Sui Generis or Same Old Song and Dance?
Rep. Sanders' first post today raises a question that I'd like to see discussed by the other regulars on the site. (Let's get the discussion started to at our Misc. Politics Table.)
The question is this: Is this political moment in the United States sui generis? Is it qualitatively different from other great moments of political stress and strain which crop up decade after decade?
I think many of us on the center-left believe that the Bush administration is trying to do things that go beyond the mere political and policy disagreements, which are the normal combustible material of politics. It's a much more deep-rooted effort to reshape the state and society itself and transgress accepted political limits in the process.
But is it true?
Every four years we grant presidential candidates the benign deceit that 'this election' is the most important of our lifetimes. And since we are living now and not twenty or a hundred years ago, the events of day take on an outsized importance.
But all that aside, I think we are in a unique moment. Perhaps a crisis of democracy is too strong a word for it, I don't know. But something like that.
I would put the main points under these headings.
1. Pervasive use of public deception to advance policy. Again, all politicians fib and spin. But from their disrespect for science to their effort to politicize the government civil service to their efforts to undermine the freedom and independence of the press, I think this administration is qualitatively different certainly from any in my lifetime. And I think going far further back.
2. The point Rep. Sanders' raises, the effort to undermine democratic institutions in the country. The imperial presidency is not new -- it was a product of the Cold War state. But here too I think the effort is concerted and has been more successful than some of us are willing to concede. Related to this -- but certainly distinct -- has been the administration's success at undermining the independence of Congress. This is a different question. Many on the left and right have long argued for a political system with more accountability and unity of action between the branches -- a government more like a parliamentary system, in which party discipline gives the president a clearer shot at enacting his agenda and then has him or her face the voters on that basis. This isn't the same as de-democratization. But it does flow from an attitude of indifference toward political precedent, which to some degree represents the soft tissue which makes stable government in this country function.
3. Overthrowing the New Deal state. This is probably the most obvious -- from trying to dismantle Social Security to trying, intentionally, to bankrupt the federal government.
So there's the thesis. Is the Bush administration meaningfully different in these ways from past administrations of either party? Are the stakes on both sides right now uniquely great? Or is this all just the narcissism of the present?















The opening paragraph of The Republican Nemesis:
"When historians look back on the current era in American politics it will likely stand out as the period when Republican cunning & marketing savvy completely dominated the political landscape. Obliging Democrats have thrown themselves into the fray with enthusiasm, armed with idealistic visions of civil “discourse”, only to be humbled repeatedly by their political masters. Republican strategists have been able to blend their astute grasp of marketing principles, human nature, & social psychology into a formula that delivers almost guaranteed success at the polls. While Democrats knock themselves out every election cycle trying to talk to Swing Voters about The Issues, Republicans have calmly focused their attention on winning The Image Campaign. Quite simply: Democrats lose because they don’t understand what moves their target audience."
More at: www.taxwisdom.org/republican_nemesis.htm
June 20, 2005 10:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
People have been talking since the 1950s (or perhaps even the 1920s) about how the use of modern marketing techniques would change politics. But marketing techniques are in fact far more effective than today than they were in the 1950s (era of the "hidden persuaders"). The Bush Administration and the people behind it (Norquist, Rove) are I think the first to really use such techniques to influence and control the electorate.
"Hidden Persuaders" turned out to be baloney, but voters today really are responding to carefully planted and nurtured memes such as "better to fight them over there than over here" and "we have to torture because 3000 died on 9/11". This I think is new, and what makes Norquist et. al. so threatening.
The whole "K Street Project" also deserves deeper examining.
sPh
June 20, 2005 10:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Patriot Act. K Street Project. Placing radically conservative judges on federal benches with lifetime tenure. Rolling back enviromental laws with the resulting permanent destruction of ecosystems. Possibly 2-3 Supreme Court appointments. "Fox in the henhouse" oversight of EVERYTHING, including the very ballot casting & counting systems needed to stop the madness. Are Bush and his brethren intent on permanent recasting and control of the U.S.? Hmmmm, Google "bear, shit and woods" for the answer.
June 20, 2005 10:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, certainly the New Deal itself was at least close to being as disruptive of the existing political order as what Bush is attempting; it was certainly more disruptive than what Bush has yet accomplished. Two main differences come to mind:
Roosevelt was changing things, while Bush is trying to change them back; and Roosevelt had the--I think legitimate--justification that he had to save America from the Depression, whereas Bush is trying to save us from the unprecedented prosperity that befell the nation over the course of the post-New Deal policies of the mid- to late-20th Century.
June 20, 2005 10:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
You left out foreign policy. Bush's actions look to define American foreign policy for the next few decades in much the same that Truman's containment strategy for the Soviet Union shaped the Cold War.
June 20, 2005 10:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
Related to this -- but certainly distinct -- has been the administration's success at undermining the independence of Congress. This is a different question. Many on the left and right have long argued for a political system with more accountability and unity of action between the branches -- a government more like a parliamentary system, in which party discipline gives the president a clearer shot at enacting his agenda and then has him or her face the voters on that basis. This isn't the same as de-democratization. But it does flow from an attitude of indifference toward political precedent, which to some degree represents the soft tissue which makes stable government in this country function.
