Bolton
The president's speech tonight seems a good occasion to ask a basic question. By the president's own tacit admission the country faces daunting foreign policy challenges right now -- in Iraq in particular, but on other fronts as well. And yet indications are that he is now actively considering giving John Bolton a recess appointment as Ambassador to the UN.
With all that has come out about Bolton at this point, I think even few Republican senators believe he is suited to the job. And I don't think anyone can argue that it is a good thing for the country right now to have our seat at the UN held by someone who cannot command the support of the United States senate.
Republican partisans may want to claim that Bolton just can't get a vote, that it's the Democrats who are obstructing. But I think the White House is actually uncertain whether Bolton can even muster a clear majority vote. If they were so sure of their own senators I think they'd try to press the point of a filibuster simply to score points with it politically.
That leaves the obvious agenda behind this nomination at this late stage. Namely, the only reason to make John Bolton UN Ambassador at this point is to prove the White House's power over the senate.
With all the foreign policy challenges facing the country today, that seems to be the president's top agenda.












Can the motion for the Senate to adjourn be filibustered?
If the Senate doesn't recess, Bush is not allowed the opportunity to make a recess appointment
June 28, 2005 10:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
That leaves the obvious agenda behind this nomination at this late stage. Namely, the only reason to make John Bolton UN Ambassador at this point is to prove the White House's power over the senate.
I disagree. I think it is more indicative of a White House that is completely inflexible and incapable of admitting they make a mistake, ever. Even when his own party cannot support him, Bush cannot do anything that would hint that he made a mistake. I really believe that is why after all this time in Iraq, our strategy (whatever it may be) has not changed. It is why there have been no increase in the size of the force in Iraq, even as "allies" pull out.
During the presidential debates, Bush showed he was incapable of admitting a mistake, ever about anything. If Bolton can't be confirmed by the Senate, it will be the Democrats fault. If Bolton is given a recess appointment and proves to be a miserable failure at the U.N. it will be the U.N.'s fault.
I don't know where the buck stops in this administration, but it sure ain't the Oval Office.
June 28, 2005 10:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think you're right, Josh. It's unfortunate, but basically the White House is being petulant and (typically) wanting 100% of its demands without giving an inch. I think what Bolton opponents really need to hammer home is just how little the requests from Biden and Dodd have changed since April when first posed. They're still asking for the exact same information, not moving the goalposts. The Administration can say that as many times as they'd like, but it doesn't make it so.
I also think you're right on the Republican angle. Senators have been uneasy about this from the start, but but were willing to give Bush the benefit of the doubt and support "his guy." Finally, I think some of the criticisms have begun to be effective. With Voinovich and Thune having already jumped ship (and a good number of others supporting the release of the documents), there is some question of whether another cloture vote would result in even less votes for Bolton than last time.
Wouldn't that be unfortunate.
The President is right: we need a strong reformer at the UN. John Bolton is neither of those things, and would be even less effective if placed through a recess appointment. It's time to withdraw his name and find a new nominee.
June 28, 2005 10:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
If Bolton gets sent to the UN on a "recess appointment" our daunting foreign policy challenges become even more daunting. A UN ambassador without approval of the Senate who has no institutional respect for the UN isn't going to make our diplomacy efforts any easier.
June 28, 2005 10:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's current practice that the motion to recess is by 'unanimous consent' which means there's no real vote unless the unanimous consent fails, at which time, a vote would be required in order to make the motion. The vote would pass or fail by simple majority (51 votes)...If the vote to recess for the week failed, another motion would have to be made (presumably by a different Senator) ... That process would repeat itself until a motion to recess is passed.
It's possible for the motion to recess to fail. Is it likely or probable? I don't know.
Anyone else have any information?
June 28, 2005 11:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
But what happens if Bolten doesn't get the job?
Does he get to go back to his old one?
I hope not, since it seems as though (in his absence) the State Department has actually made some headway on nuclear arms issues over the past few months.
