their energy on the courts, where it's hard to block nominees, as the recent fillibuster fight demonstrates.&nbsp; NARAL, NOW, etc. haven't bother to make it a political issue for some time, which has forfeited the political ground to the pro-lifers.&nbsp; Why is the debate on abortion so often centered on partial-birth and other politically damaging issues rather than back alley doctors and coat hangers nowadays?&nbsp; Reproductive rights have majority support in the United States, and if it becomes a legislative issue, where the left can be energize and <a target="_blank" href="http://pigsandbattleships.blogspot.com/2005/07/politics-of-abortion.html">make a strong political case</a>, those rights may end up being more secure than hanging all your hopes on the whims of one old person in a robe.

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Say hello to the next Justice Scalia. Smart, very capable, and, very likely just as loony as Scalia. Why should anyone think Bush would appoint any other type of Justice?

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"Jeffrey Rosen's one of better observers of the Court"


Jeffrey Rosen's one of worst observers of the Court.  He once wrote a rather absurd piece in which he claimed O'Connor is a moderate because she struck down a federal law which banned guns around schools (based on the tenth amendment) while she struck down also a law which banned local anti-gay-discrimination laws.  

His view of "moderate" is utterly absurd.  This is the kind of moderation which fits well in law school but not in real life.  If anything, much more people who live outside the beltway would judge the exact opposite rulings would be correct.  In general, Rosen's view of "moderate" simply flies in the face of what ordinary moderate people actually believe but fits in well with what the upper class white elite considers to be moderate.

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Please never say that overturning Roe will simply allow the states to establish their own individual laws regarding abortion unless you understand the doctrine of preemption.  The court that overturns Roe would no doubt also uphold Congress's right to pass a law regulating abortion nationally.  (Perhaps, ironically, under the Commerce Clause.  Conservatives disdain it right up until they don't.)  Under the Supremacy Clause, that would wipe out any contrary state regulations.  I'm not convinced that the GOP would pay a price:  they'd either distract people before the next election with some new war or other shiny penny, or they'd just kiss off the angry women in the blue states and put their money into the rest.  (Besides which, so many people will have left for Canada by then that the Democrats may never win another election.)

I accept that The Dread Justice Roberts will probably turn out to be a younger Rehnquist (or a Kennedy at best) rather than a Souter or a Scalia.  That difference may be enough to lead me to want us to hold our fire, once we've made our case, and as the hearings develop.  (We do have to prepare to filibuster, but we really don't have to prejudge him.  There will be time to decide.)  But we should never think that Roberts and whoever replaces Rehnquist won't overturn Roe -- that's just whistling past the graveyard.

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"You indicate that its still 5-4 on Roe"

It's currently 6-3 on Roe.

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