I'd be interested on hearing some discussion on this point - do you think this trend will reverse itself once the same party no longer controls both brances at once?
June 20, 2005 10:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's bigger than even the Bush administration, imo.
Never in American history have we had the confluence of power centers we have today working together to marginalize "We the people" as the main political idea of America.
Now we have big government, big business, big media, and big religion all dancing to the same regressive tune. I think it safe to say that the ideals of liberty and justice for all are under assault.
So, yes, the period we have entered is fundamentally different from any we have experienced as a nation.
June 20, 2005 10:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
I had always seen this administration as a defining moment for America - either where conservatism is cemented as FDR's New Deal was, or as the point where the pendulum starts swinging back.
But it's more than that. Having done some amount of foreign travel, I can tell you, it's astounding how much the world has changed since George Bush took office. Sure, the French liked to take pot-shots at us every now and then, and there was always some resentment of our power, but our image is changed forever.
America stood for something in the world, something people in totalitarian governments everywhere believe in: the American ideals of civil liberties, due process, that we were reluctant warriors more intent on doing business than global domination. People believed we were a different kind of Empire, and I did, too.
Literally everything about America I was brought up to take pride in is now reviled. Things I thought could be taken for granted: that WE didn't torture people, not because it didn't work but because it was simply something we didn't do. That we would rather ten guilty people go free than hang an innocent man. We have literally become then enemy of everything America used to stand for.
When I think of America, I do not think of a piece of land. I think of an idea. Freedom. Democracy. Equality. Once these ideals are gone, America ceases to exist. It's just dirt under our feet, no better than any other.
June 20, 2005 10:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think you might have to go as far back as the late 1790s to find a parallel. A party that was unpopular with large parts of the public nevertheless had control over all three branches of government, and there were serious dangers threatening from abroad. The party in power proceeded to demonize the opposition, and to pass repressive and abusive measures. And the foreign power they demonized was, then as now, France.
Now, the Alien and Sedition Acts were worse than what we face today, and at least so far, editors of opposition newspapers have not been beaten by thugs sent by the government. On the other hand, the government then was far weaker than it is today by most measures.
June 20, 2005 11:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
There are some parallels between this time and the 1850s -- the violent rhetoric and occasional action from the Southern party, and the insistence that only they are True Americans come to mind easily. The deliberate and sucessful attempt to increase polarization as a way of maintaining power. The somewhat confused response of those opposing the extension of the Southern political hegemony.
One difference is that now the US is the global uber-power, so that our politics now reflects itself around the world, not just intramurally. Another difference is the lack of a single large clear distinctive rallying point (anti-slavery-extension) around which the opposition can stand.
Nevertheless, the parallels with the pre-Civil War era strike me as strong. I fear that the nation is falling towards a catastrophe again -- not a second Civil War, but something bad is coming.
If this were science fiction, I'd say we were in a Seldon crisis. But alas, there is no Hari Seldon to plot our way out of this one.
June 20, 2005 11:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
In short, yes. This political moment will stand on its own fairly well. However, the "why" of it all can be traced back to the late 90's.
The 2000 election was the exception to the notion of the benign deceit. I remember it as a time where politically engaged people on all sides had bought into the notion that the government and the economy would continue to run themselves (as if they ever really had). "It doesn't really matter who the president is," seemed to be the general theme of the election. We had reached the End of History after all.
June 20, 2005 11:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
The neo-conservative movement has made the it possible for truth and factual evidence to become marginalized. Truth has been allowed to be removed from a place of primary importance in discussions our society makes among it's members to make decisions. Truth and factual evidence now have no more weight in making decisions than uninformed opinion statements. Those with the power and wealth to dominate the channels of mass communications in our society use this marginalization of truth as a value of social importance to dominate this society's decision making process. As truth no longer holds weight in these discussions, almost any random statement can be used a reasoning and justification for actions taken.
June 20, 2005 11:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think there are at least three trends which have all come to a head at the same time:
(1) The complete conversion of the South from a one-party Democratic state to a one-party Republican state. Even during the eighties and early nineties, while the South was primarily dominate by Republican voting at the Presidential, there were still several Southern Democratic Senators and a few congressmen. This has sped the process of polarization. After the 2004 election, only four Senators from the extended South (The Old Confederacy plus KY, OK, and MO) are Democrats. The are only three Southern Democratic governors, two of whom spent huge chunks of their personal wealth to win elections. The Conservative Democratic Congressman is almost an extinct species (Bud Cramer is probably the last one). Combined with the demise of northeastern Republicans (except for the holdouts like Olymbia Snowe and Chris Shays), the organizational lines of Congress now match up with the ideological lines more than ever before.
(2) The rise in inequality of wealth. Poli Sci professor Keith Poole at the University of Houston persuasively arguesthat the driving factor in party alignment is not race, regionalism, or ideology, but wealth inequality in this talk. Income inequality has been on the rise steadily and is now approaching levels note seens since WWII.