But I suppose, as a civil servant, he has to be given something to do that sounds impressive. Impotent, but impressive.
Any ideas?
June 28, 2005 11:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
'Does he get to go back to his old one?'
Nope. He's got to find a new job. Probably a lower key political flunky type position, safe within the White House...
'But I suppose, as a civil servant, he has to be given something to do that sounds impressive. Impotent, but impressive.'
As a Civil Servant, neither my job nor title is impressive!
June 28, 2005 11:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
This administration believes only in creating problems for others, not in solving problems. They fight fire with fire and fear with fear, and if there isn't any fire, they'll start one.
Are they mad? Well, aren't we all? But theirs is a convenient obsession, as it fuels a state of emergency and postpones accountability into the afterlife.
What shock might be in store for this evening? Draft? A new emergency brought to our attention by the new intelligence czar? Remember, Iraq is connected to any evil this administration decides to connect it to.
Don't overlook the possibility of some domestic pretext to tighten the screws on us. Foreign and domestic resistance is now serviced by the same permanent department.
But don't look for accountability or circumspection. Those are liberal transgressions.
June 28, 2005 11:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Namely, the only reason to make John Bolton UN Ambassador at this point is to prove the White House's power over the senate.
Giving Bolton a recess appointment does not seem like a victory to me. Bush is thumbing his nose not only at Senate Democrats but at the Senate Republicans who have misgivings about Bolton.
To me, the recess appointment appears to be a sign of weakness rather than strength. He couldn't get it done the proper way, even with Republicans controlling both houses of Congress.
June 28, 2005 11:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
We are running short on oil, and 2/3 of the world's remaining supply is in the Middle East. Given that sobering reality, do we really want an abrasive, un-cooperative, offensive, and arrogant person like John Bolton in the position of American ambassador to the world?
Setting aside the political and ideological aspects of the Bolton nomination and taking the most selfish, nationalistic view, it isn't even in America's best interest to have Bolton at the UN.
June 28, 2005 11:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Two comments:
1) I've read in a lot of places that Bush is simply incapable of admitting a mistake. The point of all of these pieces is that Bush needs to admit to his mistakes. Doesn't that set the bar kinda low? What we want isn't for Bush to simply admit to mistakes. Does Bush simply need to start admitting to a few minor mistakes, and then everything will be okay?
What we should expect of all our leaders is to accept accountability for their actions. But I suspect that Rove understands that the price of accountability for Bush's Folly in Iraq will be rather high. After all, what price should Bush pay for committing the United States to a war that was not designed to increase our security, but to further the political goals of the President.
2) I saw a poll in The Economist that showed which countries hate us the most. Turns out that the Poles hate us more than the people in Pakistan. I know that having Polish troops in Iraq wasn't real popular. Still, they hate us more than the people in Pakistan!? Anyone have any idea what we did to Poland?
June 28, 2005 11:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Can't the Democrats filibuster a recess?
They'd only lose 4 days of vacation.
They could spin it by saying America has too many problems for congress to take a vacation.
June 28, 2005 11:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
One would have to agree, Bush has never compromised on any domestic or international program that I can think of. He and his administration follow very "Fundamentalist" thinking in more than religion. They arrogantly assume that their way is the only solution or interpretation worth considering. They are unwilling to accept defeat and seem to view all opposition as Satanic.
June 28, 2005 11:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
One has to wonder if Bolton knows where too many bodies are buried; otherwise, it seems like they would have found a smoking nanny by now.
But I think it's more than proving White House power over the Senate, which is temporal; I think it's proving the Bush/Rove/DeLay cabal's power over the Republican party, which, they hope, is forever.
They build power by using power, and they use it disproportionately on everything they do. Their ham-fisted misuse of power has turned this era's politics into a real high-stakes game. They've denied themselves the ability to compromise (or stealthily back down) that conventional (and successful) politicians (and their good-faith opponents) rely upon. It used to be that questioning your opponents' patriotism--their desire to see America succeed, however different the means--was something one did not do. Last week the White House did it without batting an eye.