(3) The return to partisan news outlets. For those like me who are too young to remember much about the history of media, it's easy to think that journalists always triumphed objectivity over all else and were better off at doing their jobs. But this is rather shortsighted. After all, in 1860, there were Lincoln Papers and there were Douglas Papers, and each said totally vitriolic things about the other. Likewise in the Progressive era I think there were papers that were into the Progressive movement and papers that ... weren't. Spinsanity's book All the President's Spin touches on this issue briefly. There's nothing inherently wrong with partisan news outlets, but the change takes time to occur and the illusion of objectivity, both for journalists and readers, takes a while to go away.
I am not a historian, but I imagine that if you looked back at the founding of the US, which Clinton says was the only other time where there was as much change in the world as there was today and as much polarization, or you looked at the run-up to the Depression, or the Civil War, you will see similar polarization.
If I had to rank periods of intense polarization, I would probably rank them like this:
(1) The Civil War
(2) The post-revoutionary period
(3) The late '60s/early '70s
(4) Today
[a very big gap]
(5) The pre-Depression Era
(6) The Populist movement
So, the current moment is probably the most polarized the country has been without having the country literally be torn apart by either war or rioting. Four periods of intense polarization for a country that is 200 years old works out to one every fifty years, and for anyone under 30 there has never been a moment that is even close to this polarized.
June 20, 2005 11:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is the first time for a very long time that our country has not had an identifiable enemy, an "ism" that we all felt we needed to unite to defend ourselves from. We have no Red Menace, no Nazis, No Communists (late 20's-early 30's), no Union threat, no Recession, no real threat at all. We also have almost instantaneous communications systems, from the internet to TV, and TV has served to homogenize our culture or cultures. These changes have made it much easier for a fascist leaning government to operate.
Back in FDR's days we also had the type of major upheavals, and the suspension of Constitutional rights that are characteristic today. Fortunately, FDR was not interested in being a Dictator, and the example of just how bad Fascism could be was in everyone's face.
So, yes, I would agree that this is an unusual time we are living though. I believe that our country faces a more serious threat today from the Bush administration than we ever faced from the Red Menace. And, while I never doubted that we would come out ahead in the contest with that Red Menace, I am not at all sure we will come out ahead in the contest with this administration.
June 20, 2005 12:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
One big reason to support the idea that this is a "quantitatively different" moment in (at least recent) history is the ascendancy of the religious right. No recent Republican government has been as beholden to them, nor has any had enough consolidated power to even contemplate realizing their agenda. The common belief that we are living in the End Times is the cause of a palpable distrust of science and history which informs their policy positions on everything from Israel, to global warming, to running up the deficit, to the teaching of evolution, to the "war on terror."
And these are exactly the policies that are being pursued and enacted.
And we have a President whose view on this is: "History, we don't know. We'll all be dead."
And we are likely living through an era of American imperial decline, where we will define our place in the world for decades to come.
So yes, I'd argue that this is a particularly dangerous and different kind of historical moment.
June 20, 2005 12:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
So I think the answer to the question is undeniably "yes,” the Bush administration is both markedly different and more dangerous from previous administrations from either party. And I agree that this extends far beyond just the Bush Administration, to the Republican Party as a whole.
That's not to say that there are no decent or good Republicans and that all are uniquely corrupt in ways never seen before, it's just to say that the party platform is promoting the assault on the New Deal and undermining democratic institutions-- it isn't just the Bush Administration, it's an organized attempt to reshape the country and it is being promoted within the party platform.
I was delighted to see the issue raised here at TPM café, and to see that thoughtful discussion on this subject is coming from outside the Democratic Party. I was especially pleased because I just came from a fundraising event with Senator Clinton where she expressed all of these same concerns. Say what you want about Senator Clinton’s political aspirations or supposed pandering, but when she described the dealings of the current administration as “an attempt to roll back the New Deal and an all out assault on the rule of law in this country” to a room full of powerful New York lawyers, I can tell you that it rang clear as a bell with the entire room. Senator Clinton didn’t spend the morning pandering or spinning, she gave concrete and clear examples of how this administration is a complete departure from what has ever existed previously, and how the attempt to reshape the country extends beyond just the Administration. As Senator Clinton put it this morning: “ anyone who stands on the floor of the Senate and listens to Senator Santorum say that the Constitution doesn’t guarantee the right to privacy understands full well what is going on.”
I agree that we have an inclination to want to believe that because we live in the here and now, that the here and now tends to take on larger importance or seem more urgent. But I really think if you look at the administrations (of either party) going back over the last 50 years (maybe longer) that this administration is engaging in behavior unique to the here and now. Even Nixon, Reagan and Bush Sr. managed to be somewhat progressive. Nixon signed both the Environmental Policy Act and the Agriculture and Consumer Protection Act. Reagan and Bush both raised taxes. Bush Sr., for what it’s worth, probably lost re-election in large part because he chose to do what was best for the country instead of what was in his best interest politically.
We are at a time in our political history that is distinct from anything we’ve seen in half a century or more. The Bush Administration, and the Republican Party, are pushing a policy agenda that is wedded to an ideology regardless of whether the policies or ideology has any merit or is even good for the country.
I don't think it an oversatement to make the claim that the Bush administration is meaningfully different from past administrations of either party or that the stakes on both sides right now are uniquely great.
June 20, 2005 12:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
First, a poem (drawn from Cornel West's highly recommended Democracy Matters -- much more interesting than the more famous Race Matters):
Power unanointed may come --
Dominion (unsought by the free)
 
; And the Iron Dome,
Stronger for stress and strain,
Fling her huge shadow athwart the main;
But the founders' dream shall flee.
--HERMAN MELVILLE, "The Conflict of Convictions" (1860-61)
I have my disagreements with Melville (pay close attention to the 'stronger for stress and strain' line), and the emphasis on power unanointed, nb) but this poem is extremely topical. &nb
sp;
 
; ______
______
Now, as for sui generis. Every era is to some extent both. In W Bush, much of what is being said was said, with great justification, in the Reagan years. And it is said now as the Republicans reach new heights of perversity and the press new levels of cravenness. Speaking of memory holes, remember the media lockdown of Votergate 2004? And the TWO elections? That's new -- they don't even have to fool most people any more.
On the other hand, I hesitate to suggest sui generis because in another 20 years, unless there is an authentic progressive reversal of what is going on, W Bush would look like the milder version of what would then be sui generis. For a dystopian image of what I believe the powers that pee have as their agenda, of leaving the world ecologically in ruins so that they may preside over the ruins, read Walt Whitman's poem "Respondez! Respondez!" And he's a straightforward egalitarian democrat -- no hidden catches as Melville.
I wholeheartedly embrace Memekiller's statement that the United States is in essence an idea, and a nation based upon those ideas. America would be the place where -- even if full democracy and freedom were not possible where, as the saying goes, the 'devil' is the god 'of this world' (I'm a nonreligious agnostic myself) -- there would always be a collective striving for that ideal, and we would be together believing in and struggling to that end. But the enemy, which has been from within many times before, is so now to a greater extent than at any time since before FDR, and possibly since before Lincoln. So we have a mess. And the one thing that MUST be done is that people must be willing to acknowledge and abolish rather than deny and justify the framework of underground repression that restricts free expression and organizing. It is a complex system of repression, not a crude one, but it is extremely effective, one where 'glass walls', as impregnable as glass ceilings used to be, and sometimes still are, prevent authentic progressives from pursuing effective strategies, disfavored issues widely, or even wide discussion of some things, like discrimination on the basis of politics in the myriads of student run law journals for at least a quarter century after 1964. Absolute poverty ("world hunger") is an example of an issue whose effective political pursuit is blocked more or less altogether, despite mass albeit not majority support. But you don't need a majority to be effective.
And then there is the "PeaceAmerica" type mass organization I have been talking about, that would oppose the Iraq War and militarism, going door to door and organizing like Greenpeace for donations and members, but organizing the members like ACORN does. Why isn't the strategy pursued? The same reason as in the other instances -- the 'dark matter' or 'invisible hand' of underground repression. And of course articulating that repression means shattering communication taboos.
If authentic progressives were to gather in large numbers and do what I have suggested, instead of a sui generis political decline and miasma, at least we would have a sui generis political struggle.
In history, it's not whether the era you are living in is sui generis. It always is. The question is what kind of sui generis?
June 20, 2005 12:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
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FOREIGNCOMMENTERID: 3075
AUTHOR: cloudy
DATE: 06/20/2005 12:30:05 PM
June 20, 2005 12:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think this is not the same old song and dance. What makes BushCo different and much more dangerous:
- The policy of "pre-emptive strike" and the disdain of the U.N. and our allies have created enemies of our country
- Fixing global warming reports at a time when the actual and very real warming of the globe can produce disasterous results
- The condoning and routine use of torture has put our troops at greater risk
June 20, 2005 12:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Of course, if for some reason they don't persuade -- no problem. They just arrange a convenient shortage of voting machines for the Democrats across the State of Ohio, have a media lockdown, and voila! a sham election and no stink. And as for persuaders, the poll numbers these day don't look like those persuaders are very persuasive; point is it works well enough for the W Administration to get more or less what they want.
June 20, 2005 12:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
I know my Mother would say yes, rather enthusiastically.
Me, I'm not so sure it's THAT different, or that far beyond the pale. I think what has happened, over time, is that people, particularly moderates on the left, have let a generalized characterization of the "other side" develop that painted the right wing as "extreme" in whatever context and made "conservative" a modifier distinctly different from "liberal." (This is the nutshell of the "liberal media" argument, and while it's often applied incorrectly, to some extent it holds.)
This marginalizationhas had the effect of pushing otherwise moderate, but somewhat conservative tyoes out of the left, due to an increasing polarization that's probably natural over history and reverses naturally after a time.
My point isn't that conservatives - or more to the point, Pres. Bush and his administration - are right, simply that they've ridden a wave to this point and probably it doesn't go much further. Forces are already reigning in the extremes of language, the extremes of action, and the extremes of policy, and that will probably continue as a natural reaction.
What we shouldn't undereatimate, though, is the anger that brought conservatives to this point. I am always stunned by the level of vehemence in conservatives - and lately, the equal, opposite response of some liberals - about how they not only disagree with liberal policies, but carry a level of anger and hatred for people on the left that I just can't muster in return.