BushCo can't lose--not on Bolton, not on SocSec. If they lose an issue, they lose much, much more: They lose the whole myth of their power. The emperor stands naked, and the children point and laugh.
Of course, they ARE losing, so they keep raising the stakes. They're making themselves, and by extension every issue, like Chrysler--too big to let fail. They'll go down, but they'll take vital organs of our body politik with them.
June 28, 2005 11:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
June 28, 2005 11:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
But that's the truth of the White House these days, isn't it. They're a bunch of Triumph Of The Will occultists. That's the bottom line on all their policies.
Social Security: triumph of the will, eventually
Iraq: triumph of the will, eventually
Bolton: triumph of the will, eventually
And that's what all the Beltway chattering nabobs don't get, never acknowledge, and fetishize. That "Faith-based" meant Occultists. They never admit they aided and abetted this game. How they fell for the Astral Plane visions- Christian Whitebread America Triumphant. How they fell for the Analogies of Above and Below- George W. Christ and Saddam H. Satan. How the Supreme Mage Dubya cast his banal spells upon the mediocre- reevangelized them to Believe, told them the world was Manichaean and the likes of them were the front line soldiers of the Light Side. And now it's down the Omnipotence Of The Will tenet.
That's why there are no policies, only Belief. No right, only Might.
But occultisms are reactionary belief systems, those of groups that are dying dreaming of recovering power, the beliefs arising out of ancestor worship. They're inviable in the world, evasions as they are of Reality. And this particular variety is in spasms and convulsions as it has all the levers of power and yet cannot deliver Life to the slowly dying parts of colonialist American society.
June 28, 2005 12:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am not so sure Bush is playing just to power. He is now couching EVERYTHING in legacy. And even if he loses on Bolton, he can claim a 'true conservative' legacy (kind of like martyrs do) in attempting to get the best person possible to 'whip the UN into line with the UN-haters agenda. This is simply one of the many 'bases' he will be trying to play to to assure himself the title of 'son of Reagan'.
June 28, 2005 12:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
'Son of Reagan'? Bryan, is that along the same lines as the "Bride of Frankenstein"?
June 28, 2005 12:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
The pushing of Bolton seems to be with a cause...the oft stated cause is to reform the UN....this could be the truth...reform the UN for big oil's/Bush's benefit?
Any chance a Bolton appointment is an attempt to make a grab for the Iraqi oil for the benefit of Bush's big oil backers? Any thoughts
June 28, 2005 12:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Libertine:
I was actually thinking in more 'religous' terms.
June 28, 2005 12:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Even when his own party cannot support him, Bush cannot do anything that would hint that he made a mistake.
It is time for us to stop being startled, alarmed, amazed, confused and bewildered by this. It is also time for us to stop being angered, appalled and disgusted.
This is not a character defect. This is an advantageous and calculated political trait and tactic. Even if Bush can't help it, he's POTUS right now because Karl Rove saw this talent in him and knew he could exploit it.
Bush's strength is in his strength. In a world of prevaricators, the man of firm convictions and unwavering resolution stands out like a healthy thumb amidst a sea of band-aids. He gains the ready admiration of those inclined to like him, the admiration and respect of those not inclined to dislike him, and the grudging admiration of those only slightly inclined to dislike him. Ergo, a majority.
His actual positions are fairly unpopular, the people whose interests he serves are fairly widely disliked, his grasp of policy is flimsy at best, and his achievements are minimal. He was reelected under these circumstances.
Why? Because his strength and certainty drew people to him, especially people who did not feel that certainty within themselves and felt comforted by its presence in him. He was a rock to cling to in the midst of the storm that he worked so hard to create.
He cannot give up his strength. Without it he's nothing. That's why he's in so much danger now: the things he has staked his reputation on are in danger of crumbling beyond denial, maybe even beyond the possibility of blaming others, and his admirers are noticing.