If we are going to say this is a meaningful moment, that this administration was somehow worse than others to such a great degree, I would challenge those who make the assertion - how much of that is motivated by a deep, visceral dislike of people like Rove, Santorum, DeLay, et al... and how much is motivated by real policy shifts that cannot be comfortably reversed. I think that as bad as things have gotten - and in some ways quite bad and much worse than, say, in the Regan years - I tend to think much of it is reversible or correctable. It's a shame that some greater gains were not made, and that some people were caught in this moment and let down. But to get into the same overheated rhetoric I hear from conservatives, I won't do it. This is not the worst adminitstration ever simply because some sycophants on the right say the opposite. They're simply wrong.
- weboy, the unregistered.
June 20, 2005 12:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
I second this comment, with the addendum that the decline in "truth value" is the result of a toxic mix of corporatist discourse (PR, advertising, campaigning, etc) and religious discourse, both of which have very troubling relationships to any definition of truth. Sam Harris' book "The End of Faith" makes a convincing argument for the necessity of keeping faith discourse out of civic life (among other arguments), because of the total lack of a basis in evidence and no commitment (in fact, a hostility) to working toward justice or other social values based on intersubjective processes like debate, investigation, or research. Accepting any social construction of truth requires abandoning the notion of a divinely-inspired text, and the whole house of cards comes down. Needless to say, I hope, corporatist discourse isn't much better - when the only imperitive is to sell, sell, sell - (as David Mamet showed brilliantly in Glengarry Glen Ross) basic humanity is right out the window.
Mamet and Harris paint commerce and organized religion with broad brushes, it's true, but these are points we should heed. Even seemingly necessary institutions grow cancerous in their drive to survive and grow. America has been a fascinating example of the intertwining of the spirits of enterprise and faith since (at least) the Great Awakening, today we're just seeing the lastest, and perhaps most powerful, manifestation of it.
June 20, 2005 1:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
There are elements within the conservative movement who have a truly radical agenda--determined to roll back the New Deal, starve the federal government of revenue, tear down the separation of church and state, or free the Defense Department from ever having to temper its actions for the sake of diplomacy or international opinion.
I think it is false, however, to assume that these elements are the dominant power base in the Republican leadership, or even the driving force behind the uniquely brazen and heavy-handed governing style of the Bush Administration and the Congressional party bosses.
The real distinguishing charateristics of the current GOP leadership are as old as government itself: opportunism, graft, and cronyism. Bush, Cheney, and Rumsfeld are distinguished not by a revolutionary agenda, but by a narrow agenda dominated by the interests of their patrons and donors, and a radical unwillingness to admit error or tolerate dissent. The continuing investigations into Abramoff, Scanlon, DeLay, and Ralph Reed shine light onto a political organization that bears less resemblance to a revolutionary ideological movement than it does to an old-fashioned political machine. When they are finally relieved of power, their legacy will not be one of drastic changes to our structure of government, but rather one of pure old-fashioned corrupt malgovernance.
Their true, lasting changes to the American political system are being wrought not at the level of policy, but in the widening geographic divisions among Americans, and in the way political coalitions are mobilized and energized by misdirection, cultural tribalism, and deceptive marketing... rather than tangible appeals to economic interests. In the long run, these changes to the political landscape bode poorly for the future of progressive politics.
June 20, 2005 1:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bush is doing what every politician wants to do: take the power that is granted him and use it to improve the welfare of himself and his supporters. We need to give up on the dream of the great noble statesmen who shepherds all in his flock. This dangerous and false idealism, based in semantic pretties, allows people like Bush to come to power to begin with.
So, to my way of thinking, Bush's motivations and his character have the same blight as many politicians before him. In this way, he is absolutely not different IN INTENTIONALITY from any president before him.
What is different, in my opinion, is not so much Bush and what he represents as it is the circumstances of his presidency.
The Circumstances:
1. A shattered Democratic Party, left hollow by the Cult of Clinton.
2. Conservative ascendency in government at all levels
3. Conservative ascendency in the media at all levels
4. 9-11
Bush is riding a wave ... a wave created by an alignment of planets mostly beyond his control.
Unfortunately for Bush, the wave cannot be sustained. He's Icarus on a surfboard and he's heading for a wipe out:
1. The Democrats are fighting back ... without the Clintons.
2. Libertarians vs. Religious Right vs. Wall Street Republicans vs. Frightened Moderates are splitting the party
3. Once the media starts seeing the polls jumping on Bush, they will feel free to exit their hidey holes and start jumping on him too. They have ridden the Bush wave, but they are always looking for the next best thing ...
4. 9-11 is history. If another happens, Bush won't reap the rewards.
Bush is a child of circumstance. The larger, more sustained currents of history continue unabated:
The New Deal lives, and will continue to live.
The three branches are still re-aligning from the Nixon resignation. (Cheney: Return the presidency to its full power).
The Cold War continues to haunt us from beyond the grave. Who are we if we are not fighting Russkies?
To answer your question, Bush is just another blip.
From a historical perspective, we are still lost in the footnotes of the 20th century. We will need a true leader to get us out.
I am not holding my breath.
June 20, 2005 2:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
What is unique about this era is the elevation of the cultural over the political. The main objectives of many on the right are unusual in that they really are far less about economics than they are about morality.