The prophet is only respected as long as his tenets are not proved false. Then he gets stoned, tarred and feathered, and ridden out of town on a rail.
June 28, 2005 1:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
John Bolton has proven himself to be tough and loyal, and he is a long time, solid conservative. He is also a Yale grad. All of these attributes are no doubt important to Mr. Bush. The fact that Mr. Bolton also has been so forcefully critical of the UN probably appeals to the president as well, for it is not hate which is the enemy of love and affection, but indifference.
Given Mr. Bush's experience of failing to win support at the UN for his invasion of Iraq, and given Mr. Bolton's experience with the subject of WMDs, I have to think Mr. Bolton's appointment might have something to do with administration plans or concerns with respect to Iran. And, who knows, oil may very well be a part of that concern.
June 28, 2005 2:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Of course, once again the President has changed his tune and, more seriously, the military rules for troop deployment, as he used to demand such benchmarks:
“At first, Mr. Bush preferred not to wade into the most nettlesome issue of the day, the crisis in Yugoslavia. He refused to say whether President Clinton's policies had been sound. Again and again, he stuck to the same line, "He'd better have a clear exit strategy." (New York Times, April 9, 1999, at p. A14)
Bush stated: "I think it's also important for the president to lay out a timetable as to how long they will be involved and when they will be withdrawn.” (New York Times, June 6, 1999, at p.A14)
And my personal favorite flip-flop from the Administration:
"People in my district want to know the exit strategy," said Rep. Porter Goss, R-Fla., "Getting answers from the administration is part of our job." (New Orleans Times Picayune, March 12, 1999, p. A12 (referring to President’s request for troop deployment in Kosovo)).
I bet the CIA Director’s former constituents still want answers and the exit strategy …
June 28, 2005 2:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
"What we should expect of all our leaders is to accept accountability for their actions."
To be fair, that's what we tried to do last November. A reelection campaign should be the ultimate in accountability. And in his tiny little mind, GWB passed with flying colors, with the approval (nay, mandate!) of 52% of the Americans who got off their butts and voted. Of course, that's a gross oversimplification. The accountability only goes as far as the availability of reasonable choices to take GWB's place. Kerry was an average nominee at best, and could never weather the slings and arrows of outrageous Rovescum. He was smarter, and a far better debater, but that's about it. The kids on the debate team don't win Class President. In my case, it was always the football QB or cheerleader that won the race, though in some cases of a desire to thumb noses at the office itself, the class stoner got the nod. I'm not sure which of those best describes GWB, but none of them could describe John Kerry.
June 28, 2005 3:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, I think you're basically right; but this is so utterly pathetic. Let's face it, you're basically saying that the American people, in the circumstances in which we find ourselves, are incapable of even minimally competent self-government.
June 28, 2005 5:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
A few thoughts I had posted earlier in the day:
Is this another example of Dick Cheney unable to accept defeat? Certainly.
Is this another example of this administration's callous disregard for providing leadership, tackling issues and their addiction to their own spin? Yes.
But the Bolton nomination is also quite exceptional -- it was highly controversial from the get-go -- even in a political environment as coarse and corrupt as Washington, few nominees come with videos attached to them showing them hurling obscenities and abuse at slack-jawed conference participants and furiously denying any legitimacy to the very institution they are supposed to join.
The White House now seems poised to accept lame duck status at home and humiliation and the very real risk of being sidelined at the UN -- just so that Dick Cheney is going to have it his way?
What else can this administration possibly do to increase the overt hostility and the contemptuous rhetoric with which America is being greeted on the international stage?
June 28, 2005 6:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
June 28, 2005 6:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is brilliant. Is GWB the QB, the cheerleader, or the class stoner? Or all three wrapped up into one?
Somebody oughta make a T-shirt.
June 28, 2005 10:00 PM | Reply | Permalink