In many respects, the right is behaving very similarly to the Communists after they took power in the Soviet Union, or the how Maoists behaved during the Cultural Revolution. The Communists in each case put a premium on right thinking. Each work of art was valued only to the extent that it advanced the interests of the working classes. Purges were carried out in key professions to ensure that members had the correct ideological perspective. Compare these examples with the attempt to purge liberals from the News Media (Fox News) or the legal profession (see the Federalist Society).
June 20, 2005 2:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
I’m learning a lot through these posts. I’m not that versed in poli-sci or history but I have no doubt that America has entered a radically different political era (the Raw Deal). Even if the bleeding is stopped in a couple of years, this sea change in government will affect all aspects of American life for at least decades to come. But this was not some grand, planned coup. These guys aren’t that smart. Look at Bush as Governor of Texas and campaigner in 2000. He was happy compromising with the Dems on education reform and pulling the switch at Death Row every week. He wore the Christian mantle but didn’t play the Christian card. As President, he was moving his big business agenda slowly and in fits and starts. He got his War on the Poor tax reforms through but as a temporary stimulus program to stave off a recession.
Then… 9/11. I’m sure millions on that day had the passing thought, as I did, that Bush would use this attack to push his political agenda (little did we know how far they could take it). We should have feared fear itself. As I write this in South Texas, the local newscaster, after restating some of the Minuteman propaganda as fact, is announcing a public meeting of the Minuteman Project as if they are the School Board or City Council. The times they are a changin’.June 20, 2005 4:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
During WWI we had the Palmer raids and ended up with over 10,000 people in prison for opposing the war and supporting labor organizing.
During WWII we had the Japanese internment and the persecution of people of German extraction.
During the 1950's we had McCarthy and all the associated red baiting. I don't have the numbers, but I would guess about 10,000 people were jailed, denounced, lost their jobs or otherwise mistreated.
During the entire period from the end of the Civil War to the 1960's we had southern governments acting in similar lawless manners. The mildest abuses were the voting rights manipulations and the worst lynchings. This lawlessness went on with, at least, the silence of the federal government.
During the first 200 years of European settlement we had an unending series of laws and other techniques to eliminate the native population.
I think what is new this time is that there is now an alternative voice (the blogosphere and internet) that can comment on events. Previously the press controlled most of the information the public received.
During WWI, for example, the post office wouldn't deliver magazines put out by the Wobbies and other radical groups.
What is also different this time is that the government not only has the power to ruin a good deal of US society, but with a little more arrogance on issues like global warming, can actually ruin the PLANET.
June 20, 2005 4:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
What is different about the Neocons is they want to destroy existing institutions and the existing order of things.
Their real goal is the Gilded Age, or Banana Republic. Its nothing more than uber rich runing roughshod over widespread peonage that is held down/contoled/comforted by repressive religiosity. This class of presons was hatched in the Gilded Age. And they believe in this not just for America, but for everywhere. To do this they must destroy the existing institutions. Whether it is Soc Sec, The UN, Nato, they want to eliminate the role of fairness and simply impose upon all a doctrine of Freedom without fairness because then might (money) makes right. In short they are reactionaries. And its high time we start calling them on who they are, what they really believe, and what they really want to turn America into.
June 20, 2005 5:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Weboy, you're dreaming.
June 20, 2005 7:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Now we have big government, big business, big media, and big religion all dancing to the same regressive tune."
You forgot one: militarism.
June 20, 2005 7:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Return the presidency to its full power? The current president is already asserting that he, as commander-in-chief, is bound by no laws whatsoever. WTF are you talking about?
June 20, 2005 7:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
I debated whether to include the military, because there definitely is a trend for top military brass to parrott the Bush administration line. However, I still believe the military will defend the Constitution in the event of a showdown, and opt for civilian control even if that means losing control of the government for the Bushies. I still think there are enough Wes Clarks, who are patriots in the best sense of the word, in the ranks to warrant not including the military as a power center.
June 20, 2005 7:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think what we have now is a paradoxical mix of last ditch desperation and cool nihilism on the part of the American Right. My impression is that there is an attempt to keep it all looking purposeful, but the purpose is hollow.
As I see it, this society has historical periods of ~75 years, a lifetime, each of which is the growth and argument of an issue with conflict that settles it in the last 20 or so years. The first ended in disempowerment of the theocracy, e.g. Puritans. The second ended in termination of the Monarchy. The third ended in abolition of slavery. The fourth ended in enfranchisement of women and Indians and the poor. Each of these has its monument in the Constitution- in the First Amendment, in the Constitution proper and rest of the Bill of Rights, the Thirteenth Amendment, and Fifteenth or Nineteenth Amendments respectively.
The present political era begins roughly at Pearl Harbor and is defined by the arguments about black civil rights, womens' rights, gay rights, released felons' rights, etc. As Constitutional issues, it all roots in the Fourteenth Amendment civil rights guarantees and their enforcement. You can even read John Dean's description of Rehnquist's definition of "strict constructionist" and perceive that it's really mostly a Fourteenth Amendment doctrine.
What's at stake in this argument about the Fourteenth Amendment is not simply the rights of the oppressed, of the "underclasses" of the near-colonial social order that still exists. The relative privilege- lack of accountability, unwillingness to bear 'fair shares', etc- of the 'overlord' classes is similarly at stake.
The parts of the Right that are desperate are those that perceive that they cannot compete on equal footing with the rest of society. I think that is the particular quandry of the Religious Right in dealing with Modernity. The parts of the Right that are simply callous and exploitive and nihilistic are the colonial economic lords who are quite fortunate that American corporations, as an institution, are where all of the colonial social order- theocracy, monarchy, slavery, triumphalism, expansionism, inequality- has been protected and preserved. Of course, guess what "running the country like a company" means if this is the case.
We are presently seeing the residues of the colonial class system and its form of oppression being revived to the greatest degree possible, without inner restraint. And watching the pieces struggle with present realities, slowly getting ground down. It seems both bizarrely original and terribly banal at the same time.
June 20, 2005 8:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is nothing like politics as usual. Trying to draw parallels to the post-Revolutionary period, or the pre-Civil War period, or the Depression, are all good tries. Really.
The parallel that is to me most apt is pre-WWII Germany. We are witnessing -- have already witnessed in my view -- a systematic effort to destroy the broad consensus that held us together since the Civil War. The difference today is that the leaders of one of our political parties no longer are contrained by a general sense of good faith and patriotism. They really could care less. They are interested only in the accumulation of power for its own sake. I shudder when I think of what their next project will be.
I can't lose all hope, thought, because a) it is my nature to be a hopeful person, and b) the American people are still a fairly amazing bunch, overall. Having said that, though, I think virtually everyone on the left does not appreciate the extent to which we are the subject of a concerted campaign, and the extent to which we have lost and continue to lose.
The New Yorker has an article on Patrick Henry University
, which makes it clear just how far these people have gone in setting up an apparatus that will make re-taking the country extremely difficult. I also shudder to think that historically, the American people have been all too content to wallow in their juvenile self-absorption, snapping out of it only in the face of real calamity. I hope there is a way forward here that does not involve calamity, but fear there is not
June 20, 2005 8:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Bush administration is significantly different from all others because they are not "conservative" in the commonly-accepted sense of that term. They are only "conservatative" to the extent that the term has been allowed to be hijacked by far radical right revolutionaries.
This in fact is what they are. I hate to bring up the Nazis and the Fascists, but since these are the only two successful far right revolutionary movements to take state power in a major nation, they are in fact the historical standard that has to be understood in order to understand the people we are dealing with today.
As has been pointed out, the Bush gang looks for opportunities to polarize the public, looks for opportunities to polarize the political process with the goal of marginalizing the opposition, and seating their policy goals in place for the future. Witness their campaign against the independent judiciary - and how right after there was a bipartisan agreement among moderates last month over the issue of judicial confirmation, they immediately announced they would be sending 20 more nominees to the Senate, and would not be working with the Senate as had been hoped. This was an affirmatively-offensive act, planned to be offensive, with the goal of energizing the base.
Look at what their base is: theocrats who have no truck with a democratic state, and far right haters who want to eliminate the opposition - if you doubt that attitude, go to FreeRepublic and do a search on the musings of one "STM" - a very far rightie I have had serious run-ins with over the past three years (to the point I have had to turn him in to the FBI as a stalker) - he is a good example of the "eliminationists" who want to see those of us he considers "the enemy" killed or imprisoned. And look at the responses to his posts there. Those people are real, those people are serious.
These people are an enemy unlike any that has been confronted in this country since the Civil War, and they are far worse and far more dangerous than the Confederates, who only wanted to secede. These people want to impose a totalitarian state.
You can go ahead an laugh and say I am an alarmist, but go read the tenets of Dominionism, the "Christianist" heresy currently fueling the far religious right, and you will see that Sinclair Lewis was entirely right in his novel It Can't Happen Here, when he said "when fascism comes to America, it will be wrapped in the flag and carrying the cross."
This is who we are dealing with.
June 20, 2005 11:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dear Josh,
I think in one sense that the Bush presidency is just another version of the cosmic vacuum cleaner, the one that sucks all the money out of our pockets and delivers it to Bush’s supporters of monetary ilk.
But in answer to your question I do believe there is a quantitative difference between Bush and other presidencies. I think the biggest difference is that most presidents in the past actually cared about this country whether you agreed with their policies or not. Bush, however seems to care only about a small group of Americans whom go by the name of George, Bush, W., George Bush, President Bush and Shrub.
What you say is quite true when you mention that each election seems at the time to be the most important election yet how many presidents had jet planes crashing into the World Trade Center? Few would argue that this was an unusual event and an event that Bush, being a consummate opportunist, was quick to seize and use to his political advantage. I can just imagine the wheels turning in Bush’s mind after he was informed of what happened to the World Trade Center. No doubt as the information sunk in Bush was already planning how to ride the disaster into re-election. I could be wrong but I don’t think we have ever had anyone that callous.
I think you answered your own question when you said that Bush was more successful than most of us like to think. That is probably the main difference; Bush has been more successful at castrating congress while pushing his own agenda than anyone I can remember. I suppose the stakes are always high but it sure seems to me that what Bush is destroying is America as we know it, or thought we knew, but ever since Bush was elected I have felt like a stranger in strange land.
June 21, 2005 12:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
All these comments are thoughtful and articulate, but no one seems willing to use the F-word---fascism. By Mussolini's own definition, we have a fascist government (one in which the corporatists write laws to benefit their corporations, usually at the expense of the public.) But the overall impact of the Bush administration is to further a proto-fascist agenda with all the trimmings---militarization of general society, casting dissent as unpatriotic, saying that the opposition hates America, suppressing the truth, public lying on a grand scale, and all the other things we are now familiar with.
This is sui generis for America. Even though we have had our share of home-grown fascists before, they have not been in control of the government until now. Given the Bushies' arrogance, hubris and total lack of shame or decency, this turn of events is not terribly surprising, but it is terribly dangerous for the American Experiment. It should be painfully obvious to anyone with two brain cells to rub together that the modern Republican party is trying to fundamentally alter the very nature of our country and our government, to create a semi-permanent "conservative" majority---allegiance to party rather than to country. If that isn't fascism, then what is? This is why they need to be stopped, more than any other reason. As bad as their policies are, they can be changed. But if they succeed in changing what kind of country America is, then we have lost all that matters.
June 21, 2005 5:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Anyone who reads history can recognize the consolidation of power that occurs after a coup.
They're behavior is indicative of people who have no intention of ever losing another election and who believe they will never be held accountable. One has to admit, they're actions make much more sense if looked at from this perspective. And whether you want to believe it or not, the ability does exist to "fix" elections on a large scale and their control of major media outlets would enable them to muddy the waters enough to cover their tracks. Now, you may disagree on whether or not this has actually happened, but I don't think you can claim it's not possible and it certainly makes their current behavior that much more understandable.
June 21, 2005 7:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
It is not insignificant that G.W. Bush is our first MBA President. Reformist Republicans of the 70s used to wax rhapsodic that government would be better if it were "run like a business." Well, they got their wish, and the result isn't pretty.
This is not as specious an argument as it might first appear. The administration has thoroughly absorbed the culture and ethics of the modern corporation, and are applying it robustly to its tasks as political leaders.
Use Every Tool at Your Disposal. Once policy objectives are determined, they are pursued relentlessly, with virtually no constraints of ethics or tradition. The political culture is almost entirely disconnected from the democratic ethos of discourse and rational persuasion--total market domination is sought.
Maximize Shareholder Value. Increasing the stock price to stockholders is the central precept of modern corporate governance. So, too, is the case with the Bush Aministration. Although, in their case, the "shareholders" are those who already had a large stake in the existing order. I think this is something primal: the administration is deeply committed to increasing the wealth and power of those who they perceived as "America's stockholders."
Branding is Everything. Coincident with the rise of the "megabrand"--the Nikes, and Cokes, and MTVs, the Republicans have made a similar--and singularly successful--branding effort. Any read of public polling makes it clear that the Republican brand is ascendent. Liberals feel constantly confounded by the split between the policies that America supports, and the party they identify as more dynamic, more committed, and more moral. The "liberal" brand has been devastated in the marketplace, and the Republicans continue to carefully and consistently place maintaining and building their brand identity before other goals.
In the Market, Perceptions are Everything. Just as WorldCom and Enron spent extraordinary efforts boosting the appearance of a healthy bottom line, the current Administration has placed next quarter's results before the long-term interests of the economy or the country. Employing an ironically-Keynesian strategy of massive and unprescedented deficit spending, the coming economic crisis is deepened by being continually deferred. From the very start, the Bush Administration has made economically huge commitments, with the benefits front-loaded, and the price back-loaded (think tax cuts, Medicare, estate tax, global warming, etc.)
"Business is Total War" Current B-school teaching is that business is war, fought by any means within one's disposal. The Bush administration has followed this precept through to it's inevitable conclusion. In its conception of the president as the CEO of the nation, coupled with Bush's love of the ethos of "bold leadership," the very conception of the government has changed. We are no longer constituents (i.e. "parts") of the government, but customers: the roles have been reversed. It is now the role of the government to sell its policies to us.
The scariest part of this whole transformation of government to me is that--by its very nature--business is conscienceless. It exists only for one purpose--to make money. That is not necessarily a condemnation; only a recognition of the world for what it is.
Once disconnected from promoting the general welfare, what is the purpose of government?
June 21, 2005 8:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
If we stop to recall, it was outlined for us by the founding fathers in the preamble ...
"We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquillity, provide for the common defence, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America."
It's good to remember where we started from now and then, imo.
June 21, 2005 8:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Don't you think it's a bit unfair to tar the entire GOP, and even Bush administration, with far-out extremists like the Dominionists and other looney-tunes? Isn't a bit like the classic McCarthyite smear of tagging all liberals with the "Communist" label? I have no love for the Bush gang whatsoever, but to suggest that every conservative or every Republican is a mouith-breathing, knuckle-dragging groupie of Rushdonney is a bit over the top. And instead of hanging out at some far, far right website I would recommend a more mainstream place to become acquainted with the thinking of the GOP devotees. Try RedState.org. You'll disgaree with much there, but you'll find people you can respect in your differences, and maybe even hone your own thinking.
June 21, 2005 4:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Cheney has stated that he wants to restore the presidency to its full power, and he appears to be doing it pretty successfully.
I don't think we are in disagreement.
June 21, 2005 10:39 PM | Reply | Permalink